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BTS

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Everything posted by BTS

  1. BTS
    I don't really understand why everyone is jumping on Olerud. He's not saying it was a bad deal for Toronto, just that a move that looks like a heist after 80 games might not look that way after 3 or 4 years. A lot can happen. Things change fast in baseball.
  2. BTS
    Werth + 41 for ARod and Snell is looking like another silvergun heist.
  3. BTS
    That sounds like exactly what I don't need.
  4. BTS
    Double header for Pham. But yes. Also, the first two sentences of your post were not necessary.
  5. BTS
    Thx. Not doing me a whole lot of good this year though.
  6. BTS
    Still looking at Betances + Trumbo/Choo + for an OF. Have had a few inquiries.
  7. BTS
    I did a quick search to find out if there were any decent jewish players besides Green and Braun, and I found this guy: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rub%C3%A9n_Amaro,_Jr. Congrats.
  8. BTS
    never ever
  9. BTS
    Nooooooooooooooooooooooooo
  10. BTS
    Very possible. It will just be a difference of less than a third of a run if it continues to happen.
  11. BTS
    Very wise pick. Cain and Shelby Miller's breakouts are killing me in that.
  12. BTS
    The point was just that Buehrle is really really really good. Maybe he's Stanton to Maddux's Trout. I dunno. But there's every reason to believe that Buehrle's defense makes the kind of impact that pitcher defense doesn't usually make. DRS picks up on it.
  13. BTS
    That's a bit beside the point. I'm not saying he won't improve. I'm saying that 85 innings with an ERA a run less than his xFIP isn't enough to start wondering if maybe he has a skill for putting up an ERA a run less than his xFIP. If 500 innings from now Sanchez still has a 3.5 ERA and 4.5 xFIP, than maybe you can entertain the possibility that there might be something there. I think it's overwhelmingly more likely that he figures things out and brings the ERA down, or keeps doing what he's doing and the ERA goes up. I don't think he'll keep doing what he's doing and maintain the 3.5 ERA. That would be unprecedented.
  14. BTS
    Buehrle's ERA is 3.81 and his xFIP is 4.19. DRS estimates that he's saved 87 runs defensively since 2003. That takes his ERA to 4.05. Tack on another 15 runs for the ~500 innings he pitched before DRS and you get 4.10, which brings you to a meaningless difference between his ERA and xFIP. As to him not being close to the best ever, his 87 DRS ranks first since we started tracking. Only 4 pitchers have 50 or more. Is he the best ever? Who the f*** knows. But if we talked about pitcher defense in terms like that he'd be a generational talent.
  15. BTS
    Wow, does Starlin Castro ever suck.
  16. BTS
    Buehrle isn't really the mystery people make him out to be. Career ERA less than half a run less than his xFIP, and you can chalk it up to being maybe the best defensive pitcher ever. You can look at the numbers and account for Buehrle's run prevention. You can't do that for Sanchez, and after only 85 innings, there isn't really a reason to try. He keeps it up for another 500 innings and maybe you start to take a deeper look. There's no reason to expect that he will though.
  17. BTS
    It will be interesting to see if this works for you. People keep trying this framework in the LOD (player + pick/prospect for upgrade) and nobody bites. I can't remember the last time we saw a deal like that in the DDL.
  18. BTS
    Huh? That's the default position when a guy's results don't match his peripherals. 0ER with 4BB and 1K over 7 IP in a start? Lucky. 3.5 ERA with a 4.5 xFIP ver 55 innings? Lucky until more evidence suggests it isn't luck.
  19. BTS
    lol
  20. BTS
    lo @ referencing Mark Buehrle's DIPS.
  21. BTS
    This argument is silly. Guy has a K/BB of 5.7/5. Nobody manages contact well enough to make that work long-term.
  22. BTS
    Michael Brantley should probably not play CF.
  23. BTS
    Kelvin Herrera over Robertson lol
  24. BTS
    I love watching a Carrasco implosion knowing the Howies own him in everything.
  25. BTS
    Sanchez has a high LOB%. Elite.
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