And I acknowledged that, hence I said a lot of his dynasty value is tied to his youth and expected future production.
Carlos wanted an opinion and I’ve stated my case, Giolito is clearly not in the tier 1 group of starting pitchers with the real Cy Young candidates, it’s not even close. The only way to justify his stats to be part of that group is do exactly what TCA suggesting, cherry pick his stats for the ONLY season he was ever worth 5+ WAR and heavily weigh on K/9, the only stat that he’s relevant. And even that season wasn’t that historically impressive, the real elite aces had consecutive 6 to 9+ WAR seasons back to back during that time span.
You can also argue he’s still young and his career is just getting started, then completely ignore the fact his metrics are trending the opposite direction. Like I said if you feel THAT is worth a top prospect in baseball, with all the risks and volatility that come with pitchers in general, then by all means go do the trade. To each their own.
I’d just be very surprised if nobody else in Carlos’ fantasy league is willing to offering him a better win now asset for Julio Rodriguez, if winning now is clearly his goal and he’s willing to mortgage his future for it.