Is Greg Bird for Real?
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-top-five-yankees-prospects-by-projected-war/
"Bird is a 22-year-old hitter with fewer than 30 games’ worth of experience above High-A who’s also projected to produce something slightly better than a league-average batting line. There are few other prospects about which it’s possible to make such a comment. Steamer tends to produce very conservative BABIP forecasts for players with little experience in the high minors. Indeed, even Bird’s .286 BABIP projection is a about a standard deviation below major-league average. Bird still appears to offer enough in the way of discipline and power, however, to compensate for the penalties inherent within projections for players of his limited experience."