Jimcanuck
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AA Approval Rating (All-Star Break)
Jimcanuck replied to North of 60's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
i picked 'neither approve or disapprove'... he's not the worst GM out there and the Marlins and Mets trades were more Beest than AA, IMO -
LOL.... if you are going to quote me, quote the whole post. That post made the point that a team with an elite offense does not need to give up 3 top prospects to get Hamels, because a team with average pitching can win with an elite offense. Nobody is going to argue against that. "Last couple of weeks"... now you are you being reactionary, something you counselled against a few posts ago. Nowhere did i say the Jays are going to score 8 runs a game. You seem to be trying to find reasons to attack me, by reading things that are not there. Comprehension is clearly a problem for you. Maybe give your head a shake?
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I don't know what the f*** you are talking about. How about some specifics. Jays have a good offensive team that would have a chance at postseason/WS with the addition of a couple of Haren like pitchers. Pitchers that would not cost top prospects that the Jays should hold on to. That's my opinion. Now tell me, oh wise one, what part of this is unrealistic.
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What nonsense? Are you so arrogant that everyone else is wrong and you are right, every time?
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Agreed, the sky is NOT falling.
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Dickey trade has a good chance to be the worst in baseball history.
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2015 Trade Deadline Targets Thread.
Jimcanuck replied to jays4life19's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
That's not what i said "he'll give the same number of wins for the best offense in baseball that a Hamels will for an average offence" Can you read? -
we helped ang grasp english, now he is returning the favour. muchos gracias
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That's interesting. Juiced ball, or juiced players, era. Recent pitcher with lowest BABIP is Mariano Rivera at 0.263
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Catfish Hunter > 3000 IP. BABIP = .243 Jim Palmer ~ 4000 IP. BABIP = .249 Should do a statistical distribution and provide the probability a pitcher will have a career .250, .260, .270, .280, etc BABIP. Throwing a couple of names up doesn't mean anything.
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would you trade Bautista for Harper
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predictions on score tonight? 14-11 Jays
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where did i say this
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like i've said before.... sanchez should have been at Buffalo to start the year. circumstances made him part of the rotation. he's had some good starts, some poor ones, but not once has he 's*** the bed'. he's also young, and pitching and having some success in MLB no doubt has done a lot for his development and confidence. he's right where he should be, unless a trade brings in a SP upgrade, then he likely moves to the bullpen to limit IP
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the curveball is plus but he doesn't have enough of a mix of pitches to make it effective
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Sabermetrics | Introduction and Discussion
Jimcanuck replied to GD's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
do the saber calculations weight all data equally, or is more recent data weighted more heavily? do the projections detect non-linear changes in the data or account for disturbances such as TJS? baseball is a complex system with a great many variables. Just questioning how accurately sabermetrics accounts for this. -
so what sample do we use? take last years and this years data and the BB/9 is ~4 and K/9 is > 6. with dynamic systems, it is appropriate to give a higher weight to the more recent data and if there is a marked change in the data, the data from before that point should be disregarded. applied to pitching, if a guy suddenly develops an effective knuckleball to go with a 93 mph fastball, all data from before the knuckleball was developed should not be considered when predicting the future. sanchez appears to be improving start by start, looking at his overall results doesn't tell us anything about his future. at this stage of his career, as a rookie starter and making adjustments start by start, his overall stats for the year are essentially meaningless
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Not many here will disagree on this point. Beginning of season both Sanchez and Norris should have been in Buffalo as injury depth. With the state of the pitching staff, Sanchez is going nowhere. Even if he shits the bed he is more likely to be moved to the bullpen, not Buffalo.
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agreed although i can see the xFIP continuing to exceed the ERA if he continues to keep the ball down with sinking movement. he's likely to continue to be an extreme GB pitcher
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AA or Beeston? i'm picking the accountant masquerading as a baseball executive
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the most reasonable expectation to have with a 23 yr old pitcher still learning to pitch is improvement. so waiting for 500 IP is meaningless, he's not going to be the pitcher over those 500
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BJ hitters Bautista Donaldson EE Martin Travis Reyes Valencia Smoak Colabello Pillar Navarro
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Defending AA and the team he has put together for 2015 has nothing to do with expressing the opinion that overpaying mid season for pitching help using prospects is the wrong approach. I appreciate the attention you give me as a sign of respect, but you will have to do better to find contradictions in my posts.
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Wait. Gruber is Grant?
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Jays are once again a .500 team at ASB. Unlikely they can win this year without improving the pitching in a major way. So the question becomes, move prospects for immediate pitching help and try to win now, or move valuable roster players for prospects and try to win sometime in the future ie. a) going all in, or the sustainable approach. It's for me.
