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Jimcanuck

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Everything posted by Jimcanuck

  1. Tercet is also a big hater of Sanchize.... thats a resounding boost to the Sanchize fandom
  2. The pitcher was Ang's cousin, to boot.
  3. Sure.... also a bad SS can mishandle or miss the tag on a bullet from the catcher on a steal attempt (Reyes/Martin). LF chasing after a ball the CF has called, who drops with error charged as a consequence (Davis/Rasmus last year). I would expect the impact of crap defenders on the stats of good defenders is greater than impact of good defenders on each other (Assdribble/Longo).
  4. no such thing as improper views.... even profs learn from their students from time to time
  5. maybe from being old (turn 50 on Mon) and its late
  6. My apologies, i misinterpreted the above as directed to me and being derogatory......
  7. Thanks, this is good. Would be useful for JFAS to verify his model by using it on established MLB'ers ie. determine the coefficient of correlation using MiLB and MLB stats for these. Nox' table is subjective(?), not agreeing that game events in Rk and A- ball is useful.... prospects at those levels are still generally quite raw. Would use "borderline useful".
  8. you might be interested to know that from 2012 to 2014 i compiled and analysed over 8000 records of pavement performance, consisting of both paired discrete and continuous data, and used advanced statistics to generate expected performance levels with time for 12 performance categories. it is pioneering work. will be presented at ottawa in the fall to national experts and again in washington early 2016 to international experts. i get that you are passionate about stats applied to baseball but keep in mind there are flaws to every model..... the limitations of the statistical modelling i carried out were recognized early on so the results corroborated with detailed field evaluations of in-service pavements. kinda similar to sabermetrics corroborated with scouting i suppose
  9. Be quiet, the adults are talking
  10. I can buy that, the jump from A+ to AA is the most difficult. Suggesting the talent at AA is 'major league'. So stats below AA shouldn't be given much weight......
  11. enough about this Hample guy..... who freaking cares!
  12. Not separating them. the question is when does sabermetrics exceed scouting in value. in other words both have value, but depending on the stage of the player's career, one has more relative value than the other. for example, the stats of a high school player probably has little value compared to a scout's assessment of potential
  13. no question sabermetrics will be reasonably accurate for players with at x number of years of data. using past performance to predict future performance in this case, barring injury, works. for prospects, the data is sparse, and MiLB statistics can be misleading. for prospects, scouting > sabermetrics. my question is, at what point does the crossover occur and sabermetrics exceed scouting reports in value?
  14. i indicated as much in my post.... the point being, trading for elite starters with control is not out of the question, especially when willing to give up top 100 prospects and/or an EE in return
  15. and some question the predictive accuracy of sabermetrics and get slammed for it. predictive stats reasonably accurate for veterans with several years of data, but new mlb players? nah
  16. Shelby Miller, Trevor Bauer, other top pitching prospects have been moved in recent years.... not out of the question the Mariners will move him. All i said is he is the better target instead of Happ this board talking about EE for strasburg (thehurl), of course less control on strasburg
  17. wells for napoli didnt make sense either all i am saying is if trading top prospects for pitching, get a young pitcher already in MLB instead of a guy with 5 or so years left if his arm doesn't go dead like Halladay first
  18. they will for the right deal. i'd rather norris, pompey, and whoever for walker instead of hamels
  19. kessel moved, thank god
  20. 2011 23 dingers and 0.6 WAR despite brutal D.... the consensus on the board after 2011 was if JPA improved his D he would be viable as a C... some like dr dinger didnt buy into the bat... swing too long, etc he improved the D but the O went to s*** and everyone including I turned against him
  21. thanks.... just an extended hot (and luck) streak
  22. haha prove it with the link I wanted JPA gone 2 years before he actually was..... admittedly after his 2011 season I thought he had a chance to stick as for Gomes, thought he was a very good asset and was pissed he was moved for very little return
  23. So when is Cola gonna go flat? (see what I did there) Is regression inevitable or has he found something?
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