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jaysfan2014

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Everything posted by jaysfan2014

  1. jaysfan2014
    Better against lefties (.269/.318/.379) than righties (.207/.254/.326). He could be a good bench bat for a team that needs help hitting lefty pitching. I hear Tampa, Boston or Texas might be interested. He'd be a great backup OF for the minimum salary (Angels, Jays and Yankees are splitting his salary for next year, with the Angels paying the majority.)
  2. jaysfan2014
    Vernon Wells has been DFAd by the Yankees. What a fall from grace for the former 3-time all Star when he was with the Jays. Wonder where he ends up next.
  3. jaysfan2014
    True. But some of these deals are getting out of hand. Cable companies and subscribers aren't going to keep paying increasing rates indefinitely. Some of the deals are stupid as well. For example, the Angels deal's hope for profitability depends on the Angels gaining penetration in California (which they aren't, as attendance and ratings have continued to fall every year since the team stopped contending after 2009. The new ownership of the Dodgers will likely make things worse for the Angels.) As I mentioned, failure for RSNs to get subscribers and cable companies to pay carriage fees could be disastrous for the cable companies who own the RSNs, the same ones giving ridiculous deals to teams like the Rangers, Dodgers, Angels, etc, which in turn could be financially crippling to the MLB franchises if the RSNs end up in bankruptcy protection, which has already happened in Houston with Comcast SportsNet Houston. Luckily, the Astros have the lowest payroll in MLB, but it could hurt them long-term when the team contends.
  4. jaysfan2014
    Here's FanGraphs' take: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/philliles-new-tv-deal-tempering-regional-sports-networks/ There are serious concerns about whether those TV deals are sustainable, as cable companies refuse to pay the ridiculous carriage fees offered by those RSNs. Also noted is that the Dodgers TV network is already in financial trouble, as like in Houston, no cable/satellite company will pay the carriage fees, which could leave Time Warner Cable having to make a huge writedown on their investment. In some ways, we should appreciate that we aren't at risk of a TV deal backfiring and potentially crippling the channel owners and the baseball team.
  5. jaysfan2014
    No surprise Palmeiro is getting eliminated. Especially considering his steroid suspicions and/or admittance. Ditto for Luis Gonzalez and Eric Gagne. The rest who were eliminated from future ballots weren't exactly Hall of Fame material, like Richie Sexson, Jacque Jones or Moises Alou. Biggio and Piazza will have a reasonable chance next year, but they'll face competition from guys like John Smoltz and Randy Johnson, who will be eligible.
  6. jaysfan2014
    Agreed. It could be worse, like Atlanta, which has a horrid TV deal that leaves them at a disadvantage to bigger markets like Philly, New York and Washington, and faces long-term issues with their roster as the young players like Heyward and Freeman reach arbitration. Even a new stadium won't help that team. Until Atlanta gets a new TV deal, they will continue to be at a disadvantage, similar to the Rays.
  7. jaysfan2014
    Cardinals. They boosted their depth by signing Mark Ellis, traded for Peter Bourjos, filled their SS hole with Jhonny Peralta, and have top OF prospect Oscar Taveras on the way. They'll be a favorite in the Central again.
  8. jaysfan2014
    Keep in mind though, selling TV rights can backfire, as shown by the mess in Houston with Comcast Sportsnet Houston. Houston was supposed to make $80M/year on their deal, but instead the network is in Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. This could happen in other markets as well if the rights bubble bursts, and networks can't get the ratings to support the costs.
  9. jaysfan2014
    KC Royals sign one-time Blue Jay C Ramon Hernandez to a minors deal. Considering the back-up in KC is Brett Hayes right now, he should easily win the back up job to Salvador Perez.
  10. jaysfan2014
    Of course, we don't know Boston or New York's TV deals, as like the Jays, they partially own their networks.
  11. jaysfan2014
    As you know, the Phillies just signed a 25-year deal worth $2.5B for their TV rights. Anyone know how much the Jays get from their TV deal, or is it similar to deals like the Yankees, Red Sox, Orioles and Nationals get, in which the teams have part ownership or own their networks? For example Yankees own YES, Red Sox part own NESN, Nats and Orioles own parts of MASN..
  12. jaysfan2014
    We already have Jose Reyes at SS. And Drew is likely going to end up back in Boston, as the Mets refuse to pay, and the Yankees want Derek Jeter playing at SS everyday again, plus have already blown most of the budget on the McCann/Ellsbury/Beltran signings.
  13. jaysfan2014
    Don't rule us out on Tanaka yet. He has yet to sign anywhere. And Santana/Jimenez are likely going to have to reduce demands soon, as we're about 6 weeks until pitchers & catchers report.
  14. jaysfan2014
    Agreed. I saw that game too. If only Buckner hadn't let that ball go through him. Bob Stanley was actually a good pitcher in his day, but his later years (1986, 1987, 1989) were terrible.
  15. jaysfan2014
    The biggest risk is that the cable rights bubble bursts and it ends up bankrupting various RSNs (regional sports networks.) We've already seen this mess in Houston with Comcast.
  16. jaysfan2014
    Nobody wants Nelson Cruz. It's sitting there for Baltimore, but Peter Angelos won't spend the money. Draft pick compensation doesn't help. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/where-could-nelson-cruz-even-fit/
  17. jaysfan2014
    From whom? Rumor had the Yankees being interested, but it would be a terrible idea as his walk and frequently elevated HR rate outside of 2013 would get him destroyed at Yankee Stadium. Same with Toronto. D-Backs are apparently also in the mix as well. He is going to have to reduce his demand if anyone is going to want him. $17-20M is too high for a guy who walks 4 per 9 IP and hasn't been elite since 2010.
  18. jaysfan2014
    Jimenez's 2011 was pretty bad as well. He's not worth 17-20M at all. It's most likely he ends up back in Cleveland on a 1-year deal because draft pick compensation destroys his market, as no team is going to give that kind of money to a guy who is incredibly wild and really had one good season back in 2010.
  19. jaysfan2014
    Not sure if this is already been mentioned, but the Mariners, not the Yankees are the faves for Tanaka: Ben Badler ‏@BenBadler The Mariners look like the favorites for Masahiro Tanaka. But competition is fierce. Wouldn't be surprised--especially considering Iwakuma is already there.
  20. jaysfan2014
    Whether Todd Redmond is in the majors or AAA next year depends on what the Jays do in the next few weeks.
  21. jaysfan2014
    At least Houston won't be blowing saves as much and losing 40 games because of their bullpen in 2014.. they also brought in Qualls and Albers as well this winter so far.
  22. jaysfan2014
    ESPN wrote a piece about defense in the AL for 2014. Jays getting some favor by replacing Bonizturis with Goins and Kawasaki(if he makes the 25 man). Kratz/Navarro is considered a wash. http://espn.go.com/blog/sweetspot/post/_/id/43198/als-defensive-winter-moves Also says that Yankees will be putting in Brendan Ryan as a defensive replacement a lot late in games, as neither Jeter or Nunez are competent at SS anymore(Jeter) or ever(Nunez). Orioles are still dependent on the health of Manny Machado. Boston aren't expected to see much change defensively, although it will depend on Bogaerts at SS instead of Drew, who seems bound for the Mets. Rays of course will be better with Hanigan at C instead of Molina/Lobaton.
  23. jaysfan2014
    Hard to say who gets him. And regarding NY, even though they want him, they risk paying 50% extra for every dollar over $189M, which they are already over as it stands unless A-Rod gets suspended. Cubs, Angels, Dodgers, D-Backs are probably the faves.. but I can see AA being interested.
  24. jaysfan2014
    Great move by the Rangers. This will help considering they traded Kinsler to the Tigers.
  25. jaysfan2014
    Cot's doesn't include bonuses and insurance payments($11M). When those are added in, the Yanks are well over the tax.
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