Great summary.
Just to keep things short, I would:
- non-tender Anderson, save the 9.5M
- stretch out Merryweather, Kay, Hatch as 5th starters/SP depth
- Resign Taijuan Walker and Robbie Ray, maybe Shoemaker
- Reese McGuire to Buffalo. Move forward with Jansen/Kirk
- Make an upgrade on Shaw. If tendered, he should not have an everyday role IMO.
- Let Villar walk.
- Resign Bass, maybe Giles on cheap.
- $69.4605M + 4 arb contracts in commitments means the jays have cash to play with, it will be an interesting offseason. They could use another Ryu-like talent in the rotation.
They are essentially a .500 talent ball club until the next wave of prospects arrive.
One elite SP and elite bat is priority if they’re serious about competing in 2021.
I love Trevor Bauer, but it will be a tough sign as other teams will also be willing to fork out massive cash for him on a 1-year deal. I’m not sure there’s another arm that’s close in FA. I can see him either staying with the Reds, or going ring chasing with the Dodgers, Yankees, Padres, or even Mets/Braves/Angels before considering Toronto. He has all the leverage as everyone wants him, so most $ and bests competing environment wins.
Defensive upgrades are welcomed, an elite third baseman that can hit would be great though we’re kinda expecting one of Martin/Groshans/Martinez to eventually fill that hole. If Bichette moves to 3B there’s room for an elite defensive SS like Simmons. He’ll rather stay at SS, as he should. But it really depends on how the roster develops overtime.