Tucker is also not projected to be a half win player this year and that's by Steamer which is always extremely conservative when it comes to young players. zips (which sucks, admittedly) has him at 3.3 WAR.
Also, Kyle Wright will probably end up as a #3ish guy. Certainly not bust territory.
India looks pretty good so far.
So that's Zimmer (injuries, TINSTAAP), Ray, Gordon, Frazier maybe, Starling and Hobgood. 6/11 were busts. I'd do a comparison with #4 and #3, but I suspect the success rate is similar and I can't be bothered.
Hurl is, and I know he hates this word, retarded