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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. You guys DON'T EVEN UNDERSTAND how many 1-2 WAR players Ross Atkins is going to produce in the next few years
  2. - old age - league has a book on him 1500 pages long - weak muscles - forgot how to aim his line drives - cobwebs - karma - bad juju - rheumatoid arthritis - alzheimer's - just doesn't have it - Cialis side effect - God's plan
  3. I dunno dudes A geezer underperforms his xStats for 1250 plate appearances consecutively... ... you sure it's just luck? you sure about that?
  4. He's pretty young. Stupid decision, very immature, but I don't exactly blame a guy for being burnt out after catching an entire NCAA season and then a month in A ball. Who knows why he wanted the season to be over. Mental health issues? If it's gambling related then he is f***ed. If he was thinking the other team would return the favor so he could hit some cheap homers and look better than he is, then he is f***ed. But if he was just burnt out and is depressed or something, then some team probably will sign him for nothing and get a free s***** C prospect.
  5. Springer ages 26-32 (2016 to 2022) .271/.358/.500 10.8% BB 20.0% K .203 ISO +3.7 BsR +4.3 SPD score 45 SB in 826 games -22.1 Def (talent + position adjustment) 42.7% Pull 35.8% hard hit (not statcast) 36.1% FB 45.1% GB 89.1 mph EV 116.4 maxEV 10.2% barrel Springer ages 33-34 (2023-2024) .241/.318/.393 9.3% BB 18.6% K .152 ISO +2.6 BsR +5.0 SPD score 34 SB in 288 games -14.6 Def (talent + position adjustment) 40% Pull 32.7% hard hit (not statcast) 34.1% FB 47.2% GB 88.1 mph EV 115.9 maxEV 8.4% barrel There are some weird trends there. The decline in raw power is expected, but why are the speed components of his game ticking up? Is he trying to cope with the change in his skills and provide value in other ways? It seems like there is an associated approach change and he is hitting the ball up the middle and on the ground more often. I wonder if this is sort of intentional or just a side effect of less bat speed. It would be frustrating to find out he is trying to defy the aging curve by slapping the ball around more and doing sprints all offseason so he can steal more bases... Like, a power hitter who is a .271/.358/.500 dude, who declines a bit, you would expect to maybe walk just as much or MORE as an old man but just hit for a lower average and with a bit less pop. Like Carlos Santana, who was .259/.366/.498 at age 30 and .240/.318/.429 at f***ing 37 years old. That's less hits but still a .189 ISO. Corner outfield guy like George, you kind of want him to age into a DH who can still do damage, right? George's power has declined more than it should have. There is a way out of this, and it's pretty simple, he needs to just find his old batted ball profile and pull it in the air a bit more. He won't do that and hit .271 anymore because that level of skill is gone, but can probably hit .230/.320/.430 or so instead of the not impactful .241/.318/.393 (101 wRC+) line he has provided in the last two years. Not a huge bump but that might be a 110 wRC+ or so. Which would be fine.
  6. Also not the worst Some of these guys are good for like one season and then then into 0 WAR pumpkins At least Springer still does... some stuff
  7. Also not the worst Some of these guys are good for like one season and then then into 0 WAR pumpkins At least Springer still does... some stuff
  8. Francis is a bit of a command artist I guess I think his K rate could go up if he gets more confidence in his secondaries and throws them a bit more often next year Not that he necessarily has to since the fastball has good shape and can get outs. 50% fastballs will mean lower K rate but it might mean less walks and more efficient outings I guess Bailey Ober and Joe Ryan are comps The Twins would love this guy
  9. He's also an injury risk because of the age Butter him up because He's Toast!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
  10. what are you guys smoking he had a 104 wRC+ last year and has a 97 wRC+ this season. That is across over 1200 PA. he turns thirty-f***ing-five in 7 days I would love for him to be 18% better than league average with the stick but that doesn't strike me as at all likely
  11. HOT NEW TORONTO BLUE JAYS WAIVER CLAIM RELIEVER!!!!!!!!!!!! Brett de Geus
  12. Splits are funny I think his second half and first half wRC+ are identical He really just had one hot month, July
  13. LOL that reaction I love him
  14. I mean he is right, even if "playing the game the right way" is pretty heavy coded language that the Baseball Old Boys Conservation Club uses all the time Toronto continues to be one of the worst baserunning teams in baseball and a lot of that is just stupidity. They ground into double plays at an alarming rate, don't exactly rise to the occasion ever, they blow games, they are not clutch... the defense is not as solid as it was pre-deadline: Kirk - great Varsho - great Clement - fine but yips Vlad - s*** Barger - s*** Horwitz - s*** at 2B Wagner/Schneider at 2B - I mean these are guys you hide at 2B Schneider in LF - sucks Springer - bad What does this organization even do right? What do they do "the right way" at this point? They suck on talent and they suck on fundamentals, lol.
  15. f*** that man Leave him in
  16. Yeah but I think it was... "we have our main 3B but if Chapman falls in our lap I guess we can make IKF the UTIL" it wasn't really... "we have our plan B 3B but we are still going to shoot for Chappy"
  17. lol it wasn't "bad" remember the context. The 3B FA/trade options were Chapman, Suarez, Candelario, or.... IKF. Nobody wanted B or C (B worked out well in hindsight!) and A made it almost impossible for Toronto to sign him. C was a pricey flop. Toronto paid $7.5M AAV for a guy who was a very high probability 1.5 WAR 450 PA 3B, given what was known about his defense and contact skills. There was also some weak evidence that he might be a better hitter than he'd shown (maxEV is decent) and getting anybody out of the New York pressure cooker seems like a good idea generally. It was a boring/safe signing with some interesting sprinkles and those sprinkles paid off very well. Boss Ross.
  18. They are saying it was a bad signing and Ross got lucky.
  19. But they also want to see Barger, Wagner, Jimenez, Clement get reps on the infield. Like, does Barger even have a chance at third? Can Wagner play second? Important things to figure out too
  20. Probably just PR damage control from Camp Bo. He was starting to look like a s*** teammate. That doesn't really help his value or trade chances
  21. Well there will always be exceptions. Kwan and Arraez are very rare archetypes. There have been other players of different styles who had careers built on batting average. Tim Anderson comes to mind. Horwitz is probably a somewhat basic hitter actually. Just a good approach and 15-20 HR power. Yeah the Jays might be trying to find these "sneaky good" hitters at the end of the roster. Have a handful now. When everyone in the league is chasing exit velo and barrels you can't just chase the same skills and expect to be good. But you could argue that Toronto overdid it and that's part of why they blew up. Too much reliance on avg. The Bo, Kirk, Vlad all weren't getting hits at the same time. I dunno. Not enough oomph.
  22. It's also highly variable. LD rate and BABIP are hard to project. So you can be a true talent .290 hitter but when you hit tough luck you f***ing suck. See Bichette, Bo.
  23. Yeah most players have to sell out for power or else they will suck Pitching too good to get lots of singles and walks but you can guess right often enough to hit 15-20 homers
  24. yeah you wanted Rocker + Roman Anthony + Eldridge for Nola also tried to dangle Freeman and Seager for him in other deals lol fetish
  25. Romano did not have TJS so he could be 100% healthy in 2025 Projected ERAs: Green: 3.98 Burr: 3.88 Green should be a fine secondary setup guy. Burr might have good enough command of his solid breaking ball to be a good middle reliever. From the kinds of guys they have been claiming recently, or promoting, I think they have their model right for the bullpen. Easton Lucas - 124 stuff+ slider and sits 94.7, projected ERA of 4.18 Luis Frias - sits 96.3, projected ERA of 4.11, 112 overall stuff+ Brandon Eisert - 4.04 projected ERA, 114 stuff+ fastball from the left side Emmanuel Ramirez - 4.16 projected ERA, 115 overall stuff+ with a 132 on his splitter... Tommy Nance - 122 overall stuff+ (huge curveball grade...) Some of those guys have a shot... maybe something like this would be enough: Romano FREE AGENT Green Burr FREE AGENT Little/Eisert Nance/Ramirez/Lucas
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