metafour
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Everything posted by metafour
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#BuildTheWall?
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Dude got #MeToo'd. Oh snap.
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Kevin Smith: 3 for 3, 2 2B, SB
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He is 21.227 and turns 22 in September, so he isn't "young" for his class at all. I can't remember what his deal was, but if he left HS a year early it was because he was a year older than his peers already (ie: would have been a 19 year old Senior). Its hard to argue that he didn't peak early when all of his hitting stats have declined year to year: his best season was his freshman season, and his worst season is his current season. I'm not sure what he ran, but the consensus seems to be that there is no way he can play OF.
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Yes, it is. He's a bad athlete and a 1B/DH only guy. Typical case of a kid who peaked earlier than his peers, which is why he was so good as a freshman. He hasn't really gotten any better since then and the defensive projection has plummeted.
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The final draft rankings are always a lot different from preseason ranks. I always thought that ~Top 15 hype on Pompey was generous. He had a pretty bad Cape Cod and he's been much worse this season than he was last season, so yes, his stock is down in the sense that he isn't a 1st rounder right now. Lets not forget that Seth Beer was getting #1 hype as well.
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He's a 1B who's about to turn 24 in a few months hitting in Low A bro. No offense, but anyone with any prospect knowledge has seen this player a million times already. He is absurdly old for the level he is at. Don't get too excited because you will be disappointed.
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Ben Badler answered my Kevin Smith question!
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Nick Schnell is another prep OF; good frame and feel for hitting with present speed and arm strength.
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Kevin Smith 2 for 3 with another HR.
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GDT: Blue Jays @ Twins May 1 (Game 2 of 3) 8:10 PM
metafour replied to JaysAllMighty's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Looooooooool. -
Maybe, but his mock doesn't look like its based on anything but pure guesswork. Some of his player/spot matchups look weeks old. I wouldn't put any weight into Mayo's mocks. Callis sure, sure even he seems to be behind now that he's not on BA and doesn't have a bunch of people helping him gather intel.
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I don't get the impression that Mayo knows much at all.
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Lane Thomas (who we traded for IFA pool money) is hitting .305/.352/.659 with 7 HR's in AA for the Cardinals. He is still only 22 and always had promising tools despite lackluster performance. Hope we dont end up regretting dumping him off.
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Exactly. Vicuna is getting a little interesting as he's starting to hit, but the kid has 0 career HRs in 823 minor league at bats and just 24 extra base hits. The offensive difference between that and a guy like Smith who could hit 15-20 HR's a year (with a ton of doubles) in the MLB is greater than the difference between their defensive values.
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Him and Warmoth both had equally impressive Cape Cod showings and were borderline first rounders going into their JR seasons. Warmoth continued performing and solidified himself as a first rounder whereas Smith had a terrible season and fell to the fourth. He is a legitimate SS with above-average pop so there are real tools there. The swing-and-miss is a legit concern but his strikeouts are down so far this season (he's at like a 20% K rate right now I think). He's also relatively young as he was still 20 at time time of the draft and doesn't turn 22 until July I believe.
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Kevin Smith went 3 for 5 with three doubles yesterday..........
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It was such an obviously absurd pick right from the start. A slap hitting high-schooler with the pretense that he should be able to stick in CF...what could go wrong? Its not like he was even a burner on the basepaths either. A profile like that puts so much pressure on the hit tool, because unless he's an MLB .300+ hitter there are no other tools there to justify a #1 overall selection.
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Based off of what? Rocker is throwing as hard with more consistency and less variance, and he doesn't possess obvious injury concerns unlike Hankins. His curveball is also better than any secondary pitch that Hankins is currently throwing, considering that he scrapped the slider (there seems to be legitimate concern that the pitch is hurting his arm, hence why he's not throwing it and has replaced it with a fringy curveball). I mean, the difference between the two wasn't that great even back when Hankins was getting top 1-3 type hype, except now you have one guy who's stayed healthy and has pitched as well as he did last summer, while the other guy got hurt and has had velocity all over the place while also scrapping his best breaking ball. Seems like a no-brainer to me.
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Also, just LOL @ the Jays being linked to two HS players. That must be a mistake. I was told that Shapiro, who runs our draft, only drafts college players. The data from a decade ago clearly backs this up. McDaniel and Longenhagen are clearly idiots.
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Fangraphs just dropped their first mock which is only 10 picks but packs some potential team/player connections, among which mentions that we are showing interest in Kumar Rocker and Connor Scott which are literally my two favourite options at #12 right now. https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2018-mlb-mock-draft-v-1-0/
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New Top 55 from McDaniel and Longenhagen came out today with lots of movement: https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/updated-2018-mlb-draft-rankings/ They're releasing a mock draft tomorrow which may feature the first look at who we've been on to date.
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His stuff is down and he's still a reliever risk as essentially a two-pitch guy with an awkward arm angle. That in combination with the fact that his performance is down and this being a strong class at the top half of the first round means that it wouldn't be even remotely strange for him to be there at #12. The more interesting question is whether or not he's even an auto-pick for us at that point considering that he already failed one physical with us.