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Orgfiller

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Everything posted by Orgfiller

  1. Orgfiller
    I'd say Varland since the stuff is outrageous, but with the likely possibility that he headlines an opener game I don't know if that changes his usage in a playoff series. Maybe it doesn't though? Dominguez is a little like Hoffman, except he trades giving up bombs for the likelihood of way more walks. He's pretty unhittable though, the stuff is nuts here too. I think the bullpen hierarchy should definitely come down to who has the best stuff right now. Varland + Seranthony are up there, Little too, with Fluharty and Fisher being firemen ready to be used at any point in the game. I'm as big of a believer in projections as anyone, but the projections are a different story than like June when Hoffman was still throwing 97 with regularity and getting shelled, than this version who throws 94 more often than he throws 96+, with s***** command of all pitches to boot.
  2. Orgfiller
    Zero chance we aren't lining up Gausman and Bieber for games 1 and 2, in any order. The potential for both of them to pitch twice in a series (if necessary) is significantly more important than whatever home/road splits our SP3 and below have. I think Yesavage is also clearly trending as the game 3 starter, I think you can read a lot into how they scheduled the pitching matchups for the crucial division clinching series against the Rays. Gausman-Bieber-Yesavage are the top 3.
  3. Orgfiller
    Fluharty is nails.
  4. Orgfiller
    500s and 503s errors happening much more frequently now @Brock Beauchamp probably on every other page load.
  5. Orgfiller
    Haven't had issues this week for the most part (although haven't been checking in on the game threads as much), but just got a few site isn't loading errors in 2/3 refreshes.
  6. Orgfiller
    I think this is a repeat of Donaldson vs. Trout in 2015 ish. They're close enough in fWAR that falls well within the margin of error to where you can't say one guy is obviously better than the other. Raleigh is doing something historic of his own right and will have the added narrative of driving the Mariners to their first division title in 24 years. What Judge is doing is historic of course, but he has the unfortunate negative of we've seen it before...from himself. I can't say bias isn't clouding my judgement. If Judge played for like, the Guardians or Tigers, I might be more inclined to say he deserves it. But right now it's a true toss up more or less, and one guy will have a stronger, pretty deserved narrative. Raleigh is putting up one of the best catcher seasons ever, not even the pre-integration (not counting Josh Gibson) or steroid era guys put up numbers like this at the catching position.
  7. Orgfiller
    Because IKF is 30 years old, not 45 with one foot into retirement. Him having all of 121 PAs against lefties this year is not enough to discount his entire career's worth, that's not how platoon regressions work. Barger this season has still been completely inept against LHP, and his carrying tool which is his power hasn't even been on display against them when he's not whiffing a third of the time. He has 1 homerun in 85 PAs and a .125 ISO. Both are awful and at worst project similarly against an arm like Crochet, but at least IKF will provide slightly better defense and baserunning, while allowing us to put Barger into a big PH opportunity later in the game.
  8. Orgfiller
    IKF career against LHP: 77 wRC+, 14% K rate Barger: 55 wRC+, 34% K rate Both are trash but IKF will at least make contact more often and hope to get a few bloop hits while providing better defense, and leaves Barger to be used as a pinch hitter late in the game. It's a marginal upgrade but the numbers say it's what you should be going for. Pretty sure Barger struggles against velocity as well, and that's gonna be magnified by velocity coming from a lefty. IKF over Barger is the right call for this one, like it or not.
  9. Orgfiller
    They need to use the Cam Schlittler gameplan. Go up there trying to foul off a bunch of pitches, prolong ABs, drive up the pitch count, and hope you get some BABIP luck, while getting into the bullpen early. Much easier said than done and Crochet is much more experienced + better (while only being 2 years older lol).
  10. Orgfiller
    Skubal is lapping Crochet in everything but W-L record, I don't think it's all that close.
  11. Orgfiller
    This is how Cleveland scored 3 runs off Skubal and ultimately won the game last night: https://np.reddit.com/r/baseball/comments/1nozvmc/the_guardians_score_three_runs_in_the_6th_inning/ Absolutely disgusting. Don't get me wrong, Kwan's bunt was perfection and those guys run the bases extremely well, but the quality of contact on display getting rewarded is brutal. Skubal definitely did himself no favours, and was clearly rattled after the error only to really lose it after the HBP to the face. Jose Ramirez's hit, and Gabriel Arias' groundball scoring play would be repulsive to watch as the opposing team's fans.
  12. Orgfiller
    wat, since when can the magic number go up
  13. Orgfiller
    When Vlad is scuffling it's so easy to get him to expand the zone, he just completely loses his focus.
  14. Orgfiller
    How does Lukes not take charge there? Left Clement out to die.
  15. Orgfiller
    Last 3 batted balls xBA: .900, .350, .840, .350 All outs.
  16. Orgfiller
    lol
  17. Orgfiller
    Our xBA is .300, we have one hit.
  18. Orgfiller
    Lukes just hit a .900 xBA ball for an out 👍 Sick f***ing game.
  19. Orgfiller
    First AB of the next inning is a line drive right at someone. Just one of those games thus far.
  20. Orgfiller
    Rays are blooping and groundballing us to death. Incredibly frustrating.
  21. Orgfiller
    Probably used an LLM to generate half, if not much more of the article. And then couldn't even do the bare minimum in proofreading it lol. Embarrassing.
  22. Orgfiller
    Since the previous scorecard got so much attention, I'm sure this one will be similarly received:
  23. Orgfiller
    That was an unreal play from Simpson who is statistically one of the worst outfield defenders in the league, because of course.
  24. Orgfiller
    I feel like they don't need to take a week off, and the division odds are about as high as the making the playoffs odds. So while I'd probably save the celebration for clinching the division, I don't think I would blame them for celebrating just clinching a spot and then giving the regulars a day off to get over the celebration hangover. There's no 40-man expanded rosters, so it's not like we'll be throwing junk AAAA guys out there if we give some regulars a day off all at once.
  25. Orgfiller
    Ah yes, connorp's theory that there's generational defenders just rotting away in the minors because they can't hit too good.
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