Jump to content
Jays Centre
  • Create Account

KevinGregg

Verified Member
  • Posts

    1,507
  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Toronto Blue Jays Videos

2025 Toronto Blue Jays Top Prospects Ranking

Toronto Blue Jays Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2025 Toronto Blue Jays Draft Pick Tracker

News

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by KevinGregg

  1. That spring training auction item sucks you could just buy that whole thing yourself if the auction price gets too high 3500 is probably already too high
  2. Smaok went from a replacement level scrub over several years to one of our best hitters. Travis has had one down month. There's really no comparison here
  3. Twins go around the horn to turn a ground ball triple play https://streamable.com/phi8y
  4. Says the guy who needs to call the cops because someone called his post stupid
  5. I think a lot of that is because Gibby has him as the absolute last guy in the pen so he mostly just comes in for mop up duty when it doesn't exactly matter whether he has the advantage.
  6. He made a good point about replacement level being a farmer who played between harvests back then. Perhaps a better way of comparing Ruth vs Trout would be comparing the difference between Ruth and the average of the next best 200 or so players from his era vs Trout and the average of the next best 200 players from our era. Because I think 'wins above replacement' starts to lose a lot of its meaning when replacement level is so wildly different in each case
  7. here ya go http://www.bluejaysmessageboard.com/threads/7569-GDT-New-York-Yankees-Toronto-Blue-Jays-(1-4)-7-07-PM
  8. Estrada was missing over the plate quite a bit I would say off night
  9. I just exported all 10 seasons as csv and then pasted them together in excel
  10. I joined the career war list to the minor league stats list on the name columns, so any players with identical names will be f***ed. Should've not deleted the player id column and used that for the join...
  11. OK in the interest of science and not being a hater I have done what you asked for all minor league seasons from 2006-2016 - but I set the min PA to 150 (180 seemed like it was cherry picking too much) and included low and high a as well as the south atlantic (A), and I didn't control for position at all since hitting is really it's own skill independent of fielding ability. Each line is from just one season except for the final column which is career WAR (so there are 2 mike trouts). Players who played across multiple leagues in one year are also included so some players (like Jaun Soto) have a large amount of their numbers coming from rookie ball even though they played a bit in A ball. bb% > 5% K% < 20% age < 22 wRC+ > 145 (set here to include Trout's age 17 season, and because as you increase this you start to run out of players really fast) babip > .380 http://i.imgur.com/Q8x1L4k.png Some interesting take-aways: Bo's brother is on the list Bo would have the 2nd highest wRC+ on this list (below Mike Zunino and above Oscar Taveras) Bo's babip would be the highest on this list (just slightly above Myles Straw) Just 17 out of 73 players are 0.5 career WAR or above. If you change the wRC+ to include only >180 then only 10 players remain on the list. JD and Mike Zunino are the only ones to have positive WAR. At first I was thinking I would hold my ground here, but.... Only Zunino's wRC+ is over 200. One guy. If Bo was hitting closer to a 170 or even 180 clip I would probably have been right about not getting hyped. But the reality is that there just hasn't been anyone, ever, to have done what Bichette is doing. Even if you regress his BABIP all the way to the mean (of this group of comparables) which is 0.404 - this removes about 6 hits - and even if we say those are all doubles his wRC+ only drops to around 200 from 205. Conclusion: What Bo is doing is definitely historical - quite possibly the best performance in the history of A ball (assuming he doesn't go into a huge slump before his promotion). In general you shouldn't get excited about babip driven success - there are a lot of players on here who never amounted to anything - but Bo is by far the most successful of any of them. So yeah.. Get Hyped
  12. My entire point was that we need to chill on Bichette because he has such a small number of PA and his numbers are hugely inflated by his babip. That's why I kept the PA low. Lots of the guys in that list have PA and wRC+ remarkably similar to Bichette and are at a similar age. Do this for an entire decade like you said and you start to see just how many players have done what Bichette is doing and didn't amount to anything.
  13. Snider had a .397 babip and 151 wRC+ in 2007. The following players in 2007 alone had a babip >.380, wRC+ > 140, PA > 150 (most had a lot more PA), in Rookie and A ball.. I've marked the ones that actually turned out good. Travis Snider is actually by far the best player that I didn't label good. Other seasons look pretty much exactly like this one, so if you think I made the requirements too light just add in a few more seasons of data to get to 50 players. Cheers http://i.imgur.com/7MWg3MY.png
  14. I'm just saying it might make sense to temper expectations a little. And that it's stupid to compare him to the GOAT
  15. Comparing Bo to Trout based on less than 300 plate appearances is getting way out of hand. For every Mike trout there are 1000 travis sniders.
  16. 190 wrc+ on a .319 babip that's a lot more sustainable than what Bo is doing. I don't mean to be a wet blanket but .448 babip is .448 babip.
  17. 448 babip Definitely a little high
  18. He's been a negative value defender in 2016 and again in 2017 Meanwhile everyone thinks hes better than Tulo who was worth 10 full runs more on defence than him last year
  19. He better be He's all we have left from Doc
  20. Considering the only reason we ever scheduled day games on the weekend in the first place was so The Beest could have have barbecues during the evenings, and we seem to believe it is bad for our players to play day games after night games, it might make sense to move the games back to the evening if they are not getaway games. (Though I admit I like the day games a lot)
  21. I don't want to see travis bouncing throws across the diamond all game. Pretty sure hes never made the throw from 2nd to home without at least one bounce.
  22. nice to see a good night from Pompey He could be huge for us, but has largely been forgotten (for good reason)
×
×
  • Create New...