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glory

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Everything posted by glory

  1. He will be a reliever by next season.
  2. Montoyo is getting s*** on social media for pinch hitting Hanson, and it's well deserved. Absolute stupidity.
  3. The difference between Gibby 2.0 (2016-18 version) and Montoyo is almost non existent. I was hoping for a Kevin Cash type of turnaround but so far it's been oddly similar. Can't say worse because Montoyo has a lot less talent to work with, but some of his moves don't even make sense from an analytical standpoint (which I thought was the point of bringing in a Tampa guy).
  4. Yeah pretty disappointed at the bunt attempt there. Not that Maile is a great hitter or anything, but you have f***ing Brito up next. Maile is probably the better hitter of the two. Then he has Hanson pinch hit for McKinney when Hanson is horrifically bad against LHP in his career (he's bad against righties too but OPS .140 higher against righties). I'm sorry for ever giving you s*** Gibby. Most managers suck.
  5. The Jays won't manipulate service time with Biggio. He's not the best prospect in baseball like Vlad is, or a top 10 in baseball like Bichette. He'll be up mid season as long as he's hitting well in AAA. Same with Alford. What they do with Bichette will be more interesting to see. They have Galvis locked up for the year with an option for next year so if he's doing well they could trade him, or they could keep him and use him as an excuse to wait until 2 weeks into April 2020 to call up Bo. With the way young players are signing extensions nowadays, the Jays can afford to be a bit more aggressive with promotions if the prospects are earning it. Bo will be hard to sign but doable. Call him up this year if he's earned it and then work on an extension that covers his 20's in the winter.
  6. Rebuilding sucks. It's painful to watch and feels like it takes forever (this season is a week old and I'm already tired), but they had no choice after 2016. The team was old and on the decline. Clearly the rebuild should have started at the trade deadline in 2017, as others have said, but I don't think that was a Shatkins decision. As is the farm is in great shape and they were spending heavy on the international market. They just re-signed Grichuk so you know they'll spend on someone they like. It's going to be a bit of a process now. Hopefully not a long one, but who knows how much rope they have. Jays are getting like 10k a night. Rogers isn't going to sit there and accept a 5 year rebuild. They might see the attendance this year and tell Shapiro to spend for 2020. That's how they operate.
  7. I’m still a believer in Alford. Not as much as I was after 2017 but I’m willing to give him a pass for 2018. This is his year to win the CF job.
  8. Hand just has to throw anything close to the plate and it will be called a strike.
  9. Gyal-Vees (as Buck would say) has been pretty good this year.
  10. Is Ric Flair in attendance? What's with the no stop wooing?
  11. Isn't Samad Taylor in Dunedin? Don't see him in the lineup, though maybe he's hurt or something.
  12. Yeah seriously. If anything this makes me wish the Jays kept rebuilding but used some dough on actual good players in free agency so the big league team could be watchable. This is brutal and there isn't even any long term prospects playing except Jansen. Our best prospects are still in the minors.
  13. All I saw was Paulino's name and I'm happy.
  14. I never said Grichuk is a bad player. He’s a good player. But has a very risky skill set offensively because while the power is real, the walk rate is consistently bad. If he improves on that and maintains the power then you have a damn good player but right now that’s not certain. My beef is mostly with people saying that if he stays a 1-2 War player that’s it’s not a big deal. Those types of players aren’t as valued in today’s game. He has the potential to improve though, and I think that’s the main reasoning behind this. They think he’s better than he’s shown.
  15. If you look at the top 30 players in wRC+ in 2018, it took me to the 24th ranked player (Baez) to find someone with a BB% below 9%, and he had a BABIP close to .350. If you focus just on players who had a 120 wRC+ or above (54 players total), the players who had BB%'s at or below 7% (pretty much Grichuk's ceiling to this point) were Baez (4.5), Andujar (4.1), Gennett (6.6), Piscotty (6.9), and Cron (6.6). WHat you are saying is not wrong, a 120 wrc+ is a 120 wrc+ regardless of how it happens, but look at the probability of Grichuk being one of those players (or better) with his BB%. It is a detriment to his game. That's not meant to be a dig at Grichuk, he's not even close to one of the team's issues right now, but you're fooling yourself if you think a lineup full of players who walk at 5% clip is not going to lead to middling offensive performance overall. It's hard to be good offensively with that type of walk rate.
  16. Ok, I'll rephrase. Focus on BB%. Whether that leads to a high OBP or not is fine, but know how to draw walks, work the count, etc. Right now it seems entirely focused on exit velocity, barrels, etc, which is fine since it has value and can potentially lead to greater performance, but there's a reason why Smoak took a step forward with some adjustments and why expecting someone like Teoscar to do the same is not as realistic.
  17. Look at the players they have acquired. How many of them will have OBP's above .300? One or two players like that is fine, especially if they bring value from other areas, but that's basically the entire lineup except Smoak.
  18. The good part of the deal is the front loading. I just don't agree with the "if he's a 1 WAR player in years 3, 4, and 5 then he's playing up to the contract". 1 War outfielders have zero value in today's market. This contract is basically the Jays trying to buy low on Grichuk hoping he improves from here on out, kind of like Smoak. If it works then they'll look great, but if it doesn't, then yeah, a 1-2 war outfielder making $9m isn't bad, but not good either. I want the Jays to start valuing Obp. Thankfully many of the prospects coming up have good on base skills (Vlad, Bo, Jansen, Tellez, Biggio) because I'm not sure how many more hackers who don't walk I can take on one roster.
  19. Put Vlad at 1B and keep Drury at 3B. That seems like a simple fix. Vlad will hit enough to be an elite 1b so not sure why he even needs to play 3b.
  20. Drury has 3 more years of control after this year. Even if he broke out this year there is no real reason to sign him long term. Grichuk had a year after this one, so they had to make a decision with him one way or another (sign him or trade him).
  21. Dombrowski doing us a favor by signing these big contracts. Hopefully he cheaps out on Betts.
  22. I don't like pinch hitting Grichuk there. Yeah he's a better hitter than Alford right now but who cares? Just let Alford hit and see what he has.
  23. Rogers will take one look at attendance this year and ask Shapiro to try to win in 2020. Book it.
  24. Yeah this actually seems a bit excessive to me. I think Grichuk has potential to be better than he has shown so far, but I wouldn't have dropped $50m on him before he comes close to reaching it. He has a 5% bb rate and a career OBP below .300 and even last year didn't show any signs of deviating from that skill set. Not sure this is a smart move, but I said the same thing about the Smoakster, so prove me wrong again Atkins.
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