Sign Vlad this year if its a team friendly deal. 20M/y or so for 10? do it.
I don't think Vlad will sign that. If Vlad and co. want to sign based on what he is capable of, then let him show that he can consistently produce that #.
This is not anyone judging him based on one good year or one mediocre year, its just a bad business if you invest into what can be than what is in front of you.
But I don't see us ever letting Vlad walk unless he completely and utterly regresses to insignificance; the question is just when is the best time to sign him - for us, its this year; for him, its definitely not this year unless he loves Toronto (like JRam loves CLE) and takes a paycut.