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Angrioter

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Everything posted by Angrioter

  1. Rasmus Could saves our honor lol
  2. Who's next? Adams?
  3. btw O's call up Urrutia
  4. Below .200 ISO guy but he's good.
  5. White Sox top-10 prospects 1-Hawkins 2-Pillar 3-19-******** 20-Molina?
  6. #28 Byron Buxton What about Freeman or Goldy?
  7. 11) Noah Syndergaard + 22) Travis D'Arnaud = Old piece of s***
  8. Barrero 2-3 (2B, 3B) .296 AVG Smoral 2IP, H, Walk, 4K's
  9. Robson pitched yesterday, Piggybach with Tirado.. Or not?
  10. Cecil and........................Reyes + Buehrle for Minor + Simmons + Alex White
  11. C'mon my bro......SSS
  12. .301 / .345 / .510 Are you the Mayor Ford? It's not good idea to mix cocaine, alcohol and cat pee.
  13. 1) Byron Buxton, OF, Minnesota Twins. Previous ranking 37th. Top prospect in baseball without a doubt for me. First-class tools and his skills proved much stronger than advertised. Outstanding makeup as well. 2) Xander Bogaerts , SS, Boston Red Sox, Previous ranking 4th. Does anyone remember or care that he got off to a slow start? I didn't think so. 3) Miguel Sano, 3B, Minnesota Twins, Previous ranking 10th. Not hitting for average yet in Double-A, but power remains intact and I trust his ability to figure out what he needs to know. 4) Oscar Taveras , OF, St. Louis Cardinals, Previous ranking 2nd. He's fought injuries all spring but has continued to hit well when healthy. 5) Taijuan Walker, RHP, Seattle Mariners. Previous ranking 19th. The best pitching prospect is either Walker or Archie Bradley. I'll go with Walker since I think he's closer to being ready. Both have the upside of a number one starter. 6) Archie Bradley, RHP, Arizona Diamondbacks. Previous ranking 21st. He still has some command issues to work out, but you have to love the stuff, the build, and the delivery. 7) Carlos Correa, SS, Houston Astros. Previous ranking 24th. He's hitting .324/.421/.455 in Low-A at age 18, and I think he can stick at shortstop. He's younger than Buxton. 8) Francisco Lindor, SS, Cleveland Indians. Previous ranking 31st. He can field, run, hit for average, and get on base. I suspect he will show more power than expected eventually. 9) Carlos Martinez, RHP, St. Louis Cardinals. Previous ranking 20th. I'm not sure he'll push past the rookie innings limit, so I will go ahead and slot him. Seems to get lost in the shuffle sometimes when top pitching prospects are discussed, but he should thrive in any role. Gerrit Cole would slot here if eligible. It would go Cole/Martinez/Wheeler/Taillon. 10) Jameson Taillon, RHP, Pittsburgh Pirates. Previous ranking 17th. Zach Wheeler would slot about here if he doesn't exceed innings limit. Taillon's slot here assumes that his horrific July 13th start (13 hits, 10 runs in 3.1 innings) was an aberration. That one start has trashed his stats, shooting his ERA up to 3.75, but otherwise he's been very effective. 11) Noah Syndergaard, RHP, New York Mets. Previously 22nd. His breaking ball looks good enough to me. The stats are there, the stuff is there, the body is there. Kevin Gausman will go right here after Syndergaard, if he remains eligible. It is possible Syndergaard could move past Taillon. 12) Christian Yelich, OF, Miami Marlins. Previously 12th. No change in stock. He just needs to stay healthy. 13) Nick Castellanos, OF-3B, Detroit Tigers. Previously 67th. Big surge in stock due to production boost in Triple-A at age 21. 14) Javier Baez, SS, Chicago Cubs. Previously 18th. Combination of huge power, youth, with poor plate discipline makes him a Dangerous player, to pitchers and analysts. 15) George Springer, OF, Houston Astros. Previously 72nd. Strikeouts, shmikeouts. He'll work a count, unlike Baez, has fewer makeup questions, and more immediate fantasy viability. Might end up ahead of Baez by September. 16) Addison Russell, SS, Oakland Athletics. Previously 30th. Does anyone remember or care that he got off to a slow start? I didn't think so. Strong finish could push him past Yelich, Castellanos into Top 10. 17) Michael Wacha, RHP, St. Louis Cardinals. Previously 34. Like Syndergaard, I think the breaking ball issue will resolve in his favor. 18) Albert Almora, OF, Chicago Cubs. Previously 44. Could need work with the strike zone at higher levels, but overall he's been excellent. 19) Gregory Polanco, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates. Previously 50th. He has some work to do adapting to Double-A, but overall I'm a believer. 20) Jackie Bradley, OF, Boston Red Sox. Previously 45. I don't think he'll be eligible for the next version of this list. 21) Dylan Bundy, RHP, Baltimore Orioles. Previously 3. I never know what to do with guys like this. Has all the talent in the world, but Tommy John recovery is not a sure thing and he'll miss a year of development. You can make a case to put him anywhere from 10 to 50 in my view. 22) Travis D'Arnaud, C, New York Mets. Previously 13. Staying healthy is a tool (or a skill); either way it is a factor, especially for a player in a demanding defensive position. 23) Jorge Soler , OF, Chicago Cubs. Previously 25. OK, so he's not Yasiel Puig. He's still really good. Just needs health. 24) Robert Stephenson, RHP, Cincinnati Reds. Previously 55. Another guy with great stuff and great numbers, just promoted to High-A. Future number two starter? 25) Yordano Ventura, RHP, Kansas City Royals. Previously 93. I'd put him in the top 20 if not for remaining command issues. 26) Trevor Bauer, RHP, Cleveland Indians. Previously 11. There is a certain "stickiness" in my rankings in that I'm often reluctant to move guys down too quicky.I don't like the reverse bandwagon effect, and it has become trendy to bash Bauer. I defended Bauer in the past and while I retain a measure of patience, his performance has been too spotty to remain in Top 20 and he could fall further. He needs to turn things around in August to stay in this vicinity. I'd hate to see natural talent like his go to waste due to over-thinking and over-tinkering. 27) Danny Hultzen, LHP, Seattle Mariners. Previously 28. I'm not sure what I'm more afraid of, Bauer's weird issues with coaching and over-intellectualizing, or Hultzen's rotator cuff trouble. If Hultzen is healthy in August he will move ahead of Bauer. Whatever his problem with walks was last year has gone away. 28) Taylor Guerrieri RHP, Tampa Bay Rays. Previously 56. Now we have questions about his health too. If he's seriously hurt, he'll have to move down. 29) Kyle Zimmer, RHP, Kansas City Royals. Previously 43. This is about 10-15 spots higher than he would have ranked a few weeks ago, but recent dominating starts have boosted his stock. If he maintains this progress, he'll soon move ahead of TG even if TG isn't hurt. 30) Garin Cecchini, 3B, Boston Red Sox. Previously 117. I'm mad at myself on this one actually. I had him rated as a Grade B+ and on fringes of top 50 in January but let myself get talked down to a Grade B and out of the top 50 after reading too many scouting reports and not trusting my own eyes and instincts. Well, screw that. He kicks ass and many people are still too low on him. 31) Joc Pederson, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers. Previously 114. The Garin Cecchini of outfielders. 32) Maikel Franco, 3B, Philadelphia Phillies. Previously unranked. I had him at a Grade B- pre-season and had mentioned him as a sleeper for a year or two. He woke up. 33) Austin Hedges, C, San Diego Padres. Previously 32. No change in stock for me though I still wonder some about his bat. 34) Mike Foltynewicz, RHP, Houston Astros. Previously unranked. I had him as a Grade B pre-season although not in the Top 150, he would have been in the 160-range. Stock way up, although command is still work-in-progress. 35) Gary Sanchez, C, New York Yankees. Previously ranked 46. Glove coming around and he's always been able to hit. 36) Jarred Cosart, RHP, Houston Astros. Previously 106. Looks like a world-beater on his best days, and those days are starting to get more frequent. Volatile ranking due to remaining command issues. 37) Corey Seager, SS, Los Angeles Dodgers. Previously 70. Is it just me, or is he being overlooked amidst all the hoopla over Buxton and Correa in the Midwest League? 38) Billy Hamilton, OF, Cincinnati Reds. Previously 14th. Like with Bauer, this is a "sticky" ranking due to his continually amazing speed, but enough questions have been raised about his bat to move him down. 39) Kolten Wong, 2B, St. Louis Cardinals. Previously ranked 85-A. Was as high as 30 on earlier versions of this, but seems to be wilting a bit in the heat. I still like him as a solid all-around prospect. 40) Andrew Heaney, LHP, Miami Marlins. Previously ranked 115th. I'd like to see how he adapts to Double-A, but overall he's been excellent and stock is moving up. 41) Kyle Crick, RHP, San Francisco Giants. Previously 52. A healthy August could gain him 10 spots, if not more depending on what other guys do. 42) Alen Hanson, SS, Pittsburgh Pirates. Previously 49. His stock has stayed more or less level for me. 43) Lance McCullers, RHP, Houston Astros. Previously 66. Has some command issues but stuff is first-class, reports from Midwest League observers very positive. 44) Jesse Biddle, LHP, Philadelphia Phillies. Previously 61. A bit erratic, but I love the terrific strikeout rate. 45) Max Fried, LHP, San Diego Padres. Previously 54. Reasonably good year in the Midwest League, though as with fellow '12 first-rounder Seager he's done it without huge press. 46) Tyler Glasnow, RHP, Pittsburgh Pirates. Not ranked previously. High-upside Grade C+ prospect with a "sleeper alert" tag pre-season, he's now among the best pitching prospects in baseball in my view. 47) Marcus Stroman, RHP, Toronto Blue Jays. Previously 111. No problems in Double-A. Another one who seems oddly overlooked when top pitching prospects are discussed. 48) Rafael De Paula, RHP, New York Yankees. Not ranked previously. High-upside Grade C+ pre-season, has proven the more optimistic scouting reports to be correct. 49) Matt Wisler, RHP, San Diego Padres. Previously 94. The Garin Cecchini of pitchers. 50) Rafael Montero, RHP, New York Mets. Not ranked previously. Grade B- pre-season, has boosted his stock by maintaining command in Double-A and not getting killed after moving up to Triple-A Las Vegas. 51) Alex Meyer, RHP, Minnesota Twins. Previously ranked 63rd. Having a very solid season; shoulder problem is supposed to be minor and you can make a case to rank him higher. 52) Lucas Giolito, RHP, Washington Nationals. Previously 104. Stuff appears back from Tommy John rehab. We'll see about his command, but a good August will keep his momentum upward. This may seem high but my gut says to put him here. We'll see how that looks in two months. 53) Raul Mondesi, SS, Kansas City Royals. Previously 109. He's not even 18 yet and holding his own in full-season ball. Wide range of possible outcomes but upside is very high. 54) Anthony Ranaudo, RHP, Boston Red Sox. Not ranked previously. Problem here was always staying healthy. I still wonder if his arm will fall off someday, but he's been very good in Double-A. Mid-rotation starter I think. 55) Aaron Sanchez, RHP, Toronto Blue Jays. Previously 42. No question about the stuff, command is still wobbly and he's had some arm trouble. 56) Eddie Rosario, 2B, Minnesota Twins. Previously 79. I have liked this guy since high school as a hitter, and he's figuring out second base. 57) Arismendy Alcantara, SS, Chicago Cubs. Not previously ranked. High-ceiling C+ pre-season who "needed to be watched closely." I think this is a real breakout. 58) Sonny Gray, RHP, Oakland Athletics. Previously 139. I think he's turned a corner this year in Triple-A. This may end up looking too low. 59) Allen Webster, RHP Boston Red Sox. Previously 88. I'm not sure he'll get past 50 major league innings, so here he is. Obviously has taken some command steps forward in Triple-A, even if not reflected in bigs yet. 60) Jonathan Singleton, 1B, Houston Astros. Previously 57. I've never been quite as high on him as some folks are. Natural talent is clearly here but there's still more rawness in his approach than there should be, exploited by Triple-A pitchers. 61) Zach Lee, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers. Previously 120. Impressive season in Double-A, but for some reason he is actually getting less hype than in previous seasons, when his performance didn't quite match the press clippings. The performance has caught up with his reputation, but odd lack of buzz about it. 62) Delino DeShields, 2B, Houston Astros. Previously 77. Cal League numbers aren't eye-popping, but he is still only 20. 63) Henry Owens, LHP, Boston Red Sox. Previously 137. Breakout season for Boston lefty; you can make a case for a higher ranking than this although from 137 to 63 is still quite a leap. 64) Miguel Almonte, RHP, Kansas City Royals. Previously not ranked. High-ceiling Grade B- pre-season who has broken through at age 20 in Low-A. 65) Jake Odorizzi, RHP, Tampa Bay Rays. Previously 80th. Kolten Wong of pitchers. Probably won't qualify for subsequent lists. 66) Rougned Odor, INF, Texas Rangers. Previously 122. The Rangers just clone these guys. Hitting .299 with 25 steals in High-A at age 19. In a thinner system, he'd get a lot more attention. 67) Lucas Sims, RHP, Atlanta Braves. Previously not ranked. 2012 first-rounder is living up to his draft pedigree with strong campaign in Low-A. Another one who hasn't received quite the attention he deserves outside of Braves circles. 68) Jake Marisnick, OF, Miami Marlins. Previously not ranked. Tough rating for me. He is hitting much better this year and has a great glove to go with it, but his plate discipline remains very questionable. I considered him as early as 40 and also considered not having him here at all. 69) A.J. Cole, RHP, Washington Nationals. Previously 89. Seems a half-step from putting everything together. 70) Eddie Butler, RHP, Colorado Rockies. Previously not ranked. Strong debut for 2012 supplemental first rounder out of Radford. I considered him as high as 50. 71) Wilmer Flores, INF, New York Mets. Previously 118. Las Vegas inflates his numbers to some extent, but I think he continues to make steady progress. 72) Matt Davidson, 3B, Arizona Diamondbacks. Previously 101. More power potential than Flores, but much higher strikeout rate is a caution flag. 73) C.J. Edwards, RHP, Texas Rangers. Previously not ranked. Deep sleeper prospect woke up, blowing away Low-A. I originally had him about 100 but he deserves to be higher than that. 74) Rosell Herrera, SS, Colorado Rockies. Previously not ranked. Pros: overall performance, speed, power, controls zone, performing in full-season ball at age 20. Cons: future position uncertain, plus Asheville boosts his numbers; beware Ian Stewart/Trevor Story effect, although Herrera has still been good on the road. 75) Julio Urias, LHP, Los Angeles Dodgers. Previously not ranked. Two years older than my son, which freaks me out. Urias has dominated full-season ball at age 16 which is just about unheard of. I really don't know where to put him just yet but he needs to be mentioned, so here he is. 76) Erik Johnson, RHP, Chicago White Sox: Suffers from Boring Name Syndrome and gets overlooked, but he's got good stuff and is performing very well in AA/AAA this season. I considered him as high as 60 and that might actually not be high enough.
  14. #25 Dustin Pedroia (2B) Age PA BB% K% AVG OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ Fld BsR WAR 29 432 11.8 % 11.3 % .316 .396 .436 .365 126 5.0 0.5 3.7 Under Team Control Through 2015: $10M, $11M option Yeah, it’s only two years of team control, and Pedroia will turn 30 next year, but he’s also an elite player making a relative pittance for the next two seasons. Even as his power has diminished, Pedroia continues to maintain his performance, and his 126 wRC+ this year is actually higher than his career average. With just six home runs and a .120 ISO, you might think Pedroia is in decline, but he’s on pace to have basically the exact same season he had in 2008, when he was named AL MVP. With the lack of long term value, I considered ranking Pedoria a little lower, but looking around baseball, there just aren’t many legitimate stars that could fit into any teams payroll and come without any real downside. Pedroia at 2/21 might be the safest bet of any player in the sport. This is the closest thing baseball has to a risk free contract. The skillset might make him an under-the-radar star, but Major League teams know how consistently great Dustin Pedroia has been. The biggest knock might be how he would do away from Fenway, as he has mastered using The Green Monster to his benefit, and the big wall wouldn’t go with him in a trade. However, you can’t just take a player’s road stats and assume that’s how he would do in any new home environment. Players make adjustments, and if you take the Monster away from Pedroia, he’d swing differently in his new ballpark. Of course, he’s not going to have to, because the Red Sox aren’t trading him. They know what they have, and they’re not giving it up. #24 Yasiel Puig (OF) Age PA BB% K% AVG OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ Fld BsR WAR 22 161 4.3 % 22.4 % .391 .422 .616 .444 193 0.7 -1.5 2.1 Under Team Control Through 2019: $2M, $5M, $6M, $7M or Arb, $8M or Arb, Arb From the start, I’ll say that I have no real conviction about Puig’s placement here. I could make a compelling case that he doesn’t belong on the list. I could also make a compelling case that he belongs in the top 10. There are teams that would go bananas trying to acquire him right now, and there are teams that would show little interest. Puig’s value is not cut-and-dried. Since arriving in the big leagues, he’s been remarkably good, but he’s succeeding in a way that simply isn’t sustainable. His contact rate is worrisome, and his approach at the plate is exploitable. Take away the .472 BABIP, and what’s left is the skillset of a low OBP slugger. That may very well be what he is for the rest of the season. But, as we acknowledge the coming regression, let’s not overlook the fact that he’s a 22-year-old who was forced to take over a year off from competitive baseball. In terms of development, most players with Puig’s background would probably be in A-ball. It’s okay that he’s not polished; it would be a miracle if he was. The physical skills are carrying him, but that’s true of pretty much every kid this age. And Puig’s physical skills look pretty special. Complicating factors is the contract he signed with the Dodgers. It was widely reported as a seven year, $42 million deal, but that’s probably not what it’s going to end up as. That was basically the guaranteed floor, but the deal also allows Puig to opt out of the negotiated salaries and choose arbitration if he so desires. Depending on how well he performs, the 2017/2018 salaries could easily go up, though there’s no ability for the Dodgers to renegotiate those numbers down if he doesn’t perform well. So, while Puig comes with six more years of team control, they are considerably more expensive than other rookies called up this season. His three pre-arb years will cost $12 million in total, and he’s setup for higher arbitration salaries than players coming into the system making six figures. There’s definitely clear downside here, as he comes with a real cost if the regression comes and he never adjusts. But, Puig is also a 22-year-old who is already showing MLB power and is under team control through most of the rest of the decade. He is both very risky but also very valuable. Combining the risk and rewards, I ended up with him here, but if you think he should be 20 spots higher or lower, I won’t argue with you. This is a tough nut to crack. #23 Adam Wainwright (P) Age IP K/9 BB/9 GB% ERA FIP xFIP RA9-WAR WAR 31 146.2 7.98 0.92 47.9 % 2.45 2.23 2.75 4.4 4.6 Under Team Control Through 2018: $19.5M per year When people talk about the best pitchers in baseball, they usually mention Verlander, Kershaw, or Felix, but Adam Wainwright belongs in that conversation, especially now that he’s just decided to stop walking opposing hitters. And Wainwright comes with one significant advantage over those three: he costs a lot less. The Cardinals were able to get Wainwright signed to deal that will him just under $20 million per year for the next five years, while Felix and Verlander both got $25 million per year and an extra year, while Kershaw is apparently asking for an extension that tops them all. With Wainwright, you get ace production at a price less than what the aces are signing for, and while $5 million per year might not sound like a big deal, it adds up, as does the extra guaranteed year at the end. There’s a reason Wainwright took a little less than those guys, though: Injuries. Major League teams have gotten bitten by expensive pitchers breaking down, and they’ve compensated by paying heavily for durability. There’s a significant premium placed on pitchers with clean health track records, and Wainwright has had several extended DL stints, including missing the 2011 season. It doesn’t seem to have had any lasting impact, but it’s in the file, and that would drive his price down a bit relative to those who haven’t broken down before. He’s also going to be 32 when the contract kicks in, so while age doesn’t matter as much for pitchers, he is heading for the part of his career where we expect decline to accelerate. Thankfully for the Cardinals, Wainwright is so good that he can still be a valuable piece even when the stuff starts slowing down, and St. Louis has him at a price that he can justify even if he takes a step back. #22 Felix Hernandez (P) Age IP K/9 BB/9 GB% ERA FIP xFIP RA9-WAR WAR 27 138.2 9.09 1.69 49.9 % 2.53 2.66 2.71 4.5 4.1 Under Team Control Through 2019: $22M, $24M, $25M, $26M, $26M, $27M Over the last year and a half, there has been a lot of talk about Hernandez’s velocity decline, as his top-end fastball has basically disappeared and he now sits in the low-90s, occasionally hitting 95 or 96. However, even with his fastball eroding, Felix is actually getting better. He’s currently posting both the highest strikeout rate and lowest walk rate of his career, and he’s settling in around that Roy Halladay sweetspot of just enough groundballs to stay efficient, but enough strikeouts to completely dominate. The idea that he was benefiting heavily from Safeco Field has been challenged, as he’s shown no ill effects from the fences being moved in and the park playing more neutral than it has since it opened. And he’s still just 27. While he’s been around for nearly a full decade and has almost 1,800 innings pitched in his career, he’s not that much older that a lot of the young kids on this list. Even with six pretty expensive years left on his contract, the deal expires after his age-33 season. And while big expensive contracts for pitchers come with a lot of risk, Felix’s deal somewhat mitigates those risks by adding a conditional option year to the end. If Hernandez spends 130 consecutive days on the DL due to surgery on his right elbow — basically, if he has Tommy John surgery — then a $1 million option for the 2020 season activates, and the Mariners would control his rights for one more season to make up for the year lost due to injury. Replacing a prime year with an age-34 season isn’t an exactly even swap, but it offsets some of the risks that are natural to pitchers. The contract isn’t cheap by any stretch, but it’s a good deal for an elite franchise pitcher in the prime of his career. #21 David Wright (3B) Age PA BB% K% AVG OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ Fld BsR WAR 30 399 12.3 % 17.0 % .304 .396 .507 .389 154 3.1 4.8 4.9 Under Team Control Through 2020: $20M through 2018, $15M, $12M Wright has rebounded from a mid-20s slump to emerge as one of the best players in the game, and the Mets were able to give him an extension that rewards him for his play without turning the deal into an albatross. While the $11 million he’s getting this year is likely to be the most valuable part of the contract, paying $20 million per year for Wright’s age 31-35 seasons is easily justifiable, and by the time he gets to 36, the salaries will be decreasing. You don’t see a lot of middle-loaded contracts like this, but it does serve to preserve some of Wright’s trade value as the contract goes along, rather than absorbing all of the value up front and leaving him overpaid at the end. Really, the only thing keeping Wright this low is his age. We’re getting to the part of the list where the players ahead of him are also excellent and signed to reasonable or bargain contracts, but most of them are just younger. It’s not a knock against Wright himself, and there’s really nothing to complain about, as he hits, he fields, he runs, and he stays healthy. His mediocre 2011 season is mostly in the rear view mirror at this point, and he’s really a player with very few flaws. He’s just headed for the part of his career where that is unlikely to remain true. How long he can hold off Father Time will determine whether or not he ends up in Cooperstown.
  15. Michael Weiner “I can tell you, if we have a case where there really is overwhelming evidence, that a player committed a violation of the program, our fight is going to be that they make a deal,” Weiner said without referring to specific players. “We’re not interested in having players with overwhelming evidence that they violated the (drug) program out there. Most of the players aren’t interested in that. We’d like to have a clean program.” Read more: http://www.nydailynews.com/sports/i-team/weiner-warns-drug-cheats-face-major-road-block-article-1.1401845#ixzz2ZPlof0J4
  16. Which Melky? - Roids, Post or Pre Roids
  17. Pillar could be an upgrade at 2B or C.
  18. C, 2B, 3B, LF, 1 or 2 Top-rotation guys and a new GM. Morrow can't throw 150IP from now, Dickey #4, Buehrle isn't a good fit at AL East, Rogers long reliever, Romero can't throw strikes.
  19. The players are going to appeal, the suspensions will be for the year 2014.
  20. Andres Torres '13 version is a living example.
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