It’s impossible to quantify the impact of a couple strong bats. You go down a never ending rabbit hole of when the hits come, this pitcher throws this pitch instead of that pitch due to the situation, this pitcher gets pulled for this pitcher, etc.
Also, as you’re dealing with humans, how winning 3 or 4 games instead of losing them in a short period, may change approach.
If could have also very little to no impact. So admittedly, the best thing is the nerd model and just use whatever incremental value it says. But certainly isn’t the be all tell all.