Bringer of Rain Elite Dynasty - - bjmbleagues.com

[Spanky99]

I posted the wrong list last night. Those were the pitcher rankings.

 

As for the six-year-value, I basically just take the expected 2016 value, and add modifiers based on age.

Basically, I expect players over 28 to decline, and players under 28 to improve.

The model doesn't do a good job with young players who have a low base score though. So, a 22 year old who shows significant promise but isn't projected to help a ton this year, won't score that well.

 

I might do another one based on just 2016 values.

 

Don't pay too much attention to rankings though.

I've seen plenty of teams expected to do poorly, do quite well, and I've seen teams ranked 1st, with multiple elite players, finish at the bottom of the league and drop out, but still have time for other dynasty leagues.

 

Zing!

[Spanky99]

This thread turned to Poo!

[Spanky99]

http://www.rileys.pub/

 

Come out guys, yet, at least have the balls to introduce yourself, this would be Saturday night.

[Dr. Dinger]

BP Dynasty Top 101

 

1) Corey Seager, SS, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 6)

Potential Earnings: $30-35

Risk Factor: Low

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R, RBI

Realistic Ceiling: A .300-hitting, 25-homering shortstop

Realistic Floor: His brother

2) Byron Buxton, OF, Minnesota Twins (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 2)

Potential Earnings: $35+

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R, SB

Realistic Ceiling: A perennial first-round pick who contributes in all five categories

Realistic Floor: A 30-40 steal outfielder, who is most comfortable as an OF3

3) Yoan Moncada, 2B, Boston Red Sox (Age: 20, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $35+

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, HR, RBI, R, SB

Realistic Ceiling: The top fantasy second baseman for a half-decade

Realistic Floor: A trail of broken hearts in New England

4) Nomar Mazara, OF, Texas Rangers (Age: 20, Previous Rank: 31)

Potential Earnings: $25-30

Risk Factor: Low

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, HR, RBI

Realistic Ceiling: Justin Upton without the steals

Realistic Floor: Jay Bruce

5) Lucas Giolito, RHP, Washington Nationals (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 9)

Potential Earnings: $30-35

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, ERA, WHIP

Realistic Ceiling: /angels sing

Realistic Floor: /angels sing

6) J.P. Crawford, SS, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 45)

Potential Earnings: $25-30

Risk Factor: Low

Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R

Realistic Ceiling: A middle-of-the-top-10 shortstop

Realistic Floor: A back-of-the-top-10 shortstop

7) Steven Matz, LHP, New York Mets (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 48)

Potential Earnings: $25-30

Risk Factor: Low

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, ERA, WHIP

Realistic Ceiling: A borderline SP1

Realistic Floor: The guy who had that awesome grandpa

8) Joey Gallo, OF/3B, Texas Rangers (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 11)

Potential Earnings: $25-30

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in HR, RBI, R

Realistic Ceiling: Mr. Universe with a bat

Realistic Floor: A windmill

9) Bradley Zimmer, OF, Cleveland Indians (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 88)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: Low

Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R

Realistic Ceiling: The really good version of Shane Victorino

Realistic Floor: The really good version of Gerardo Parra

10) Tim Anderson, SS, Chicago White Sox (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 18)

Potential Earnings: $25-30

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R, SB

Realistic Ceiling: A top-three shortstop

Realistic Floor: A 30-steal outfielder

11) Alex Reyes, RHP, St Louis Cardinals (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 87)

Potential Earnings: $25-30

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, ERA, WHIP

Realistic Ceiling: Oh lord

Realistic Floor: A wildly inconsistent SP3

12) A.J. Reed, 1B, Houston Astros (Age: 22, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: Low

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in HR, RBI

Realistic Ceiling: A .280 hitter with 30 bombs

Realistic Floor: A very serviceable mixed-league corner infielder

13) Nick Williams, OF, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 40)

Potential Earnings: $30-35

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, HR, RBI

Realistic Ceiling: Adam Jones with more speed

Realistic Floor: Santa Claus

14) Brendan Rodgers, SS, Colorado Rockies (Age: 19, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $30-35

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, HR, RBI, R

Realistic Ceiling: The true heir to Troy Tulowitzki

Realistic Floor: Whatever, he’s a shortstop who plays half his games in Coors

15) Julio Urias, LHP, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 19, Previous Rank: 12)

Potential Earnings: $25-30

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, ERA, WHIP

Realistic Ceiling: 20-year-old Fernando Valenzuela

Realistic Floor: 26-year-old Fernando Valenzuela

16) Trea Turner, SS, Washington Nationals (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 80)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: Low

Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in SB

Realistic Ceiling: A 30-plus stolen-base shortstop

Realistic Floor: A slightly worse 30-plus stolen-base shortstop

17) Lewis Brinson, OF, Texas Rangers (Age: 21, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $25-30

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor

Realistic Ceiling: Matt Kemp pre-2011

Realistic Floor: Drew Stubbs

18) Blake Snell, LHP, Tampa Bay Rays (Age: 23, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: Low

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in ERA, WHIP

Realistic Ceiling: A top-20 starter

Realistic Floor: A top-40 starter

19) David Dahl, OF, Colorado Rockies (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 17)

Potential Earnings: $25-30

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, SB

Realistic Ceiling: Charlie Blackmon

Realistic Floor: Cory Sullivan

20) Aaron Judge, OF, New York Yankees (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 46)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in HR, RBI, R

Realistic Ceiling: A 30-homer OF

Realistic Floor: A great, reasonably-priced lefty masher for DFS

21) Tyler Glasnow, RHP, Pittsburgh Pirates (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 42)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in ERA, K

Realistic Ceiling: A reasonable SP2, held back by his WHIP

Realistic Floor: A lights-out closer

22) Rafael Devers, 3B, Boston Red Sox (Age: 19, Previous Rank: 77)

Potential Earnings: $25-30

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, HR, RBI, R

Realistic Ceiling: A top-five third baseman

Realistic Floor: Not making that Dunkin’ Donuts ad money

23) Clint Frazier, OF, Cleveland Indians (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 33)

Potential Earnings: $25-30

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor; Impact potential in HR, RBI

Realistic Ceiling: A top-10 outfielder

Realistic Floor: Jonny Gomes without the combat helmet

24) Austin Meadows, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates (Age: 20, Previous Rank: 62)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor

Realistic Ceiling: A good OF2

Realistic Floor: A good OF4

25) Jesse Winker, OF, Cincinnati Reds (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 29)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Low

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, RBI

Realistic Ceiling: David Peralta, if you please

Realistic Floor: David Peralta, if you don't please

26) Jose Berrios, RHP, Minnesota Twins (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 60)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Low

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact contributor in ERA

Realistic Ceiling: A reasonable SP3

Realistic Floor: A strong SP4

27) Dansby Swanson, SS, Atlanta Braves (Age: 22, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R

Realistic Ceiling: That bat!

Realistic Floor: That name! That hair!

28) Alex Bregman, SS, Houston Astros (Age: 21, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R

Realistic Ceiling: Dustin Pedroia in his 20s

Realistic Floor: Dustin Pedroia in his 30s

29) Ryan McMahon, 3B, Colorado Rockies (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 58)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in R, RBI

Realistic Ceiling: A cold beer on a sunny Denver day

Realistic Floor: It's a Coors. The beer is a Coors. And the mountains on the can are only kind of a vague azure, they're not really all that blue at all.

30) Andrew Benintendi, OF, Boston Red Sox (Age: 21, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor; Impact potential in R

Realistic Ceiling: Carlos Gonzalez without Coors

Realistic Floor: 80 percent of modern-day Shin-Soo Choo

31) Manuel Margot, OF, San Diego Padres (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 69)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in SB

Realistic Ceiling: I can't believe they gave this guy up for a reliever

Realistic Floor: I can't believe this is all it took to land Craig Kimbrel

32) Franklin Barreto, SS, Oakland Athletics (Age: 19, Previous Rank: 78)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R

Realistic Ceiling: Alex Bregman

Realistic Floor: Alex Bregman with a goatee

33) Jorge Mateo, SS, New York Yankees (Age: 20, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $25-30

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in R, SB

Realistic Ceiling: A 70-steal shortstop

Realistic Floor: A really awesome pinch-runner

34) Victor Robles, OF, Washington Nationals (Age: 18, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $25-30

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R, SB

Realistic Ceiling: God

Realistic Floor: Demigod

35) Jose De Leon, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 23, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K

Realistic Ceiling: Tyson Ross with better arm action

Realistic Floor: Jeff Samardzija

36) Josh Bell, 1B/OF, Pittsburgh Pirates (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 25)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Low

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in RBI

Realistic Ceiling: The recent version of Adrian Gonzalez

Realistic Floor: The 2018 version of Adrian Gonzalez

37) Dan Vogelbach, 1B, Chicago Cubs (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 59)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in HR, RBI

Realistic Ceiling: All that is Man

Realistic Floor: All that is Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man

38) Cody Reed, LHP, Cincinnati Reds (Age: 22, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in K, ERA

Realistic Ceiling: A top-20 starter

Realistic Floor: The Cody Reed people mistake the other Cody Reed for

39) Sean Newcomb, LHP, Atlanta Braves (Age: 22, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in K, ERA

Realistic Ceiling: The best version of C.J. Wilson

Realistic Floor: Every other version of C.J. Wilson

40) Max Kepler, OF, Minnesota Twins (Age: 23, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor

Realistic Ceiling: Eric Hosmer with OF eligibility

Realistic Floor: A German trivia answer

41) Raimel Tapia, OF, Colorado Rockies (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 28)

Potential Earnings: $25-30

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R

Realistic Ceiling: A .320/30-steal profile in Coors

Realistic Floor: A dodged bullet for the Batting Stance Guy

42) Sean Manaea, LHP, Oakland Athletics (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 55)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, ERA

Realistic Ceiling: A strong SP2 in a good park

Realistic Floor: An inconsistent SP4, who you always play at home

43) Dillon Tate, RHP, Texas Rangers (Age: 21, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $25-30

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, ERA, WHIP

Realistic Ceiling: A legitimate SP1

Realistic Floor: A shut-down reliever

44) Gleyber Torres, SS, Chicago Cubs (Age: 19, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor

Realistic Ceiling: Who we thought Starlin Castro would be

Realistic Floor: The 2015 version of Starlin Castro

45) Ian Happ, 2B/OF, Chicago Cubs (Age: 21, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R

Realistic Ceiling: The good Brandon Phillips (with a few less steals)

Realistic Floor: A non-descript OF4

46) Jose Peraza, 2B/SS, Cincinnati Reds (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 43)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in SB

Realistic Ceiling: Elvis Andrus at second base

Realistic Floor: That prospect who got traded a bunch of times

47) Orlando Arcia, SS, Milwaukee Brewers (Age: 21, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $10-15

Risk Factor: Low

Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor

Realistic Ceiling: The good version of Alcides Escobar

Realistic Floor: The good version of Alcides Escobar

48) Jake Thompson, RHP, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 47)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Low

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in K

Realistic Ceiling: A strong K-laden SP3

Realistic Floor: A strong K-laden SP4

49) Kenta Maeda, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 27, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in WHIP

Realistic Ceiling: Hisashi Iwakuma

Realistic Floor: Fredrick Sykes

50) Robert Stephenson, RHP, Cincinnati Reds (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 23)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K

Realistic Ceiling: An SP2 with better strikeouts than ratios

Realistic Floor: An inconsistent arm who bounces on and off the waiver wire

51) Brett Phillips, OF, Milwaukee Brewers (Age: 21, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor

Realistic Ceiling: Dexter Fowler with a little more average

Realistic Floor: A speed-based OF4

52) Kyle Tucker, OF, Houston Astros (Age: 19, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $25-30

Risk Factor: Extreme

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, HR, RBI

Realistic Ceiling: A top-10 outfielder

Realistic Floor: A poster boy for “better swing mechanics”

53) Anthony Alford, OF, Toronto Blue Jays (Age: 21, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R

Realistic Ceiling: Denard Span

Realistic Floor: A 20-steal OF5

54) Willy Adames, SS, Tampa Bay Rays (Age: 20, Previous Rank: HM)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor

Realistic Ceiling: Jhonny Peralta

Realistic Floor: A back-end mixed-league third baseman

55) Jacob Nottingham, C, Oakland Athletics (Age: 20, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor

Realistic Ceiling: A 25-homer catcher

Realistic Floor: Not a catcher

56) Jeff Hoffman, RHP, Colorado Rockies (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 51)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K

Realistic Ceiling: The arm who overcame Coors

Realistic Floor: An SP5 you only want to start on the road

57) Grant Holmes, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 19, Previous Rank: 85)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in ERA

Realistic Ceiling: A top-30 starting pitcher

Realistic Floor: A top-50 starting pitcher

58) Jorge Alfaro, C, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 26)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in HR, RBI

Realistic Ceiling: #TheLegend

Realistic Floor: #ALegend

59) Anderson Espinoza, RHP, Boston Red Sox (Age: 17, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $25-30

Risk Factor: Extreme

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, ERA, WHIP

Realistic Ceiling: The guy Dombrowski trades for a superstar

Realistic Floor: The guy Dombrowski trades for Ian Krol

60) Mark Appel, RHP, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 41)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K

Realistic Ceiling: A top-20 starter

Realistic Floor: Edwin Jackson /sheds tear

61) Raul Mondesi, SS, Kansas City Royals (Age: 20, Previous Rank: 81)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in SB

Realistic Ceiling: Alcides Escobar with a touch more pop

Realistic Floor: The bad Jean Segura

62) Brandon Drury, 2B/3B, Arizona Diamondbacks (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 93)

Potential Earnings: $10-15

Risk Factor: Low

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor

Realistic Ceiling: Neil Walker

Realistic Floor: A top-15 third baseman

63) Eddy Julio Martinez, OF, Chicago Cubs (Age: 20, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor

Realistic Ceiling: ¯_(ツ)_/¯

Realistic Floor: ¯_(ツ)_/¯

64) Ozhaino Albies, SS, Atlanta Braves (Age: 19, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in SB

Realistic Ceiling: Recipient of way too many Ozzie references

Realistic Floor: Same, but in a more mean-spirited way

65) Carson Fulmer, RHP, Chicago White Sox (Age: 22, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in K

Realistic Ceiling: A strikeout-laden SP3

Realistic Floor: A strikeout-laden reliever

66) Trent Clark, OF, Milwaukee Brewers (Age: 19, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R

Realistic Ceiling: An all-around OF2

Realistic Floor: Just another great neck

67) Gary Sanchez, C, New York Yankees (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 65)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor

Realistic Ceiling: Brian McCann with a little less AVG

Realistic Floor: He who receives ice cream sandwiches

68) Bobby Bradley, 1B, Cleveland Indians (Age: 19, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in HR, RBI

Realistic Ceiling: A 30-homer first baseman

Realistic Floor: A 230-strikeout first baseman

69) Francis Martes, RHP, Houston Astros (Age: 20, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, WHIP

Realistic Ceiling: A borderline SP2

Realistic Floor: A really good reliever

70) Nick Gordon, SS, Minnesota Twins (Age: 20, Previous Rank: HM)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor

Realistic Ceiling: The next J.P. Crawford

Realistic Floor: The next Deven Marrero

71) Cornelius Randolph, OF, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 18, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, RBI

Realistic Ceiling: Cornelius Vanderbilt

Realistic Floor: Cornelius Bumpus

72) Harold Ramirez, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates (Age: 21, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R

Realistic Ceiling: Christian Yelich if the power never comes

Realistic Floor: Josh Harrison in the outfield

73) Yusniel Diaz, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 19, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor

Realistic Ceiling: Starling Marte with slightly fewer steals

Realistic Floor: Ender Inciarte with slightly fewer steals

74) Franklyn Kilome, RHP, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 20, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $25-30

Risk Factor: Extreme

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, ERA, WHIP

Realistic Ceiling: A legit SP1

Realistic Floor: The Mariana Trench

75) Billy McKinney, OF, Chicago Cubs (Age: 21, Previous Rank: HM)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG

Realistic Ceiling: The good Nick Markakis

Realistic Floor: A fourth outfielder who plays enough to contribute in deep mixed leagues

76) Austin Riley, 3B, Atlanta Braves (Age: 18, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $25-30

Risk Factor: Extreme

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in R, HR, RBI

Realistic Ceiling: Evan Longoria, the way people imagine him

Realistic Floor: Ian Stewart, the way people try to forget

77) Trey Mancini, 1B, Baltimore Orioles (Age: 23, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in RBI

Realistic Ceiling: A more consistent Mitch Moreland

Realistic Floor: The next Christian Walker

78) Derek Fisher, OF, Houston Astros (Age: 22, Previous Rank: HM)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor

Realistic Ceiling: A 20/20 outfielder

Realistic Floor: The guy the Astros kept instead of Mark Appel

79) Willson Contreras, C, Chicago Cubs (Age: 23, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG

Realistic Ceiling: A top-five receiver

Realistic Floor: The receiver of one too many volleyball jokes

80) Alen Hanson, 2B, Pittsburgh Pirates (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 86)

Potential Earnings: $10-15

Risk Factor: Low

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor

Realistic Ceiling: Daniel Murphy

Realistic Floor: Chris Owings

81) Jomar Reyes, 3B, Baltimore Orioles (Age: 18, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in HR, RBI

Realistic Ceiling: Mark Trumbo at third base

Realistic Floor: Jonathan Schoop at first base

82) Jameson Taillon, RHP, Pittsburgh Pirates (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 34)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in ERA

Realistic Ceiling: A reborn SP3

Realistic Floor: A waiver-wire option in shallow leagues

83) Archie Bradley, RHP, Arizona Diamondbacks (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 13)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K

Realistic Ceiling: An easy top-30 starter

Realistic Floor: A hard guy to roster

84) Yadier Alvarez, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 19, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $25-30

Risk Factor: Extreme

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in ERA, K

Realistic Ceiling: ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE

Realistic Floor: A drop in the bucket

85) Forrest Wall, 2B, Colorado Rockies (Age: 20, Previous Rank: 98)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R, SB

Realistic Ceiling: Jose Altuve when he was Clark Kent

Realistic Floor: An easier-to-spell DJ LeMaheiu

86) Alex Jackson, OF, Seattle Mariners (Age: 20, Previous Rank: 53)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in HR, RBI

Realistic Ceiling: A powerful top-25 outfielder

Realistic Floor: Another reason to mistrust Seattle draft picks

87) Brent Honeywell, RHP, Tampa Bay Rays (Age: 20, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in WHIP

Realistic Ceiling: A.J. Pierzynski's mouth and Julio Teheran's arm

Realistic Floor: Kenny Powers

88) Daniel Robertson, SS, Tampa Bay Rays (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 63)

Potential Earnings: $10-15

Risk Factor: Low

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor

Realistic Ceiling: Asdrubal Cabrera

Realistic Floor: Nick Franklin

89) Hector Olivera, OF/3B, Atlanta Braves (Age: 30, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $10-15

Risk Factor: Low

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor

Realistic Ceiling: Melky Cabrera with one year of 3B eligibility

Realistic Floor: Avisail Garcia with one year of 3B eligibility

90) Kolby Allard, LHP, Atlanta Braves (Age: 18, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, ERA, WHIP

Realistic Ceiling: A good SP2

Realistic Floor: Same as any prep pitcher coming off back surgery

91) Brady Aiken, LHP, Cleveland Indians (Age: 19, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $25-30

Risk Factor: Extreme

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, ERA, WHIP

Realistic Ceiling: A borderline SP1

Realistic Floor: Let's just not say

92) Dominic Smith, 1B, New York Mets (Age: 20, Previous Rank: 93)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG

Realistic Ceiling: A lifetime of misery for Ben and Craig. Mostly Craig.

Realistic Floor: James Loney

93) Aaron Blair, RHP, Atlanta Braves (Age: 23, Previous Rank: HM)

Potential Earnings: $10-15

Risk Factor: Low

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor

Realistic Ceiling: A boring SP4

Realistic Floor: A boring SP4

94) Byung-ho Park, 1B, Minnesota Twins (Age: 29, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in HR, RBI

Realistic Ceiling: Mark Trumbo

Realistic Floor: The backup to Kennys Vargas by August

95) Braden Shipley, RHP, Arizona Diamondbacks (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 37)

Potential Earnings: $10-15

Risk Factor: Low

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor

Realistic Ceiling: Chad Billingsley's name in a heart with red glitter sprinkled on it

Realistic Floor: The most prolific streaming option in your league

96) Tom Murphy, C, Colorado Rockies (Age: 24, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $10-15

Risk Factor: Low

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor

Realistic Ceiling: A top-10 catcher

Realistic Floor: Not a Rockie

97) Luis Ortiz, RHP, Texas Rangers (Age: 20, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, ERA, WHIP

Realistic Ceiling: A solid SP2

Realistic Floor: Still better than Russ or Ramon Ortiz

98) Trevor Story, SS, Colorado Rockies (Age: 23, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor

Realistic Ceiling: A 15/15 shortstop

Realistic Floor: #Buttledge

99) Hunter Renfroe, OF, San Diego Padres (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 57)

Potential Earnings: $15-20

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor

Realistic Ceiling: Khris Davis

Realistic Floor: Kyle Blanks

100) Dylan Bundy, RHP, Baltimore Orioles (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 14)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, WHIP

Realistic Ceiling: Healthy

Realistic Floor: Broken

101) Kyle Zimmer, RHP, Kansas City Royals (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 74)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: High

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, ERA

Realistic Ceiling: Healthy

Realistic Floor: Broken

[Abomination]

Lol @ Realistic Ceiling: Healthy, realistic floor: broken.

[L54]

Honeywell with the Kenny Powers floor.

[Dr. Dinger]

Athletics acquired OF Khris Davis from the Brewers for C Jacob Nottingham and RHP Bubba Derby.

 

---

 

Not the landing spot I was hoping for..

[Boxcar]

Bret Sayre suxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

[Spanky99]

37) Dan Vogelbach, 1B, Chicago Cubs (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 59)

Potential Earnings: $20-25

Risk Factor: Medium

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in HR, RBI

Realistic Ceiling: All that is Man

Realistic Floor: All that is Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man

 

Hahahaha.... my thoughts exactly.

[TRM]

Demigod as Robles floor seems right.

[KingKat]

74) Franklyn Kilome, RHP, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 20, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $25-30

Risk Factor: Extreme

Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, ERA, WHIP

Realistic Ceiling: A legit SP1

Realistic Floor: The Mariana Trench

 

lol

[AdamGreenwood]

Farm Rankings:

 

1 AdamGreenwood 318

2 SpeedyMin 159

3 Cyborg 142

4 JG34/Ace 141

4 TCA 141

6 Havok 125

7 BTS 116

8 Dinger 112

9 Burlington Bandit 108

10 Jaysfever 101

11 L54 98

12 J4L19 96

13 Kingfiller 94

14 Chappy 92

15 GD 85

16 Abomination 72

17 Boxy 52

18 FrenchSoup 47

19 Connorp 43

20 Spittin' 0

[jays4life19]

lol @ spittin 0

[Frenchsoup]

Damn, it looks like I don't even have a farm to rebuild...

[BTS]

Damn, it looks like I don't even have a farm to rebuild...

 

Time to start selling vets for prospects. Your window has closed.

[AdamGreenwood]

Damn, it looks like I don't even have a farm to rebuild...

 

Nah, you have some great prospects.

Benintendi is just starting to get some love. If he does what he did last year, he'll be top ten by the end of the year.

And Vlad Jr. isn't popping up on too many charts yet, because he's young and unknown to a degree.

Basically, the more you stick to the standard ratings, the more points you get.

[Dr. Dinger]

Farm Rankings:

 

1 AdamGreenwood 318

2 SpeedyMin 159

3 Cyborg 142

4 JG34/Ace 141

4 TCA 141

6 Havok 125

7 BTS 116

8 Dinger 112

9 Burlington Bandit 108

10 Jaysfever 101

11 L54 98

12 J4L19 96

13 Kingfiller 94

14 Chappy 92

15 GD 85

16 Abomination 72

17 Boxy 52

18 FrenchSoup 47

19 Connorp 43

20 Spittin' 0

 

How are the pts calculated?

[AdamGreenwood]

Basically, players are given a score of 1-100 based on their placement in the various lists, with higher weightings going to the more established ranking systems.

If a player doesn't appear on any lists, they get 0 points.

It doesn't factor in rookie-eligible players that are on the MLB roster (ie Seager).

[Dr. Dinger]

Basically, players are given a score of 1-100 based on their placement in the various lists, with higher weightings going to the more established ranking systems.

If a player doesn't appear on any lists, they get 0 points.

It doesn't factor in rookie-eligible players that are on the MLB roster (ie Seager).

 

That's rly dumn

[Dr. Dinger]

Let's just throw out the #1 and #2 prospect on every list, but everyone else, ur good. Kinda seems like you just wanted to put yourself 1st.

[AdamGreenwood]

That's rly dumn

 

You're welcome to go through each of the rosters and look up who is rookie eligible, and set up your own farm rankings.

Plus, I didn't want to double count, and give Seager credit for being on an MLB ream and a farm.

 

For the LOD one, I'm going to have to go by rookie eligible status, as the flags are all messed up, so it's hard to easily get a list of the players on the farm.

[AdamGreenwood]

Let's just throw out the #1 and #2 prospect on every list, but everyone else, ur good. Kinda seems like you just wanted to put yourself 1st.

 

Kind of a low blow.

 

1) It's a natural separation, as evidenced by the way we did our draft.

2) It's extra work to go through and find all the rookie eligible players.

3) That's how I did all the farm rankings last year too.

4) I included players like Seager etc when doing the major league rankings, so don't want to double count.

5) This has nothing to do with being 1st, but even if all those players were included, I'd still be first. It's not really a secret, that I prioritized the farm.

[Frenchsoup]

Chapman OTB

[BTS]

Dan: Can you briefly elaborate on your concerns re: Buxton? I know soft and spinning got him a lot last year but his upper minors exposure was so limited, he definitely still needs reps. But Paul said on the pod he thinks he’s Billy Hamilton which seems extreme to say the least, considering Buxton’s bat speed for one is light years better.

 

 

 

12:39

Eno Sarris: I’m concerned about that strikeout rate, especially since he’s stuck out more in the higher minors and it’s supported by a bad MLB swSTR%. I’m not sure that Hamilton is the right comp. I’m worried he’s a healthy Maybin (when healthy). Could be Austin Jackson too. I’m not picking based on race, more plate discipline. Lorenzo Cain is the very best scenario. Dammit. Anthony Gose? Jesus. How about: Odubel Herrera with great defense?

[Dr. Dinger]

Lol Lorenzo Cain is not the very best case scenario.

[jays_fever]

Claims not picking on race, name's 6 black players

[BTS]

Lol Lorenzo Cain is not the very best case scenario.

 

I hope you enjoy your LOD Austin Jackson more than I enjoy mine brah

[Dr. Dinger]

I hope you enjoy your LOD Austin Jackson more than I enjoy mine brah

 

A year ago he was frequently comped to Trout, so I'm not too worried. I think 2015 Cain was a great player and Buxton will hopefully have many seasons like that, but it definitely doesn't represent his ceiling.

[Dr. Dinger]

The kid had a .305/.367/.500 line between AA/AAA this year as a 21 year old with 13/22 in half a season. Way too early to write him off.

[Boxcar]

Let's just throw out the #1 and #2 prospect on every list, but everyone else, ur good. Kinda seems like you just wanted to put yourself 1st.

 

It's a farm ranking numbnuts