Laika

?????? You know Liriano is 37, right? And he was a full time reliever in 2019... There's a chance he has stayed in shape and the fastball is still there. He could be a decent backend or middle RP.

Even Lowry and Siakam fit that archetype, sort of. Stanley Johnson's playmaking has been impressive this year. Davis has been a bit disappointing. Seems like he's not fitting in with the system or something.

Paxton, German Marquez, Sonny Gray, David Price.... use your imagination

There are 1000 different ways to read that

It's a hard trade to analyze because of the opt out. It might a horrible trade. It might be fine. My assumption was that Colorado might pay down some portion of Arenado's 2021 salary but the majority of the $51M would only become applicable if he does not opt out. But no! Morosi said: Jon Morosi @jonmorosi Source: The #Rockies are paying Nolan Arenado's $35 million salary this season; $15 million is owed to the Cardinals in this calendar year, with the remaining $20 million deferred. Which really makes it seem like the "$20 million deferred" is already locked in and guaranteed. So in Scenario A where Arenado opts out, the Cardinals are giving up Gomber and the "prospects" and will have to pay Arenado $20M in 2021, but the Rockies at some point will reimburse them for the $20M. So it's like Gomber + the "prospects" for one year of Arenado that really only costs a couple million bucks, or whatever it costs to pay that $20M up front considering the time value of money blah blah. In Scenario A the Cardinals make out like absolute bandits because they get a 4 WAR player for not much more than Gomber and some s*** prospects. Arenado at a cost of say $2M is probably worth like $30M in surplus value and I doubt Gomber and Montero etc. combined are worth more than $10M. Scenario B is where Arenado does not opt out. The Cardinals then pay him $214M through 2027, less the $51M from Colorado, so 7/$163M. He's 1.5 years younger than George Springer and projects to be slightly worse in 2021 by both Steamer and ZiPS.... .... Scenario B actually does strike me as a negative value scenario. I think Arenado has less than no projected surplus value on that contract and it has albatross risk. Gomber and the prospects aren't a big package to give up but they also make it a bit worse. People can say that he would absolutely get 7/$163 with the signing team sacrificing a high draft pick on the open market, and they might be right, but that doesn't make it a positive contract. So the whole thing swings on whether or not he opts out. How do you straddle that risk? The negotiations must have been fascinating. If he opts out after 2021 he will be opting out of 6/$179M. Pretty huge risk. Doubt he does that but he might if he has a career year. Is he capable of a 7+ WAR season? If he opts out after 2022 it will be 5/$144. Again a huge risk. Again I doubt he opts out, but I think it's a but more likely for him to opt out after 2022 than after 2021. The CBA will also be expiring before 2022 so that has to be considered somehow. It's hilarious but St. Louis is likely hoping he is so amazing in 2021 and or 2022 that he just opts out and f***s off.

#1, not close

Okay

I'll gladly take an old Ace on a short deal in a compete year, lol. Some of those geezers are awesome. 2/$66 for Scherzer please and thanks.

I think those figures are both high.

One of Atkins or Shapiro made a recent comment about the SP market being "tough" right now. Perhaps these mid/low market SPs are holding the line and asking for decent chunks of change. The Angels' motivations in trading for Cobb might be similar to some of the motivations Toronto had in trading for Matz. Although the Jays' Matz trade was probably first and foremost a 40 man clearing trade.

Meh, Jones has very much flopped in AA; .653 OPS in 178 games. The reasonable upside there is probably below average starter or bench player and the mean projection is replacement level.

Google Trevor Bauer Mickey Callaway

If the O's are eating like $8-10M and only getting a C prospect then that's fine for LAA. Buy fantasy stocks in Akin, Kremer, and Baumann because they are going to pitch this year.

Whoever wrote that article is very confused.

Sounds like he fought a teammate? He'll probably end up in Florida and him and Duclair will fight to the death

Still waiting on the full details here eh. There has to be more complexity to it than has been reported. I just cannot accept, until it is confirmed, that the Rockies are just throwing $50M away with Arenado.

It's tough for any catcher, no matter how talented, to consistently put up impact fantasy numbers.

No.

There's something about wonderful defensive third basemen... I don't have data but they seem to age well. Maybe that's just my brain jumping to a few players like Beltre and Rolen

He's just the only comparable. The other great Rockies hitters either didn't leave (Helton) or left when they were old or broken (Tulo).

Only looks like a small step back if you look at stats that aren't park adjusted

Yes. Holliday is the obvious one

It's well documented that having Coors as your home field tanks your road numbers. Something about constantly adjusting to different pitch dynamics. I'm not worried about Arenado's offense at all.

Salaries have not been very depressed this offseason and not depressed at all for top end talent. Look at Springer, Realmuto, Hendriks.