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John_Havok

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Everything posted by John_Havok

  1. Manoah's rehabilitation is now moved to New Hampshire.
  2. well s***, ya learn something new everyday. It's very counterintuitive that humid air is less dense... that's weird! Spent some time digging into this... turns out the main 3 factors are wind, barometric pressure, and altitude when it comes to baseball travel distances. Colorado gets f***ed by 1 of those all the time, 2 of those 3 in summer, and not really sure about the wind factor up there. Man if the wind was blowing out in Coors Field hard in late summer, you could probably hit a ball that clears the stadium and lands in Nebraska.
  3. Wow, wouldnt have thought a dude could walk 8 per 9 like Ryan Brown and still only have a WHIP of 1.4, ... half a hit per inning. Dude is wild ... and unhittable.
  4. Right, humidity and barometric pressure are also factors. Like, even when it's hot in a coastal city, the effect of the heat would be somewhat blunted by the humidity and elevation (or lack thereof). Arizona is dry, so heat compounds the already existing extra travel due to the lack of humidity, but overall it's elevation isn't that big a deal, only 300~ feet above sea level. Colorado would have compounding factors of elevation, lack of humidity and more heat in the late stages of summer. Edit*** correct lack of humidity to barometirc pressure. I R stoopid.
  5. Disproportionate is probably the wrong word but it's definitely an added effect since hotter air becomes less dense and the air there at altitude is already less dense due to the lower barometric pressure.
  6. There's never a single series that makes any difference to what the team is, or isn't. Even a 10-game stretch can have a shitload of random noise. I think the Jays are exactly what their offense and defense says they are. It's actually kind of weird... usually a team will preach pitch and defense or be heavy on the HRs to outscore their opponents. The Jays are more of a defense/extra-base hits/get-on-base team.
  7. Yep. Just watching him pitch is pretty cool. Personally reminds me alot of Robbie Ray in how he throws and his overall look.
  8. Yeah run diff is really only usefull over long periods of time. It's not something that matters in small samples. Virtually every team's record in MLB is within 5 games either way of their expected W/L based on run diff, and the majority are within 1-3 games which is completely expected. Very few are exactly matching (Milwaukee, Colorado, Philly, Minnesota, and Detroit) The biggest variances are Tampa (-6 wins vs expected), White Sox (-7), Rangers (-6), and the Braves (-6),
  9. Red Sox next 2 series are against Padres and Astros - though the Sox just swept those Astros last week at Fenwway. Hopefully the 'stros get some revenge after the Padres take at least 2 of 3. Padres are rolling a bit now too with 3 straight series wins.
  10. Jays ahve the most series sweeps this season so far... with 9
  11. What's also pleasant to see is the OBP is highest in MLB at .340 (next is .330 - Brewers) and SLG they are 7th at .428. No empty batting avridge here.
  12. Records set during the Rockies series... The Blue Jays’ 63 hits were the most by a single team in the Modern Era (since 1901) Toronto outscored Colorado, 45-6. This is the second-largest run differential between teams in a three-game series since 1901. It’s just one shy of the record (40), set by the Brooklyn Superbas against the Cincinnati Reds 124 years ago Toronto’s 45 runs were the most scored by a Major League team in a three-game series since the 2019 Cubs scored 47 (Sept. 13-15, 2019 vs. Pittsburgh) The 39-run differential ties the sixth highest in a series of three games or fewer in MLB history, per Elias The 1901 Brooklyn Superbas series (from above) was the last instance of a differential of 40 or more runs in a three-game series. It’s been a while! Toronto had 40 more hits than Colorado, which is the biggest hit differential in a three-game series since 1900, per Elias
  13. Could really use those Sox to lose 3 or 4 of their next 5 just to be safe though. Theyre on a real heater
  14. Escalators in the deal could push it as high as 230 million. Good deal
  15. It's the other side of the coin really. If one is of the opinion that the Jays are extremely "lucky" this season, one would also have to admit the previous season was especially "unlucky" All of the outcomes from players on the roster last season were within the realm of possibility. However, many of the lower percentile outcomes ended up happening at the same time. This year, its really the opposite. Does that mean we should have expected every lower percentile outcome that happened last year to suddenly turn into like the 80th+ percentile outcome this year? Nope. But, it was within the realm of possibility. Like, of all the things that I would laughed at the most and thought "not a f***ing chance" of that happening would be Heineman doing what hes been doing. I would've bought the defensive side for sure...but not the offense. Like, if you could explain the Jays 2025 season thus far and had to point at a specific player as a representation of the team as a whole.... it would be Heineman.
  16. Even excluding todays game, Buddy slapnuts will be turfed first. France is the DFA when/if Santander ever makes it back this season
  17. And 2 HBP. Perfect day really. Played some good D too
  18. Kinda hit the nail on the head there. 5-4 would be about the minimum you'd want to see. Basically the equivalent of winning 2 of the 3 series without a sweep either way
  19. It's about the time of year now where the goalposts start shifting. At the beginning of the season, most of us would have been over the moon with a chance at the wildcard. Now? If they don't win the division at minimum and maybe hold the best record in the AL and avoid the WC round and at least make the ALCS.... it'll be a letdown. Unexpected success does it every time.
  20. Absolutely. Gimenez coming back allows Clement to get some respite from RHP, where he is objectively not good. Varsho coming back allows Straw to be parked on the bench and deployed as a PH/PR/Defensive replacement as he should be. Santander coming back gives them additional power threat in the middle of the lineup and on days where he sits, a perfect pinch hitter late in games who can't be platoon disadvantaged and can then be lifted for a runner like Straw or Clement. They're all important in their own way
  21. By no means am I trying to defend Masterbather, but I think there is merit, to a point, about the Jays experiencing some really good fortune. The "luck" aspect of the team is that literally everything that needed to happen for the Jays to be at this point ... has happened. All of the guys who needed to return to normal or better after down seasons....did. All the callups have basically delivered at the upper end of their percentile outcomes. SP has been largely healthy and when they did get hurt, the guys brought in exceeded expectations. All the starting position players that have been hurt... Varsho, Gimenez, Santander... none of their absences have hurt the team due to the depth guys stepping up an delivering. Think of all the nobody pen arms they cycled through early on to keep things going. Even those 2 brilliant starts from Easton Lucas (evened out by his following 2 turds... for sure). Little coming out of virtually nowhere to be utterly dominant in the pen. In isolation, none of these things on their own is overly "lucky". One could reasonably predict Kirk and Bo rebounding .... Springer, maybe not to the point he has, but somewhat. One could predict at least somewhat of a Schneider bounceback, but again, not to the level he is at right now. Would anyone have predicted Loperfido running as hot as he has? Nobody could have predicted Lauer being what he has been. Same for Fisher honestly. I think the contention that ALL of these happening at the same time is the fortunate part, not that any individual piece of the luck pie is or isnt probable.
  22. Jesus jumped up Christ... this team is destroying baseballs. They'll never want to leave Coors
  23. That's actually a really good sign for Vlad to be taking those high outer-half fastballs oppo. He was missing those for a quite a long stretch this season.
  24. he was 0-2 with a walk. Only starter without a hit against this sh*tbox team. Hit the pine son and think about getting better. 1st place team can't be carrying dead weight like this
  25. Gaus still getting it done. We really need him to keep that clock turned back for the rest of this season and into the playoffs. Would be huge
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