BlueRocky

Fire away, here’s mine: Sleeper: Otto Lopez, Cal Stevenson Bust: David Paulino, Jonathan Davis New legit guy (MLB): Brandon Drury, Rowdy Tellez New legit guy (minors): Chavez Young, Jordan Groshans ================= Edit ver 2: The Chosen One: Bo Bichette, Jordan Groshans, Orelvis Martinez Helium Dude: Chavez Young, Adam Kloffenstein Sleeper: Otto Lopez, Cal Stevenson Disappointment: David Paulino, Santiago Espinal Total Bust: Jonathan Davis, Logan Warmoth Literally Dies: Thomas Pannone, Elvis Luciano

Are we still doing the Sleeper, Bust, Legit thing this year?

Going by BA’s list, names like Jasson Dominguez (Yanks), Robert Puason (Athletics), Bayron Lora (Rangers), Erick Pena (Royals), Luis Rodriguez (Dodgers) are some of the premium prospects this year Source: https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/top-2019-international-prospects-to-watch

Did Vegas predict Nick Nurse too? Don’t know much about Wedge but I kinda like John Schneider

Soto has been unbelievable offensively as a 19 yr old, 2.5 fWAR in 72 games. For Vlad I’m tempering expectations and allowing for some growing pains. We have no idea about his long term defensive impact or position. We have no idea if his knee thing will come back, there could be more DL stints. And we have no idea if he’ll figure out major league pitching right away, or it will take him a season or two to really get going. It’s easy to assume he’ll play 140 games a year from 2019-2021 and he’ll hit it off running full steam with no significant DL stints, while also being serviceable at third base. But s*** happens in baseball. 4, 5, 6 WAR season at age 20, 21, 22.. is really an impressive feat. How many guys in the past 20 years could do it? Maybe a handful. In 2017 fWAR were Corey Seager 5.9, Mookie Betts 5.4, Bryce Harper 4.9, Freddie Freeman 4.5, Jose Abreu 4.2, Anthony Rizzo 4.0, Nelson Cruz 3.8, J.D. Martinez 3.8 If Vlad is already in the same category as those guys in his first two years I would be thrilled. But not holding my breath. I’m hoping for multiple 6-8 WAR seasons approaching his prime, but in his first 3 years in the league? I’m not sure. His numbers in the minor leagues are insane, but there’s such a huge gap between AAA and MLB

Good - Cavan Biggio. Went from a nothing prospect to a top 10 guy. Walks just as inpressive as home run power. - Kevin Smith. Glove first SS with a now developing bat, with some pop. Also suprisingly a SB threat. - Bo Bichette. Always high on his bat, but was convinced he was 2B. Looking like a legit SS and has a lot more speed than advertised. Need to walk more and focus on contact rather than chasing exit velos. - Eric Pardinho. Looking legit so far as a 17 yr old in Bluefield. - Jordan Groshans. Much better bat than anticipated, slowed down by injuries. - Brock Lundquist. Where the hell did this bat come from? Hitting better in FSL than MWL. Hope it’s sustainable. - Ryan Noda. The power is real, the walks were a bit ridiculous in the 1st half. - Sean Reid-Foley. Last year was disappointing. Didn’t think he would rebound this quickly and make the big leagues already. - Patrick Murphy. Been “a guy” for awhile but seems to finally be healthy and producing. Let’s see him in AA for a season. - Jordan Romano. Looks like there’s enough stuff there to at least get a chance as 5th SP or bullpen guy. - TJ Zeuch. Didn’t expect him to have a good season in AA, his A+ numbers weren’t anything special. Seems to have figured out something. - Samad Taylor. At least his wheels look legit. RIP Joe Smith. - Jonathan Davis. Might just be good enough for a backup role, which is a lot for a guy completely written off not too long ago. - Harold Ramirez. Just staying hot enough, still deciding if he’s a writeoff. But he’s having a good season for his own standards. - Chavez Young. Success continues in Lansing. - Yennsy Diaz. Somewhat moving quickly and looks okay at Dunedin. - Miguel Hiraldo. Need to see him hit at a higher level. Didn’t expect him as a SB threat but nice to see. - Maverik Buffo. Found money. - Travis Bergen. More found money.. Danny Barnes 2.0? - Gabriel Moreno. Guy came outta nowhere. - Otto Lopez. Another guy came outta nowhere. - Chad Spanberger. Hitting well in FSL despite the doubts of Coors 2.0 park factor pumping his tires. Looks like a real power threat from the left side. Bad - Anthony Alford. Guy can’t hit in AAA and I’m not sure he can stay healthy, ala Pompey. Don’t understand the hype. - Richard Urena. Has no bat, not much of a role going forward with current middle infield depth. - Max Pentecost. I think he’s done. He stayed relatively healthy all year, yet couldn’t produce enough offensively to impress despite being in a juggernaut lineup all season. - Dalton Pompey. This guy needs a change of scenery and visit an exorcist. His luck is complete feces, and wasn’t that good in limited PA. Time to let go. - Logan Warmoth. Couldn’t stay healthy all season with nagging leg injuries. - Riley Adams. Not impressed offensively, can’t comment on catching.

3.2ip, 4er, 7h, 3bb, 2k, 0hr, 65 pitches

For age 20, 21, 22? Would be happy with @9 fWAR He would still be younger than half our prospects when his Arb years begin

It was basically a line drive hit so hard it was barely on the way down as it reached the billboard signs behind the left field wall. Not sure the exit velocity but would not be surprised if it was close to 118-120mph.

1 hit, 1 walk, 0 ER. Pitching high FBs at Coors must not be good for blood pressure. Wonder who’s ERA would look worst the end the season, Oh or Tepera. 2 singles in his Lansing debut and caught looking at an ugly curveball. Forrest Wall went 3/4 in his second game. A double, two singles, and a walk. 3 runs scored.

Frazier is DL’d too. What a shame.

Forrest Wall just hit a dinger in his second AB for the fishercats to tie the game 2-2

He is fine at second and first. You really don’t want him at short or third, I’ve see some terrible throws and misplays at third.

We basically got three Espinals for Steve Pearce and Oh. Are people actually upset about this deal? I kinda like Spanberger. We’re stacked at middle infield but the first basemen have been pretty trash aside from Noda. This guy is having a better season. And Forrest Wall is a first round talent, albeit with injury concerns.

So its like.. Danny Jansen and Nate Pearson is off limits. But on the table is Zeuch + Biggio or Zeuch + Chavez Young + Yennsy Diaz. Honestly doesn’t sound that bad.

Is Biggio, Noda, Zeuch types considered B prospects? I’ll take two or three of those

We’re probably getting two or three second tier guys for Happ. And maybe one for Oh, Clippard, or Granderson. And maybe Estrada if he comes back healthy. Deadline summary will likely be three to five lottery tickets. Similar to what we got in the Pearce for Espinal deal. The Jays simply have terrible luck with the value of their trade chips this season. The real haul for a top 100 prospect will happen when Osuna goes on the market in the winter time.

Tayler Saucedo had a decent AA debut. The defense really failed him in the second inning and things got off the rails with the grand slam, but he’s a lefty with strikeout ability and several pitches to work with. Aside from the one rough inning he wasn’t half bad.

My list (w/ July 2 signings) 1. Bichette 2. Smith 3. Hiraldo 4. Groshans 5. Martinez 6. Gurriel 7. Espinal 8. Warmoth 9. Jimenez 10. Vicuna Most of them will not stick at shortstop. The bat first guys will move to 2B/3B (e.g. Hiraldo, Groshans). I don’t think Urena is deserving of a top 10 SS spot tbh. Sam would be a nice long relief option for next year. Borucki, Reid-Foley, Zeuch, Harris, Romano should all eventually get a shot next year in the rotation, with hopefully a healthy Stroman and Sanchez. They need to bring in a vet to bridge the gap though.

Nice debut

He’s batting second for Dunedin today and playing 2B

Jansen the next Buster Posey confirmed

If their postseason run falls short again, how long will they continue paying into luxury tax?

I wouldn’t be surprised if he hits the DL again before september. But he does look like a decent fit for Boston if healthy. There’s only one guy in Dunedin with an OPS above .800, Kevin Smith. And two guys OPS above .800 with at least 200 PA in Lansing, Ryan Noda and Brock Lundquist. Chavez Young is borderline so you can count him too. If Santiago Espinal is slotted somewhere around the same area, he would be between mid to late top 30 guy with room to move up depending on how he finishes the year. This is similar to Jay’s acquiring Samad Taylor or Eduard Pinto, a small chance to be something, if not it’s no big loss.

I assume it’s to cover the rest of Pearce’s contract. @ 3 mill?