Laika
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Everything posted by Laika
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A+ prospect score lists. https://www.radioscouts.com/blog/stat-scouting-the-minors-z-scores-for-high-a-hitters Luis Garcia, top 10 MLB prospect soon? Gavin Lux seems extremely likely to have a decent MLB outcome. So many excellent prospects were taken right before Zeuch in 2016 - Kiriloff (15), Whitley (17), Rutherford (18), Justin Dunn (19), Lux (20)
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Feels good man
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Britton has absolutely not been really bad for 2 years. He has a 3.00 ERA since 2017 - you're obviously just looking at his K/BB and FIP / fWAR. FIP doesn't work for extreme scenarios like Britton where batted ball profiles are actually controlled by the pitcher. Britton has been better than his FIP every year since he became a full time RP. So Britton projects for a better ERA than Robertson. In other words, he projects to be better than Robertson. He is also younger. And he had an agent this offseason, while Robertson foolishly represented himself. And Britton has immense upside. Like, best RP in the game upside. 4 win reliever upside! Crazy
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https://www.radioscouts.com/blog/stat-scouting-the-minors-z-scores-for-high-a-hitters High-A lists are done. Wall and Espinal rank well based on their pre-trade numbers. Brock Lundquist is the Dunedin sleeper who ranks highly.
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Tim Horton's used to make their donuts in house. I don't know if they were DONUTS but at least they were baked fresh or something. They only started doing the frozen thing, I want to say, 7 years ago?
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BP Introduces New Offensive Statistic in DRC+
Laika replied to Spanky99's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Can you imagine actually caring about that guy's opinion about the content of that list? wow There is literally no novel information there. Nothing interesting at all. It's just a random reorganization of (mostly) the top players in the 2018 draft, with some stream of conscious text sprinkled in. -
I don't because they already would have pulled that trigger IMO
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I really don't know. Objectively, perhaps, but they need the right trade partner.
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This is basically all I am saying - keep him until some team offers an actual asset for him. Something like Trent Thornton (or even a bit less) would be sufficient.
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All of this information gets fed into the projection machine, which still expects him to be a 2 win player next year. The plate discipline stuff is really pretty minor - still within a bat toss of his career rates. The bat is annoying but a ~90 wRC+ player is hardly horrendous. Even if the defense has declined, the advanced numbers caught it last year, I guess, and I don't see why it would just fall off a cliff for him at 29/30. We could also choose to cherry pick some positives, like the fact that his ISO was up a bit last year (maybe explains the higher K rate - trying to hit the ball harder) and he was a smarter baserunner which the fancy stats noticed. He has no appreciable upside beyond variance within what we know he is, but I think his downside is also limited because defense and speed and contact rarely slump for extended periods of time.
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Kevin Pillar is viciously underrated, somehow, after being previously very overrated. He's durable, reliable, consistently league average with equivalent projections, he is 29 with two years of control, and he doesn't cost much. His 10.1 fWAR over the last four seasons makes him a top ~30 outfielder in baseball. f***, you can do a lot worse than that. And depending which religion you belong to he might be significantly better - his bWAR is a much higher 13.5 over than span (his career DRS is double his UZR!!!). I don't like watching him hit either, but c'mon. I am very much opposed to trading him just for the sake of an Anthony Alford trial-by-turf.
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Self help books
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Thanks pal, we are enjoying it and it is slowly growing by every measure
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RE: Ryan Noda, Chad Spanberger https://www.radioscouts.com/blog/stat-scouting-the-minors-z-scores-for-a-ball-hitters
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I have some good Chad Spanberger / Kevin Smith content for you guys - the A-Ball lists of the spreadsheets I am throwing together. https://www.radioscouts.com/blog/stat-scouting-the-minors-z-scores-for-a-ball-hitters (Also some cold water on Ryan Noda)
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Great list, Todd. Ryan Noda is too high and Chad Spamburger is too low, but other than that not much to comment on. I would swap Reggie Pruitt (don't like the look of him) with Cullen Large.
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"[Tulo] always wanted to be a Yankee, and tried to get there years before..."
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The fourth year is a player option so it’s guaranteed as far as the M’s are concerned. They cannot bail after 3.
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Asking for Richard to breakout or turn into the something at the deadline is very wishful thinking. This is an innings eater for 2019 and nothing more, even in the 80th percentile outcome. Not that there’s anything wrong with that!
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Cumulative Z-Scores for low-A hitters in the MWL and NYPL. https://www.radioscouts.com/blog/stat-scouting-the-minors-z-scores-for-low-a-hitters Nothing too technical, but it's a bit better than eyeballing the leaders since the Z-Score inputs are at least based on the inputs to KATOH. Otto Lopez and Mc Gregory Contreras appear in the NWL top 20, along with Andy Yerzy.
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Common sense tactics: - tweet out articles / podcasts multiple times and in different ways - use visuals - pictures and gifs get more engagement on twitter than just text and links - tweet as a human sometimes, it doesn't have to always be a tweet from the blog promoting an article or podcast - "engage" - use hashtags and @ people, reply to tweets, etc. --> especially people in the community you want to engage with. Don't be scared to tweet an article from another blog to promote them too.
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On Shoemaker and Richard --> https://www.radioscouts.com/blog/blue-jays-add-underrated-pitching-depth-in-shoemaker-richard
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Rolled my thoughts on Shoemaker and Richard into one blog, share it with your mom --> https://www.radioscouts.com/blog/blue-jays-add-underrated-pitching-depth-in-shoemaker-richard
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This is such a disgusting and boring but no-brainer / good-on-paper trade, lmao. The ultimate Atkins 2019 move. Makes all the sense in the world and pisses off the masses.
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It’s really weird how quiet the Kikuchi front has been. Press conference at 9:30?
