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magits

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Everything posted by magits

  1. I know its not perfect but nice to see. Baby steps.
  2. I guess we were just spoiled by AA. Shapiro should have stuck to stadium renovations and ticket pricing.
  3. This guy comes in, nudges out AA, talks so much about having more money to spend than in Cleveland and then has an off-season like this?? Trades one of our best relievers for Jesse Chavez? Signs ace J.A. Happ? Pays Justin friggin Smoak 3.9 Million???? This guy is bringing his penny pinching ways from Cleveland to Toronto. I can't think of a more underwhelming off-season. Shapiro has literally added 20 million in payroll without adding anyone of impact. Nice.
  4. I've been saying this stuff for years.
  5. The signing of Macro Estrada was great news for the Jays. But they still have two holes to fill in their starting rotation. Where is Felix Doubront? This guy was a reliable starter for a championship Red Sox team a few years ago and still possesses mlb stuff. In 2015 with the Jays he had a 3.35 FIP. The last mention I can find of him was in this July 2015 post on mlbtraderumors: http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/felix-doubront Otherwise rotoworld suggests he is on a minor league contract right now with the cubs. It can't take much to trade for him and with him being at league minimum that would allow the Jays enough money to go for Greinke. Maybe the Cubs would be willing to do a Revere for Doubront type scenario if the Cubs threw in a couple million to compensate. 1. Greinke 2. Stroman 3. Doubront 4. Dickey 5. Estrada
  6. How does Cosby's case have anything to do with Twitter lol. Chances are when you have that number of women coming out against you, you're probably going to be guilty (see jian ghomeshi) And the arguments that men have the right to defend themselves is stupid. There's an obvious power differential. If a mentally handicapped kid threw a punch at you is it acceptable to beat the s*** out of him?
  7. http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2015/11/nexen-heros-accept-12-85mm-posting-fee-for-byung-ho-park.html He was claimed for 12.85 Million. Here are his stats in the KBO: Year Age AgeDif Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS TB GDP HBP SH SF IBB 2013 26 -2.5 Nexen KBO Fgn 128 556 450 91 143 17 0 37 117 10 2 92 96 .318 .437 .602 1.039 271 7 8 0 6 4 2014 27 -1.9 Nexen KBO Fgn 128 571 459 126 139 16 2 52 124 8 3 96 142 .303 .433 .686 1.119 315 13 12 0 4 3 2015 28 Nexen KBO Fgn 140 622 528 129 181 35 1 53 146 10 3 78 161 .343 .436 .714 1.150 377 10 12 0 4 6 Quite a bit better than Jung Ho-Kang actually who was the steal of the offseason last year for Pittsburgh. Keep in mind the KBO is a very hitter friendly environment and that Eric Thames is crushing there. According to MLBtraderumors it's not the Indians, Tigers, Orioles, Red Sox, or Padres. To me, the following teams appear unlikely: NL East: Mets: Duda Nationals: Zimmerman Marlins: Bour Braves: Freeman Phillies: Howard NL Central: Cubs: Rizzo Cincinatti: Votto NL West: Dodgers: Gonzalez Giants: Belt Arizona: Goldschmidt AL East: Yankees: Texiera Rays: too poor AL Central: Royals: Morales WSox: Abreu Twins: Mauer AL West: Angels: Pujols Rangers: Fielder This leaves the Jays, Oakland, Seattle, St. Louis, Pittsburgh, and the Astros. Oakland seems like the most likely to me and it smells like a low risk high reward type of move Beane would make. Pittsburgh and St. Louis also make a lot of sense. Could the Jays be a fit? They could keep Edwin at DH permanently and have Park man first - but where does that leave Colabello? Interesting to ponder...
  8. Good trades are the result of relationship building/persistence with other GM's. And yeah contract negotiations would be another strength, although his best contract negotiations were when he had leverage (Bautista after one year, Edwin after one year). I guess the Martin contract was good although he may not be worth his price tag in a few years.
  9. IMO Alex's Greatest strengths are: 1. Drafting (scouting) 2. Relationship building. All of his greatest trades have been accomplished by him being doggedly persistent, constantly checking in, phoning, and squeezing the most out of other GM's. It's a skill that is very valuable. I really think Shapiro and Anthopolous is a dream combination.
  10. What a great series. So THIS is what playoff baseball is like! It's great playing the same team so often you really get to know their players and you can tell each team gets to know the other team's relievers and make adjustments accordingly! Anyhow, such a great series deserves an MVP. Joey Bats had the huge home run and RBI double in game 5, Donaldson had the monster 2R HR in game 4 and some key hits. Edwin had the big home run to tie the game in the 6th today. Pillar played fantastic defense throughout and hit really well the whole series. Goins played unreal defense in game 5 but didn't collect a hit the entire series.
  11. Doing a player by player comparison we have: KC: P Johnny Cueto < Dallas Keuchel P Yordano Ventura = Scott Kazmir P Edinson Volquez < McHugh P Chris Young = McCullers 1B Carter < Hosmer 2B Altuve = Zobrist 3B Valbuena < Moustakas SS Correa > Escobar C Castro < Perez RF Springer >>> Rios LF Rasmus << Gordon CF Gomez = Cain DH Gattis << Morales Kc Bullpen > Astros Overall appears pretty even. The astros pitchers are much better but they do have 2 lefties while the Royals have none. I think the Astros line up given their propensity to strike out are a perfect match for the Jays Strikeout pitchers. I'd rather face the Astros.
  12. Gotta be Barry Davis for me. Annoyed me how to tried to ambush JD coming out of the dugout after the walkoff win as he was saluting the crowd.
  13. heh... heh... giggity
  14. Fine, look at Donaldson's first homer then. Much longer camera angle of the post-homer dugout celebration (PHDC). Still super lame. http://m.mlb.com/video/v382530183/torphi-donaldson-opens-scoring-with-monster-homer/?game_pk=415436
  15. I don't buy that. The Yankees have been in first place all season and still have way better celebrations.
  16. This is a very serious thread regarding the Bluejays dugout celebrations. I have noticed for a while since the departures of Jose Reyes and "God damnit I love it" Danny Valencia, the dugout celebrations have been, for lack of a better word, lame. Just look at the difference between the celebration to Arod's grand slam: http://m.mlb.com/video/v383285583/minnyy-arod-launches-a-goahead-grand-slam And Donaldson's 3R HR tonight http://m.mlb.com/video/topic/8878984/v382969783/torphi-donaldsons-second-homer-puts-blue-jays-up Is there an issue now with team chemistry with all these new faces??? -Magits
  17. Your team sucks though
  18. I like how he had to specify he wouldn't want the injuries to be life threatening
  19. I think the main issue is that there are straw man arguments made by both sides. Stats people fall into the trap of thinking that people who criticizes FIP must also believe that ERA is better than FIP. It's not true. FIP is clearly a better stat than ERA IN GENERAL. But it's not an absolute - if a pitcher under-performs his FIP, was the pitcher just unlucky, or are there other factors at play? I remember when Morrow was having some awful seasons with the Jays, people started to dig into the numbers and found that with runners on base, Morrow's ERA skyrocketed, and so thoughts were formed about his inability to pitch effectively from the stretch, a factor accounted for by ERA but not by FIP, as after giving up 5 runs, Morrow would go on to strike out 6 and walk none over the next 3 innings before imploding again. There is an interesting article here (http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2012/4/16/2933862/a-closer-look-at-pitchers-who-consistently-underperform-their) from 2012 about pitchers underperforming their FIP. It comes to a minor conclusion that perhaps pitchers do have SOME influence over their batted ball profiles, citing Johan Santana, who outperformed his FIP by 20 points over more than 2000 innings. ERA isn't a better stat than FIP, but FIP isn't bulletproof. There are always exceptions - pitchers outperform and underperform their fip, but if all of these pitchers' innings are taken in the aggregate and averaged over many years, this nuance is lost. Finally, I understand why advanced stats are defended so dearly, as they have been under attack since their inception. But that doesn't mean that SABRmetricians can rest on their laurels. There is more work to be done. Instead of defending FIP to the death, maybe try and understand WHY pitchers like Hutch have so badly underperformed. There could be a reason (luck may or may not be it), and if elucidated, it may help him pitch to his ability. In essence, FIP is a great gauge of ability (much better than ERA), which is why it predicts ERA better than ERA does, and why it is so frustrating to see Hutch struggle. But just because we have found a piece of the truth, it doesn't mean we have found the whole truth.
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