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Orgfiller

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Everything posted by Orgfiller

  1. Orgfiller
    One thing about Gallo, you definitely aren't dreading a GIDP if he comes up with men on first or first and second lol. He has less GIDP in his career (15) than Vlad does in every single season less the shortened 2020 (holy f*** that's a depressing fact). On the other hand, guy on third and < 2 outs, a K or pop up is extremely likely, he has THREE (3) sacrifice flies his entire career. Pulling two players out of a hat, Craig Biggio has 9 (4 in 2021), Santiago Espinal has 5 (3 in 2022).
  2. Orgfiller
    This was bait btw. To max silver's point, I doubt Belli can continue having success with an all-fields approach given that his barrel rate and hard hit rate cratered even relative to his awful 2021 and 2022 seasons. Unless he's mastered the art of sending weak bloopers over the infield, if you're hitting the ball less to your pull side you better be crushing it oppo ala Judge or make it difficult to shift against in the outfield. His xWOBA with 2023's approach point to him being more of 110 wRC+ hitter than his actual output. So he either needs to continue getting stronger/better at driving the ball, or he'll see his numbers up the middle regress heavily.
  3. Orgfiller
    Great, another good dead pull hitter working on his all-fields approach. Can't wait to sign him for $200M and then have him underperform his xWOBA by 30 points by continuously hitting 375-390 foot bombs to LF-CF and straight CF.
  4. Orgfiller
    At $200M someone else can have Bellinger. For that money you’re expecting 4 WAR to be his floor, and it clearly very much is not if the two years prior showed us anything. One whacky homerun celebration and you got a pumpkin on your hands.
  5. Orgfiller
    More money and commitment than I would’ve been comfortable giving him, but good for Gurriel. Easy guy to root for. Low risk, low upside move, probably fair all things considered.
  6. Orgfiller
    Tagalog is a gender neutral language anyway so this pedantry isn’t even providing anything. It’s entirely correct to refer to a person of Filipino descent as Filipino, whether male or female. Filipina is an exonym from the Spanish colonization that isn’t an established standard. Some use it some don’t.
  7. Orgfiller
    A .301 ISO is great obviously. The question is if he can continue selling out for power as he gets older and his bat speed declines even further. Also he was literally as good a hitter as Belt was last season, which was my point. If he can be exactly as good as last season that’d be great, would take it in a heartbeat.
  8. Orgfiller
    I feel like people expecting JDM to be a significant upgrade on Belt are in for a rude awakening. His whiff and K rates shot up pretty significantly and he's already a guy who didn't walk that often. Granted, he's still got some pretty exciting, game changing power, when he connects the damage is significant, but this might prove harder to do as a 36 year old turning 37 midway through next season. I'd still take him but I would be thrilled if he gave us a 125+ wRC+ good for 2 WAR, trading some OBP for SLG. He provides no defensive value whatsoever unlike Belt who could at least give Vlad a day off at 1B, and is a significantly worse baserunner.
  9. Orgfiller
    I don't think Urshela coming off major injury is any better than a collection of our league min guys. Like the Montas idea, ambivalent on Brantley (old and oft-injured), and I think Hicks clears 3/27 with ease from some other team, he's got some of the best stuff in baseball and it finally translated into strikeout success. Teams will pay for that. JDM has some major red flags in his profile, I'd probably take him at 1/12 but I think with his pedigree he might beat that and I don't really want to be the team to do it with it adding yet another RHH bat to a lineup that badly wants lefties.
  10. Orgfiller
    Hoskins can’t even play first base adequately lol. Man is an absolute butcher.
  11. Orgfiller
    Torontonians are literally tracking some random flight which he may or may not be on. The worst part is this isn't even the first time they've done this in the past 5 years (Kawhi Leonard saga fiasco).
  12. Orgfiller
    Ah yes, the famously reasonable and paragons of morality, the BBWAA.
  13. Orgfiller
    There's more teams than just the Dodgers in play for his services lol.
  14. Orgfiller
    Judge? If anything I would think Soto DH's a lot more than Judge unless they're babying him in an attempt to keep him relatively healthy for a full season.
  15. Orgfiller
    It's probably a few things: 1a. They hate their internal options at 2B / prefer their OF options over 2B - Michael Busch might literally struggle to put on a glove 1b. They think it's easier to sign or trade for a better OF than 2B 2. The positional adjustment for 2B means Betts being a good defensive RF is about equal to him being an average 2B (10 run adjustment from RF to 2B in a vacuum). 3. They have him signed forever for a bunch of money and he's athletic enough to handle multiple positions as necessary, so just bounce him back and forth as required. If tomorrow Jose Altuve lands on their lap I'm sure Betts will have no problems transitioning back to the outfield.
  16. Orgfiller
    Yes he is lol. Nick Martinez just signed for 2/26 in Cincinnati and he would've been a significantly better option than Gonzales at 1/12. Hell, Severino at 1/13 would've actually been good with his demonstrated upside and the Braves' pitching development.
  17. Orgfiller
    Yeah no s***, no contending team would actually acquire Marco Gonzales as a contributor, he was just part of the salary dump. They might as well just cut him, I guess they could try to eat some contract to give him to the Royals for $1M in 2024 for a D level prospect rather than eat the whole cost.
  18. Orgfiller
    If his floor was 1.5-2 WAR the Mariners wouldn't be dumping him in a dead money deal. This was the best season of his career by far and he barely even fit that floor threshold with a higher than sustainable BABIP. It's like saying Vlad's floor is a 3 WAR 1B/DH, as has been demonstrated, it's considerably lower. Kelenic's is below replacement.
  19. Orgfiller
    Guys that normally don't steal aren't drawing 2 disengagements to begin with.
  20. Orgfiller
    TIL Nico Hoerner is a slap hitting glove-first guy with wheels. I guess it doesn't make sense for the Cubs to have two plus shortstops on the team so might as well replace Nico with a better hitter who can probably be decent at second. Weird to trade for an elite SS and then move him off the position (despite Bo's middling defense) though. I don't think the Blue Jays are in a position to trade away more offense for defense however. The lineup would look pretty ugly by replacing Bo with Hoerner.
  21. Orgfiller
    On names alone this looks like a horrendous trade for the Braves, until you take a step back and realize all of those guys they moved away suck and they’re clearing up a bunch of fringer 40-man roster space. Bummer has good stuff.
  22. Orgfiller
    His defense is hilariously bad. He must be Teoscar like in that he's a physical specimen and very athletic (plus sprint speed and plus plus baserunning) but has negative defensive IQ. Might be a modern day Michael Young, where he's utility in the loosest sense of the word, bad at every position. Maybe you hope some coaching can make him passable.
  23. Orgfiller
    Varsho and Robert Jr. have equal amounts of 5 fWAR seasons and project for a < 0.5 WAR difference.
  24. Orgfiller
    I mean for lack of a better term, this is because he's fat lol. Manoah is built like an ox, he's definitely very strong, you don't really achieve throwing a ball that fast for 100 pitches (stamina and endurance concerns notwithstanding) without being very strong. There's definitely muscle under there. I'm sure someone is gonna say "akshually a lot of it is genetics" blah blah blah. But he doesn't have chiselled arms because his body fat is too high, not because he doesn't already have a lot of muscle on them.
  25. Orgfiller
    You mean like Alek Thomas and Geraldo Perdomo right?
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