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Orgfiller

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Everything posted by Orgfiller

  1. I don't think this is necessarily true. One thing to remember is Orelvis was 20 and played a full year at AA, ahead/on track with most top prospects even if the results left something to be desired (30 HR in AA as a 20 year old is pretty nuts still). Barger obviously had a much better year, but he also started as a 22 year old in A+ and only played 55 games in AA+AAA. If Orelvis continues to track like a legitimate prospect, then he should be in AAA by mid-late season and essentially ready to be given a good look at the MLB level in 2024. Orelvis could merely be "above average" in AA and parts of AAA this season and still be on a much stronger developmental track than Barger is right now. An average platoon of the two by the end of 2023, let alone 2024, is not at all out of the question.
  2. Is LOCATION+ some combination of in-zone rate + swinging strike rate or how else is it determined? STUFF+ seems a little more intuitive as you can probably just deduce it based on velo and movement relative to average/replacement level, with fastball taking precedent and a secondary offering being most strongly weighed.
  3. Imagine mentioning a full season from Kyle Stowers who projects for 0.5 WAR and Kyle Bradish who projects for 1.1 WAR as the reason the Orioles will be a better team this year lmao. That’s like saying wait until we get a full season of Mitch White and Otto Lopez to really make us scary. DL Hall is projected to be a reliever across the board, between his injury history and wildness.
  4. Well then maybe they shouldn’t be so cheap if they want to do anything and not waste cheap years of their young talent. The Jays have money coming off the books following 2023 and clearly they have the pockets and are willing to spend. Also, is there really any sustainable pitching model? The Rays have a bunch of promising guys earning peanuts but literally more than half of them got injured anyway and their pitching ended up being mediocre anyway. The Dodgers have a pitching factory but they’ll pay to retain their own talent and will splurge every now and then to acquire a top pitcher. Literally what is the point of getting Kyle Gibson and Cole Irving?
  5. Which would be great if they also had at least 1 SP as good as any of the Jays’ top 4. Would even two of the Orioles pitchers make the Jays rotation?
  6. The whole cavalry = Grayson Rodriguez? The Orioles have a great farm but that’s not due to their strong pitching depth past Rodriguez.
  7. 2B Termarr Johnson - PIT 2 1B Kyle Manzardo - TB 10 SP Tink Hence - STL 16 C Ethan Salas - SD 70 SP Luis Morales - OAK 90 SP Frank Mozzicato - KC 110 Pretty stacked draft at the top for me. Temarr Johnson perhaps a bit of a bold pick but I got good word on him and I know he was firmly in that 2022 draft class top 3 with everyone having different preferences with how to rank them. Manzardo apparently everyone wanted, and Hence looks like a stud. To cap it off I got the top IFA prospect (for whatever that's worth) and a couple of lottery ticket pitchers with boom or bust upside that will probably be dropped by the next draft. It didn't come cheap though, as Buehler and Conforto were shipped out in order to acquire two of those top picks. I think I'd comfortably trade Conforto for Tink Hence with the benefit of hindsight, the jury will be out for a bit on Johnson + injured pitchers for Walker Buehler.
  8. I think this would be even worse for pitcher participation. Innings limits would play a huge factor, teams would be very strict about workloads for everyone. The nice thing about the WBC during Spring Training is those guys would need to do the work anyway, a tournament following the season would mean additional workload on these guys.
  9. Someone needs to revert the previous pick, L54 just got auto drafted Mike Zunino. Unless he’s full already which I don’t believe is the case.
  10. Will move any/some combination of Shea Langeliers, Sam Huff, Kris Bubic, Brandon Belt, Joey Votto for an upcoming pick.
  11. Honestly I considered Endy Rodriguez at 2, so I was a little despaired seeing him almost land to me at 10 only to get sniped one pick prior. Catching prospect and all what a season he just had.
  12. Meh, both guys are just post hype reclamation projects of sorts. Puk is still pretty wild and doesn’t exactly limit hard contact. Bleday has that former top 5 pick shine and is neither a pitcher nor a reliever and did fine in AAA last season with far more control.
  13. Mo Bamba is nowhere near Poeltl in value lol. He couldn’t even get minutes on a s***** Magic roster.
  14. It was fine just days ago but it’s been garbage for the draft room in particular, on mobile. Can’t even scroll.
  15. Sam Huff available for a pick in this draft, on an upgrade on pick 70 (4-10).
  16. It’s next year’s pick, so they’ll get a new slate to end up with a good record and the have the pick be away from the lottery.
  17. Don’t think the Magic move Isaac unless they think he’ll be limited minutes wise going forward. He has best defender in the NBA potential with a pretty refined offensive game for a defense-carrying player. Bamba would be interesting based on physical tools but he’s kind of squandered his chances in Orlando who are awful which is a big red flag.
  18. Belt, Conforto or Amed Rosario for a pick or prospect anyone? Could also move multiple of those guys.
  19. This basically just means he's as injured as they expected him to be. i.e. his arm is still in its socket, no additional broken bones, repaired elbow(?) looks fine, recovery period is what they projected it to be when looking at signing him.
  20. Has to be, he’ll be out for likely all of 2023, maybe an outside shot to return late second half.
  21. I don’t think there’s ever going to be an issue where Greinke gets on the ballot with 10 surefire HOFs at the same time for even a single ballot, let alone his entire cycle. He’ll get in easily within 2 or 3 if the idiotic BBWA writers don’t vote him in first time. Greinke is an extremely uncontroversial player off the field, quirky personality and all. His three closest (better) contemporaries are Kershaw, Max and Verlander and those guys will all get on their first ballot.
  22. The disrespect to Reed Johnson's iconic goatee. But yeah that's Joe Inglett.
  23. IMO yes. His closest comp WAR wise is Roy Halladay funny enough, literally currently identical WAR figures, where you trade some prime/peak years performance for longevity. Won a Cy Young during his insane 2009 season, and aside from non pitcher specific duties he also has been an elite defender at his position his entire career - with 6 GGs to show for it for what it's worth - and has two Silver Sluggers as one of those rare pitchers that didn't completely embarrass himself at the plate back when that was still a thing. The biggest drawback is you probably wouldn't say he was at one point necessarily the downright best pitcher in the game (09 season aside), which Halladay was, but I think it's unfair to dock him for existing in the same timeframe as Doc himself, Kershaw, Verlander, Max Scherzer and 2018-2020 deGrom, when he was still an ace himself. He's 4th in WAR behind those three contemporaries of his since his debut and those guys are all first ballot HOF.
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