It’s understandable given the risk, I’ve been debating on this point as well. I’d also rather take a bat and actually hope we land Nick Gonzales or Zac Veen assuming Torkelson and Martin are off the board. But if there’s a year to take college pitching this is one of the years to do it. They took Alek Manoah last season despite several good bats available, and went with a vanderbilt commit in Kendall Williams after that, Atkins & team seem to be coveting arms to compliment our position core.
This is perhaps the deepest college pitching class in the past decade, and the two guys potentially available are in a class of their own. If Emerson Hancock was draft eligible last year, there would’ve been serious consideration between Hancock and Rutschman as the no. 1 overall pick. And the drop off between Hancock and the next two (Lodolo & Manoah) were cataclysmic in eyes of the industry and scouts at the time.
Hancock’s early struggles in 2020 were also way overblown due to small sample, he looked like an absolute stud by his 4th start, right before COVID ended the college season.
He went 7.1 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 12 K in his last start against UMASS.
I went back and watched games of his 2019 season, he is pretty legit with both pitchability, physicality, & stuff. He sat 97-98 mph deep into his start with plus command in one of the games I watched. He is typically 93-96, T99 with solid changeup and slider, curveball flashes potential. The stuff is front of the rotation with plus-command on his fastball. He’s a late bloomer similar to Casey Mize, there’s a lot of unscratched potential there in both his frame and development of his secondaries. That’s saying a lot about a guy that had 1.99 ERA, 97K/18BB last season in 90.1 IP, and one of the runner ups for 2019 golden spikes.
Asa Lacy has really surprised scouts this season in the first four starts. By far the best-looking college pitching prospect if you’re just purely looking at 2020 and pure stuff.
I watched a couple of his games from 2019, he has an obvious mound presence that you don’t really see, even with Hancock. His breaking balls are more advanced and downright nasty, while sitting 94-96 mph most games, touching 97 on occasion. The word on Lacy has been his improved command from last season, which has translated to higher K and much lower BB. I try to point out exactly what has changed from 2019, it looks to me his delivery is a bit more consistent and his arm slot is higher. Fastball command was his primary achilles heel last season which has somewhat been rectified in early showing 2020.
But it’s still a work in progress IMO, you often see wild pitches that miss badly in the dirt or way upstairs, and his pitch counts run up often. Acy also is a culprit of losing control and hitting batters often. I saw him plunk a guy in an 0-2 count and nobody was surprised. He hit 13 guys last season and 43 walks in 15 starts, 88.2 IP. Even in 2020 he’s plunked 4 guys in 4 starts, 24 IP. When his stuff is working he looks like an ace, so it’s really about consistency. I feel like he’s deliberately trying to strikeout guys, maybe trying a little too hard, fishing for K’s when he’s ahead in the count, rather than just getting them out and challenging hitters. But for a lefty it’s really premium stuff, and i can see why JJ Cooper thinks he’s potentially a no. 1 overall pick level talent.