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Jimcanuck

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Everything posted by Jimcanuck

  1. Jimcanuck
    It's early bro Stroman ? Dickey Estrada Chavez Hutchison, Sanchez, ? depth Jays have like $20M for the first ?
  2. Jimcanuck
    I don't want to go another year wondering why fatty is playing over Martin. If not Thole, some other cheap catcher exclusively for Dickey. Use the money for pitching for gawd's sake.
  3. Jimcanuck
    Ok how about Thor, Wheeler, and Flores from the Mets?
  4. Jimcanuck
    Thole every 5th day. Roll the money from Navy into the pot for a SP If Martin gets injured, scrub catchers are always available.
  5. Jimcanuck
    nobody untouchable
  6. Jimcanuck
    its possible but not a realistic prediction
  7. Jimcanuck
    i had .320 - .330 OBP for Pompey, as you may recall from earlier posts keep in mind, Travis was .361 last year playing out of his mind and way beyond expectations. a .360 OBP from Pompey would be a similar surprise
  8. Jimcanuck
    A-Rod and Bonds was white, they be treated much better.
  9. Jimcanuck
    Curious as to what Padres are willing to listen to wrt Shields. No doubt they would like him gone. Would they be willing to move both Shields and Ross for a lesser package than it would take for Ross alone? I see Shields as a prime bounceback candidate although the $21M a year price tag is daunting.
  10. Jimcanuck
    Jays would have to massively overpay, and Shapiro in charge. Not impossible, but want to make a bet. If Greinke signs with Toronto, I give you $100. If he doesn't, you give me $20.
  11. Jimcanuck
    I wouldn't do Pompey for Chapman and pretty sure that would be contrary to Shapiro's MO. Pompey can be the 4th OF and through various means he should see 300 PA in 2016. That's enough to know what we have. Revere likely gone after 2016 and JB needs a perma-move to 1B. Pillar / Pompey/ Alford 2017
  12. Jimcanuck
    Are we going to miss the ninja this offseason? I suspect moves would already have been made.
  13. Jimcanuck
    your sarcasm detector is broken
  14. Jimcanuck
    i know eh? no way Jays do that
  15. Jimcanuck
    jesus those KK numbers. is he the greatest defensive CF ever
  16. Jimcanuck
    not close at all.....
  17. Jimcanuck
    And the quality of which depends on budget, which none of us know. Depending on the budget, Tulo's $20M may or may not be manageable. I certainly hope we don't end up with Stroman and a bunch of #4/5 starters in 2016. Dickey is a #4, Hutch is a #5 with upside, Osuna/Sanchez can't be counted on for more than ~15 starts, nor can it be expected they perform as a SP better than a #4. And wrt the potential $15.8M starter Estrada, realistically he should be considered a #4 starter based on peripherals.
  18. Jimcanuck
    Because we have a giant SP hole. At least 2, and preferably 3 SP are needed. Why 3? Historically the 6th starter has started 20 games.
  19. Jimcanuck
    Not sure. Even with a pessimistic projection, with $/WAR going up each year, there should be surplus value in that contract. Surely Tulo has more value than Gose post 2014, who returned Travis?
  20. Jimcanuck
    - jays no longer have a max 5 yr contract limit. it comes down to "show me the money!" - probability that travis stays healthy is higher than it is for tulo - BJMB consensus is goins returns ~1.5 WAR as everyday shortstop. an upgrade is certainly preferable but not critical - Jays FO will need to negotiate with FA pitchers while working out a Tulo deal.... one doesn't happen without the other as for your last point, if there are other teams out there in need of a shortstop and middle of the order bat that believe Tulo will bounce back (and more importantly, stay healthy), Jays could land a ML ready blue chip prospect with the potential to do like Travis 2015 (surely Tulo has more trade value than ratface post 2014?) btw, while I believe trading Tulo is best for the franchise moving forward, the main purpose of these posts is to counteract the stupid "Tulo won't be traded, are you dumn?" posts
  21. Jimcanuck
    Yes if Osuna is a starter in 2016, it has to be from the get go, and he will have time to prepare from the day pitchers report in Feb. There is injury risk yes, but every decision is risk/reward. I'm not convinced Osuna's stuff will play out over multiple innings, but the potential reward is worth the risk. He can always be moved back to the bullpen if batters tee up the 2nd time through the order or he begins to tire by the 4th inning.
  22. Jimcanuck
    Trading Tulo is a justifiable move. - Steamer predicts 3.7 WAR from Tulo over 138 games. In his 8 season career, Tulo has eclipsed 138 games 3 times. - Goins played 128 games in 2015. Despite this, the Jays won ALE. - Goins over full season should return 1.5 WAR. The difference between Tulo's and Goins' salary is roughly equal to the projected WAR difference, using $9M/WAR - A healthy Travis will make up most, if not all of Tulo's value at the plate. - As currently structured, Jays should be AL offensive leader, and bottom 5 pitching. - Moving the $20M Tulo is owed will return value and free up salary. - Moving the $20M increases the money available for pitching to roughly $50M, allowing someone like Greinke (yes, pipe dream) to be signed. - PR hit from trading Tulo manageable. Slag away, or better yet, make a counterargument.
  23. Jimcanuck
    why should MLB do that? i hate the idea of employer as nanny state proxy
  24. Jimcanuck
    got to wonder if there are other issues
  25. Jimcanuck
    Rockies are hoping for a long suspension, no doubt
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