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Gorlak

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Everything posted by Gorlak

  1. Gorlak
    I agree, that was a mistake. I assume he was hoping to save Cecil for the 8th and didn't want Biagini to pitch to Davis, He should have had Cecil start the 7th and had Biagini deal with the bottom of the order in the 8th.
  2. Gorlak
    Going with Cecil was the right call, He's a better pitcher and had a higher chance of getting a K or DP. This team needs another good arm in the bullpen.
  3. Gorlak
    My team C: Salvador Perez 1B: Anthony Rizzo 2B: Jason Kipnis 3B: Matt Duffy SS: Francisco Lindor LF: Cory Dickerson CF: Christian Yelich RF: J.D. Martinez UTIL: Brett Lawrie BENCH: Yan Gomes BENCH: Devon Travis BENCH: Blake Swiheart SP: David Price SP: Clay Buchholz SP: Kyle Hendricks SP: Hisashi Iwakuma SP: julio teheran RP: Dylan Bundy RP: mychal Givens RP: Tyler Lyons RP: Liam Hendricks RP: Drew Storen RP: Travis Wood RP: Tony Zych Reserve: Gio Gonzalez
  4. Gorlak
    The rest of the world using stimulus to create growth would imply low growth expectations and central bank policy divergence would strengthen the U.S. dollar, both will lower the price of oil, Although some of that is already priced in.
  5. Gorlak
    The strength of the U.S. dollar is one of the main reasons commodities are trading so low and that won't change until the rest of the world starts growing. The Yuan is going to continue to be devalued and China has massive capital outflow problems (They have tightened capital controls already this year), The momentum for considering the Yuan as an alternative reserve currency has waned. For Canada to get back to a 90 cent dollar we would need to have $80+ oil and at least 2% GDP growth with a rosy forecast, although I think that would only get the loonie to 85 cents. Oil and the loonie will rebound, but it will likely take years for this to play out.
  6. Gorlak
    I would like to add that OPEC members have the same problem as companies in that they still owe money, With low oil it means they need to sell more barrels to cover their budgets which only compounds the problem.
  7. Gorlak
    Although there is a chance of this, it's not nearly as likely as a strong U.S. scenario, It would be more likely to see a raise in wages and higher interest rates, but high long term unemployment could defer that for another year or two. The debate in the U.S is about whether to continue with another 3 or 4 hikes this year, not whether to raise rates let alone QE. U.S. banks are already discounted because of there exposure to shale debt, and it has virtually no risk of contagion even in a worst case scenario. Until I start seeing bankruptcy's and buyouts I won't think the end of oversupply will be close. A global downtown could make that a mote point regardless. OPEC doesn't trust it's members, it's one of the reasons they haven't cut production even when most expected them to. Canada also has a higher break point on a barrel than the U.S. so anything that happens to them will happen to Canada faster. The opinions on the future growth of each country is reflected in their respective currency valuations.
  8. Gorlak
    I wouldn't bet money on that, $50 by year end is more likely, but not a sure thing. It's really cheap to service wells that are already in operation and companies have bills to pay, so they will keep pumping oil until the current wells are dry. Lifting sanctions on Iran also adds another half million barrels a day and global growth concerns are creating a bearish sentiment on the demand side as well. This could drag on for years and is speeding up Canada's debt problems. My biggest concern is that the price of oil will end up inflating and then popping Canada's debt bubble, which will pop the housing bubble, which will cause a massive deleveraging that will cause a very bad recession. If that happens Canada's currency will become weaker, even if oil rebounds.
  9. Gorlak
    AA didn't leave Shapiro any players with negative trade value and that's while being at the upper end of the win curve. I would be more against the farm management if he didn't shift so much surplus value into the MLB team.
  10. Gorlak
    Overpaying for Happ doesn't make wasting cash and a pick on Gallardo any smarter.
  11. Gorlak
    I think he would have still ended up in LA, but fans would have little regard for him.
  12. Gorlak
    That may have been a part of it, but I think it was also a reaction from what happened after his 2014 deadline.
  13. Gorlak
    Judging a team by wins is like judging a pitcher by wins, albeit with a larger sample, the peripherals were there. It was a Bold move though.
  14. Gorlak
    Gross
  15. Gorlak
    It's also the time when wins are the most valuable to the team, hence the price. There is a time and place for these type of deals.
  16. Gorlak
    Drafting is a major part of being a gm, whether he personally was bad at drafting, or hired/kept people bad at it doesn't matter. If you collect prospects you will have a greater amount of prospects become good MLB players, It's odds more than any development theory.
  17. Gorlak
    hard to say how involved he actually was in contacts or drafting, but his team was great on both fronts.
  18. Gorlak
    AA left because he and Shapiro have different styles and would have clashed, Shapiro would have vetoed trades that Beeston never would. AA likes quality, Shapiro likes Quantity. I bet AA would have stayed if Rogers brought in Dombrowski.
  19. Gorlak
    Drafting, Contract negotiations, Finding trade opportunities.
  20. Gorlak
    Don't like Revere leading off, With his low OBP and wRC+ he shouldn't be given that many PA.
  21. Gorlak
    I don't see how it's petty, He's just a clean hall guy, A respectable opinion even if you disagree. You could say he didn't need to mention individuals, but it's just him voicing his opinion. If anything Clemens response was petty, Basically tried to justify his situation by accusing Doc.
  22. Gorlak
    I don't even remember the Cordero signing so I won't comment, but the rest is more about value than player evaluation. JPA was brutal, But Napoli was only great in hindsight. At the time he was a power hitter with bad defense that struggled against righties.
  23. Gorlak
    That's possible, But people here are painting him as Dave Stewart. It's not like he signed Nick Swisher or Nelson Cruz.
  24. Gorlak
    AA's style never really changed, nothing saber about acquiring some of the best players in baseball. AA has always been a high ceiling guy, If anything the lesson he learned was about how risky injured pitchers can be and he likely values defense more. For the record I'm not saying AA is a hardcore saber guy, I'm just saying he used advanced stats to effect his decision making process. He didn't have them build the Beest to get OPS.
  25. Gorlak
    Agreed, Not because he got rid of Napoli, but because he got a mediocre reliever and didn't really try to shop him around. I think it was his worst trade, It never made sense. At the same time he did dump Wells so I wasn't too bummed at the time.
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