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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    Well, Vernon Wells looks like a toucan / a black cro magnon man
  2. Laika
    The Orioles are a team that's basically built to mock the Blue Jays woeful recent history. Manny Machado is the stud that Brett Lawrie was supposed to be right now. Chris Davis is the late blooming cleanup hitter that Travis Snider was supposed to be. Adam Jones is basically a younger, more handsome, and better version of Vernon Wells. Nate McLouth is the stopgap LF that's actually working out, and not playing like s***. etc. etc. etc.
  3. Laika
    Doesn't hit for a high average. Doesn't have plus power or plus speed. Role 5 player. Only chance here is if he's a GREAT clubhouse guy. Which is possible, because he's really, really white.
  4. Laika
    Oh, it's all just a pipe dream. Don't worry. No delusions here.
  5. Laika
    Really depends how he finished out the year. He's on pace for over 5 WAR right now. What if he somehow stays healthy and hits .300/.370 with 70 stolen bases? Then he'd get paiiiiiiiiid. Or he could break a rib tomorrow and not get paid.
  6. Laika
    You can promote a prospect whenever. If you're about to make a trade for one extra pick or something, you could just promote Arcia immediately as you make the trade to avoid going over 12 (if that's what you're thinking).
  7. Laika
    Unless Rogers opens the wallet a little wider. Then the Jays are sittin' pretty. Seems kind of unthinkable, but so was a ~130M payroll at this time last year.
  8. Laika
    He's gonna get the groundballs. The FIP isn't gonna be pretty, but the amount of plays that the Blue Jays can make behind him could be the difference between a low 4's ERA, or something north of 6. Lawrie would help immensely. Reyes marginally.
  9. Laika
    Leave it to Esmil to throw 7.0 innings of 5.06 FIP baseball against Texas and look good doing it.
  10. Laika
    The depth was terrible though. Better to have Wang in the rotation and Jenkins as depth than to have Jenkins in the rotation and some shitbag like McGuire behind him. They both suck ass though. Only good thing about Wang is that they can treat him like dirt and have him throw 140 s***** pitches every night, saving the bullpen (hopefully). God knows they need it with this sorry rotation.
  11. Laika
    One thing we could vote on and implement in the future maybe is an in season DFA system. Say you have 12 prospects and you trade for one. You need to immediately DFA one of your prospects. Then other teams have 24 hours to make you an offer for that guy. If you can't work out a suitable deal in 24 hours, then the prospect gets cut.
  12. Laika
    Flip Bautista for Profar. Bautista is a big downgrade to a Gose/Rasmus+someone platoon (Maybe -3 WAR or more), but Profar is probably just as big of an upgrade at 2B over Mouser/Bonehead. Profar the better asset and long term piece by far. With the 14M in yearly savings, sign Brian McCann. Trade JPA for depth pitching. Some team might maybe give up a Happ type arm, with options. Massive profits!
  13. Laika
    Not even ASAP. It's just not allowed during the season. So in the future when we have full minor league rosters, if you have 12 prospects and you make a trade to bring in a prospect, you'll have to cut someone as part of that trade (or throw someone back to the other guy, if he wants the player). Right now during the draft we've capped picks + prospects at 12, so the same logic applies, except we've stated that you cannot cut picks or prospects while the draft is going on, so it would all have to be worked into the trade. If it would take multiple trades to work that out then you'd have to hold off on agreeing and announcing the first one until you'd found that second necessary trade. It would all have to be simultaneous. No window or anything. In the offseason there is, of course, no roster limits. We just have a cut down date in the spring where everyone cuts down to 12 minor leaguers and 20 big leaguers.
  14. Laika
    As per the recent trade, it's actually Silvergun that's on the clock
  15. Laika
    You've been up in the DDL for like, nine hours!
  16. Laika
    So not counting 2013, something like: 2.5 WAR 3.25 WAR 3.5 WAR 3.75 WAR 4 WAR For, let's say, 24 million total. vs. Bautista's: 4 WAR 3.5 WAR 3 WAR for 42 million. Seems like a no-brainer. And recognizing that in any given season, both of them have crazy 6+ win upside, Profar gives you two more D20 rolls at benefiting from such years.
  17. Laika
    I get that, but I guess I would counter that it's more about his particular profile than the fact that he "topped the lists". Even completely separate from his placement on the woefully murky, scouting dependent top prospect lists, Profar's statistical profile just screams "phenom". Shortstop that looks good at shortstop, with an age vs. level that is like two standard deviations above the norm at every stop, with a career minor league walk rate of 12.7%, K rate of 13.9%, and ISO of .182. Throw in SB speed and the 78% SB rate, the batting average and how good the hit tool looks, in addition to all the other tools.... he's just not normal. Not a normal top 10 hitting prospect. Same can be said about a guy like Oscar Taveras. It's factors like: age vs. level * taking walks * power without having to sell out AT ALL for it * defensive profile
  18. Laika
    That's what they list for "present worth discounted WAR", since a win in 6 years is worth less than a win now. But we didn't discount Bau's future WARz so I just looked at the six year average sums that they had.
  19. Laika
    Well, I am biased in the sense that I'm on one side of the argument. Having seen them both play, I would say that Harper is a very good RF and Profar is a very good SS. Closer to 18 according to this But even to call him a "top 10 hitting prospect" is a bit dubious. That lumps him in with guys like d'Arnaud. Profar was arguably the top prospect in baseball, period, heading into 2013. Right now he's probably a top 3 hitting prospect with Oscar and Buxton, in some order. He's a top 10 hitting prospect in the same sense that Longo is a top 10 3B. If piratesprospects re-binned the top end of their study to "top 3 hitting prospects" instead of top 10, I wonder how much the proj surp would change.
  20. Laika
    Yeah. Hang onto him for the off chance that Toronto makes a miracle push for the 2nd wildcard spot. Offer him the 13M or whatever, qualifying offer. If he declines, cool. If he accepts, cool.
  21. Laika
    Maybe the Harper talent comp is a bit hyperbolic before he's done anything. Or maybe not. One of them has slick SS chops, and the other one is a good corner outfielder. The playing field isn't exactly level. Harper, born in 1992, OPS'd .817 in 2012 and it was borderline other-worldy (considering his age). I really think Profar, born in 1993, could OPS .750 right now, and considering his position I'm pretty sure that would be in nearly the same league of value all things considered. But I think you gave Bautista an extra year of control there. It's something like (2ish + 4 + 3.5 + 3) for ~50M. If it's 8/WAR then that's like, 50M surplus through 2016. Profar would crush that. Three league average years at league minimum (probably well below his mean projection for the next 3 years) and he'd already be approaching 50M in surplus value (in the fantastical 8M/WAR paradigm), even before he hits arbitration.
  22. Laika
    This place is dumb. Ju1ced, burn it down.
  23. Laika
    Not sure. Completely different class of prospect though. Mike Olt is/was pretty overrated. 302 strikeouts in 270 minor league games. He's just another one of those strikeouts vs. power lottery tickets without an up-the-middle defensive profile. Profar just turned 20 and he's in the big leagues with a .760 OPS. He's insane. All things considered, as talented as a guy like Bryce Harper.
  24. Laika
    Profar is 100x the player that Wil Myers is. Texas would be drunk to trade Profar for 2 or 3 expensive years of mid 30's Bautista. It would be grand f***ing larceny. Bautista for Kinsler makes sense, in a nutshell. I doubt even that happens though, because the respective personalities seem to important to both clubs.
  25. Laika
    hahahahaha simmer down kids.
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