It all comes down to the pitching. Even with one upgrade like adding Jiminez or Hudson or equivalent and progression from Morrow Hutch Stroman, this team COULD be many many wins better in 2014.
BTS is right, you can't factor in improvements for Reyes Lawrie etc without accepting possible downturns for Rasmus and Edwin. But the offense is good enough.
Our 2014 chances come down to our (hopefully new) catcher and the starting rotation. And we're rolling the dice with the latter.