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Angrioter

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  1. BTW Reds OF prospect Billy Hamilton (Triple-A Louisville - Reds 2nd round pick of the 2009 draft, Reds no. 1 ranked preseason prospect): "The speed is absolutely fantastic. He's fun to watch when he's on the bases, but I just don't see how it's going to work. There's nothing else that makes me believe he's an everyday big leaguer. You can knock the bat out of his hands with good velocity and he doesn't have the discerning eye to work counts and lay off spin. I just think the hit and on-base comes up short and he's a virtual zero offensively. If he can figure everything out in center field then maybe has a future hitting eighth or ninth and playing good D, but that's even stretching it for me." Astros 2B prospect Delino DeShields (High-A Lancaster - Astros 1st round pick (8th overall) in the 2010 draft, Astros no. 4 ranked preseason prospect): "He is not going to stick at second base, and his makeup is awful. Outfielder profile and probably a left fielder at that. He has a quick bat, but I see more of a Rajai Davis type of player. He'll make it to the majors and stick for a while because of his name, but he won't be a regula
  2. He isn't Brett Gardner. The corners OFers should hit for power and he can't; The CFers should catch the balls and he can't.
  3. Do you think Pillar could hit .320 in the Bigs? - NO .270 AVG + 6% walk rate + ?? = .310-.320 OBP
  4. CF glove - NO Corner OF bat - NO (no pop) High OBP? - NO (~6% walk rate) His ceiling could be "Role player"
  5. supplemental picks = Sanchez #34, Synderlander #38, Wocj #41
  6. My point is ...AA increase the Happ salary to keep him in the rotation.
  7. Johnson is a legit top-rotation guy. Health issues have affected him. We'll see him go and compete for the CY award with another team.
  8. Gomes 1.3 WAR - .215 ISO Gomes can hit for pop, AJ can't.
  9. yeah, new CBA rules. If Johnson continues pitching like s*** then he will accepts the QO to increase his value in 2014 and get big money in 2015 (Haren, EJaX)
  10. what? Rasmus 2013 is the best CF AL so far (Trout LF) Rasmus 2013 > Adam Jones AssStar 2013
  11. http://sports.yahoo.com/news/blue-jays-insist-they-aren-t-interested-in-trading-pitcher-josh-johnson-150741133.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter
  12. Boni value is very low right now; Boni for some cash could be a fair deal lol.
  13. Barry Bonds + roids?
  14. #30 Matt Moore (P) Age IP K/9 BB/9 GB% ERA FIP xFIP RA9-WAR WAR 24 107.1 9.06 4.61 38.0 % 3.44 3.67 4.26 2.2 1.7 Under Team Control Through 2019: $1M, $3M, $5M, $7M option, $9M option, $10M option Moore hasn’t had a big breakthrough yet, as his command still comes and goes, making him more of a good pitcher than a great one. Perhaps most disconcerting is the velocity loss, as he’s sitting closer to 92 than the 94 he was at a year ago, though it hasn’t yet made him worse. Still, you’d like to see improvement in command in order to offset the normal degradation in stuff, and Moore’s command hasn’t yet improved. But, that contract is still so friendly that Moore would be a highly coveted asset in trade. In a worst case scenario where he gets injured or falls apart, they’d be out just $13 million after three years, having paid the buyouts on all of his options. More likely, those are all exercised, and he ends up earning $35 million over the next six years. Soon enough, though, Moore is going to have to start throwing strikes. As the stuff erodes, it will get harder and harder to compensate for all the walks, and the cheap years are going to start disappearing sooner than later. Moore is at a spot where he’s either going to become the ace that he was projected as, or he’s going to settle in as a quality starter on a solid contract, but not one that teams are willing to try and build around. Where he goes from here remains to be seen. #29 Xander Bogaerts (SS) Age PA H 2B HR BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG wOBA 20 378 95 12 13 50 72 7 .294 .390 .489 .396 Under Team Control For Six Years: Pre-Arb, Arbitration Despite not yet reaching the big leagues, Bogaerts is already one of the most coveted players in the game. With most prospects, you can point to some kind of glaring hole that would keep them from producing in the Majors, but Bogaerts doesn’t really have that. His defense at shortstop has improved, and it’s no longer a given he’ll have to move to third base. He has more present power than you’d expect from a 20-year-old middle infielder. He doesn’t chase pitches out of the strike zone, and will take a walk when it is offered to him. He’s hit at every level despite being much younger than his peers. Major League teams covet cost controlled franchise players more than anything else, and that’s exactly what Bogerts projects to be, and fairly soon. He’s a prospect in the sense that he doesn’t have a big league track record yet, but it’s not clear that he needs much more time in the minors, and his combination of offensive skills and ability to play defense are likely to make him a quality player in the very near future, with MVP upside as he continues to develop. The Red Sox aren’t going to trade him, but he’s the kind of chip that would open the door to acquiring the best players in the game. Expect Boston to keep him and make the foundation of their future instead. #28 Byron Buxton (OF) Age PA H 2B HR BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG wOBA 19 392 112 17 9 49 69 35 .333 .416 .530 .427 Under Team Control For Six Years: Pre-Arb, Arbitration While my own biases would probably lead to a preference of Bogaerts over Buxton, consensus within the prospect community and team officials is that Buxton is the #1 prospect in the sport, with his crazy athleticism making up for the fact that he’s a couple of years away from contributing at the big league level. His utter domination of the Midwest League showed that he was more advanced than expected after being drafted out of high school, and while he’s got a long ways to go, there’s no question that he has superstar potential. There’s probably a bit more risk here than with Bogaerts, though. Not just in proximity to the big leagues, as more problems can become apparent as he rises through the system, but there’s a pretty long line of super toolsy center field prospects who never amounted to much. Center field is becoming something of an offensive position, and the offensive bar is higher at this up-the-middle spot than any of the other three. Having the physical skills to handle center field is great, but Buxton’s going to have to hit to live up to the hype, and projecting how well a guy like this will hit when he’s a 19-year-old in A-ball is difficult. But, the upside is simply too high to ignore. If he hits, he’s in the conversation for best player in the game, and he hasn’t given any reason to think that he won’t hit, at least not yet. He’s a very high risk/high reward asset for this high on the list, but the reward is high enough to justify it. #27 Jason Kipnis (2B) Age PA BB% K% AVG OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ Fld BsR WAR 26 374 12.0 % 22.2 % .301 .383 .514 .385 149 -4.6 1.9 3.4 Under Team Control Through 2017: Pre-Arb, Arbitration Kipnis’ next extra base hit will make his 2013 total equal to his 2012 total. The power surge has taken his game up a notch, and was really the missing ingredient in his overall package of skills. If he can keep driving the ball the way he has been, he’ll settle in as a perennial All-Star. And yet, he’s two spots lower on this list than he was a year ago. How does a player fall on the trade value list while having a breakout year? This is the nature of depreciating years of team control. Since last year’s list, he’s lost one year of league minimum control, and so the Indians have essentially banked a huge premium in his performance over the last year. That’s value that was transferred from Kipnis to the team, and can’t be acquired by another team. Even as players improve, their trade value diminishes as they march closer towards free agency. Really, just holding his ground is a pretty big accomplishment, as most of the players around him on last year’s list found themselves much lower or off the list entirely this year. If the Indians would have been able to lock him up over the winter, taking advantage of his poor second half to get him at a discount, he might have ended up much higher. He’s still a highly valuable player, of course, and is one of the main reasons the Indians are hanging around in the playoff race. He’s just going to cost a lot more to lock up now than he would have a few months ago. #26 Jurickson Profar (2B) Age PA BB% K% AVG OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ Fld BsR WAR 20 155 7.7 % 19.4 % .235 .309 .346 .293 76 -1.7 -1.1 -0.2 Under Team Control Through 2019: Pre-Arb, Arbitration Because of the instant success from some other recent prospects, it seems like Profar is already being treated as a disappointment for posting a 74 wRC+ in his first 172 plate appearances. Reminder: he’s 20, and a shortstop. It is unusual for a player this age to step right in and be a good big leaguer right away. We’ve been spoiled by Trout, Harper, and Machado. What they’re doing is historically unique. Not playing at that level before you can drink does not make you a bust. Now, there’s an argument to be made that Profar’s more of a high floor prospect than a super high ceiling guy. In some ways, he’s kind of exactly the opposite of what we expect a 20-year-old infielder to look like. He’s a disciplined hitter who controls the strike zone pretty well, but probably isn’t going to turn into a serious power bat. He’s more of a walks-and-doubles prospect than a dingers guy, but because he can play shortstop, walks-and-doubles are more acceptable for his position. I know some teams aren’t in love with him due to the lack of superstar upside, but Profar still projects as a quality two way player, and with some patience, he could be one of the game’s better shortstops within the next few years. Of course, the enduring question is whether that future will come in Texas, as they gave Elvis Andrus a lot of money to hold down the fort in Arlington for the foreseeable future. Because of that, Profar may have more value to other teams than he does the Rangers, and it wouldn’t be terribly shocking to see him get traded this winter. But Texas won’t let him go cheap. He’s still a terrific young talent, and one of the most valuable trade chips in the sport.
  15. Do you like Metallica? What is your favorite song?
  16. Will Matt Garza save the Jays’ 2013 season? Probably not. One starting pitcher, no matter how good, isn’t going to make this ship stop sinking. It’s not that Garza isn’t a capable starter, or that he can’t compete in the American League East, it’s that the Jays don’t need to trade a slew of prospects or quality bullpen arms to get a guy who isn’t going to put them back into contention this season. And this thinking that acquiring Garza makes Josh Johnson a tradable asset… I’m sorry, but, tradable to who? Johnson will probably bounce back from what is shaping up to be his worst season as a major-leaguer, but potential trade partners aren’t going to be optimistic when playing the statistically supported role of pessimist gives a strong trade position. Johnson’s lack of 2013 production means general manager Alex Anthopoulos won’t get back anywhere near the value Josh was worth coming into the season, and if I know one thing about AA, it’s that he doesn’t like to go to the trading table with a losing hand. The Jays will almost have to hold on to Johnson now unless they look for — and can find — a National League team willing to rent a scuffling arm at the expense of a pack of fringe prospects, hoping Johnson will bounce back in time for a post-season push. Trading while the value is low is also why Brett Lawrie probably won’t get moved. I thought Lawrie’s return to the majors as a second baseman made a lot of sense if you’re looking to deal. The Jays already have four second base options (Munenori Kawasaki, Maicer Izturis, Emilio Bonifacio and Mark DeRosa) that can hit around .200. Why stick Lawrie there? How about because he’s a plus defensive player who hits like a second baseman and would probably play there for a team with a power hitting third base option already in service. A successful audition on the right side of the infield would boost his value. Again, a nice plan on paper, but Lawrie’s continued lack of offensive production makes for another trade from weakness scenario. And those other four names I just mentioned, well, they aren’t enough to reel in a big name, controllable, third base power bat if the Jays wanted do that deal in reverse. It will take a couple bullpen arms — the Jays’ only real tradable strength at the moment — and then some if they want to do that. J.P. Arencibia still has value as a power hitting catcher. Not the value he had last season, since, now, after 1200 plate appearances, he’s projecting closer to a John Buck-like career than a bona fide power plant. While the power he does produce helps teams look past his outrageous strikeout rate, league-worst on-base percentage, low walk rate, and high chase rates, it will render said power a limited impact tool as he’ll find himself near the bottom of the order in all but the most power-devoid lineups. Plus — and I mean this in the most impartial way possible considering the circumstances — his recent decision to call out the media for criticizing his season will not help garner an interested party concerned about the clubhouse dynamic. But the lack of tradable assets isn’t only happening in the big leagues. Anthony Gose, Ricky Romero, J.A. Happ, Brandon Morrow, Moises Sierra—it’s everywhere. The Jays are simply not in a strong trade position. Teams in the hunt don’t want injured, underperforming, bad character players. They want impact players. Unless the Jays are willing to piecemeal their bullpen, clean out their young prospects, or part with a major offensive cog in their “2013-2015″ World Series window machine, they’re going to have to be satisfied with what they have, or look for small, low impact swaps. If the Jays do decide to go for a big splash and land an impact talent, they’ll want impact players in the same areas everyone else wants impact players—starting rotation, second base, and third base. And filling those spots isn’t as simple as saying, “we’ll give you all Johnsons, Bonifacios, and DeRosas for your one proven talent”. A quantity over quality trade won’t work unless you’re dealing with a rebuilding team whose upside talent is scuffling, and there aren’t many of those around. The Jays have already acquired almost every one of the Miami Marlins. Before that they picked the bones of the Houston Astros. Rumours and speculation have had the Jays in talks with the Philadelphia Phillies (who’ve rebounded going into the break) Chicago Cubs, Chicago White Sox, and Seattle Mariners, but I’m afraid it’s a case of too little too late as rumours put EVERY contending team in talks with those same clubs. If the Jays want to make a trade, fine. But make a trade that’s going strengthen the core characters, keep the window intact, and possibly get rid of any uncoachables. Think respectable finish to 2013 with a focus on 2014. Yes, the Jays could, numerically speaking, get back into the 2013 race. But make no mistake, it would take a lot more than one or two impact trades to make that happen. A quality starter would help the effort, but the team, as a whole, has got to player better, more consistent baseball or it will all be for nothing. http://www.sportsnet.ca/baseball/mlb/hayhurst-blue-jays-not-in-strong-trade-position/
  17. Cecil and Delabar trade value after ASG? Lifetime ASG Cecil and Delabar 27.00 K/9 0.00 BB/9 OBPa .000
  18. My bad. 2012, after Beede and AA awful draft.
  19. Agree. He's a damn loser.
  20. Puerto Rico is a USA associated state, the spanish is their principal/main language, English is the second language.
  21. Tyler Gonzales 0.1IP, H, 3 BB and 5ER (2011 draft: Gonzales, Smoral, DeJong)
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