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connorp

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Everything posted by connorp

  1. connorp
    I didn’t claim to make a prediction but I don’t think the Dodgers were quite set up great. As you know, I’ll have Bobby Miller pitching in the BORED finals next season and I as rooting for him to take his star turn. I also wouldn’t have guessed that for Kershaw. I think it www understood that losing Urias and expecting so much in a rookie like Miller come post season was concerning
  2. connorp
    If you have a roulette wheel with 40 spots, 30 are black and 10 are red.. your core beliefs revolve around you’re not any smarter betting black because it comes up red sometimes… and “haha you bet black and it’s red, duumbass” It’s mlb conventional window that SP gives you the edge up in playoffs and so do stars. That’s why they get paid something different than per WAR. GMs are also smart and wouldn’t be paying closers $20m/year unless they know they’re paying for the playoffs to come around and the player to be more meaningful
  3. connorp
    Sure if you want to latch on the HR part, but LG and Thomas aren’t having good post-seaons overall
  4. connorp
    Stars and hrs win games. It would be hard to even classify Bo as a star this year with a .800 OPS and lack on sb. He held his own in the post-season though I guess
  5. connorp
    I will say it’s not like pre-season you could think Springer and Vlad would be so bad. I certainly didn’t. But come playoffs it was a s*** team that wasn’t going to make it
  6. connorp
    It’s not silly, dude. It’s plain to see if you just go look at box scores. Philly and AZ have been carried by their stars. It’s not the other guys finding magic
  7. connorp
    The ongoing theme here is Jays roster was sub-optimal and it’s loser talk attributing it to bad luck. Sub optimal roster combined with horrendous managing.
  8. connorp
    I’ll note pre-games I said once Woodruff was hurt, the Brewers were the worst team and I hoped for their swift exit. Can’t hit for anything and the only way they were a danger was those two Aces. AZ definitely benefitting from Kershaw s***ing the bed and LAD depleted SP. other than that, they’re just being carried by the same bats and pitching that got them there. Gallen 2 wins. Ginkel 3 holds. Sewald 3 saves. The only sort of revelation through 4 games is Pham.
  9. connorp
    Pretty sure he read it wrong and didn’t understand you meant someone other than Bo and Vlad would need to be a 4 WAR guy
  10. connorp
    To see if this is just me spouting off. It’s a pretty simple fact check. Take regular season wRC+, compare it to post-season wRC+ for everyone, see if there’s any difference over a sample size of a decade or whatever
  11. connorp
    Of course there’s going to be all sorts of randomness going on, you can’t quantify any of that if you try. But you can use basic reasoning to understand what gives you the best chances
  12. connorp
    One simple way to look at it is a drop in OPS, as you’re not going to be padding your stats off bad pitching. So an .850 OPS guy is more like a .780 OPS guy and a .700 OPS guy is more like a .620 OPS guy. Those are just random made up numbers. Could the .620 OPs guy run into a random homer, sure, but generally speaking he’s borderline unplayable
  13. connorp
    Bro, are you trying to say the offensive environment isn’t different in the playoffs. When you’re facing an Ace pitcher 2x in 4 games and only the best pen options and other SP. god found you have an original thought
  14. connorp
    Fair enough. I think I just think of the Marlins as a franchise that’s an also ran
  15. connorp
    As had been discussed, big bats become a difference maker, and team like the Jays that are 7th in wRC+ based on filling out the lineup with guys that can OPS .720 instead of .650, become exposed when the offense environment changes
  16. connorp
    There’s teams that sneak in the like the Marlins that everyone knows are going nowhere and there’s teams with upside that can make some noise
  17. connorp
    They have some big bats that can do damage. Marte, Walker, Corbin. Guys like Moreno unlocking some potential. They have an Ace is Gallen. 4 games, they got to use him two. Unfortunately Gausman couldn’t be maximized bc the bats were limp.
  18. connorp
    That would’ve been something if Miller didn’t make it out of the 1st
  19. connorp
    LAD starters. Woof.
  20. connorp
    Stay on topic
  21. connorp
    I wonder what narratives were getting tossed out there when Kershaw got annihilated.
  22. connorp
    There were plenty of games teams were fully prepared for Gausman I’m sure. He just didn’t have it. Again, everyone will have an opinion though
  23. connorp
    Phillies have played 4 games, Wheeler has started two. Gaining wins with Cavan Biggio and his equivalent in pitching doesn’t mean much when you get to the post-season, because they become worthless. The line between elite defense and solid defense doesnt present itself in a short series like it may over 162 games. In fact, often times it needs more then 162 games to manifest itself. There’s definitely a “type” of roster that’s built better for the post season compared to a team that may have won a similar amount of games in the regular season. That doesn’t guarantee success to course, you can go in with three aces and they can have bad games. But certain recipes are better than others and the Jays weren’t cooking anything good this year with those bats
  24. connorp
    I can understand the reasoning you’re trying to lay down, but objective observers were sour on the Jays going in. The two places I saw all the playoff teams ranked, had the Jays offense ranked 9th and 10th out of 12 respectively. Marlins shouldn’t even count.
  25. connorp
    21 was the year of having a terrible BP and we pulled a SP that was dealing for AJ Cole. The seasons short coming shining through
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