Frag
-
Posts
3,614 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Toronto Blue Jays Videos
2025 Toronto Blue Jays Top Prospects Ranking
Toronto Blue Jays Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits
Guides & Resources
2025 Toronto Blue Jays Draft Pick Tracker
News
Forums
Blogs
Events
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by Frag
-
The opposite is true. Goldbull had potentially the best draft, going by this method.
-
Someone's getting fired for this.
-
So, you could say that Goldbull's hands can turn picks... into gold... I'll leave now!
-
So, after calculating the expected pick value for each individual pick, I found the differential between the expected grade and actual grade. Then, I estimated the member rankings: Rank Team (dGrade) 1. Goldbull (2.92) 2. Abomination (1.13) 3. Havok24 (1.10) 4. Frag (1.09) 5. BTS (0.74) 6. Silvergun (0.42) 7. Jaysguy34 (0.30) 8. Spittin (0.12) 9. Jaysblue (0.03) 10. Jaysfever (-0.16) 11. Spanky99 (-0.23) 12. JFaS/TheRealMin (-0.39) 13. Wilko (-0.47) 14. Vanland (-0.54) 15. King (-0.58) 16. z3r0s (-0.64) 17. burlingtonbandit (-0.67) 18. Aselvana (-1.06) 19. GordieDougie/Dr. Dinger (-1.17) 20. The Cats Ass (-1.91)
-
I have to admit, I didn't expect the log regression coefficient between the weighted grade averages (Grades from HF) and round# to do better than the one I did for the baseball draft last year (which had MLB players, not prospects). What's more surprising is that this draft was done before most of the updates were made on the site. Methodology was simple. I weighted the HF grades (1-10) by their risk (A-D,F), the latter of which was weighted by HF grade (lower grade = greater risk). Also, I adjusted for position (G = 2/3 F weight; D = 1/2 F weight). It's surprising that something done with what I found to be arbitrary means of weighting did so well (I guess, since it's relative and not absolute, it makes such arbitrary weights easier to do), as well as the fact that this is coming from Hockey's Future's grading system! Here's the plot based on average weighted grade per round: http://oi59.tinypic.com/xm3n6o.jpg Here's the plot based on individual weighted grade per pick: http://oi58.tinypic.com/24ya4pg.jpg
-
He should name his team Kuemper Humper. Edit: f***ing autocorrect!
-
Can the hockey season start already?
-
Most likely has to do with their coaches easing up their minutes as they get older, slowing down their decline offensively.
-
I initially wanted to rebuild, but I saw the opportunity to make a few trades to improve my draft position and now I think my team is set in the short-run (as well as, potentially, long-run).
-
I probably took Greg Chase too early and got lucky picking Buchnevich in the 9th round. Stop rigging the Yahoo stats, mantis!
-
I'm seriously baffled as to how Pavel Buchnevich dropped to the 9th round, especially since he's likely coming over to the NHL in the near future.
-
all dat info!
-
I didn't expect my goalie ranking to be that high. I know Mike Smith has been good, but holy f*** if he goes down with an injury... Also, nice knowing how potentially good my team is relative to age.
-
I wonder if Bennett will play for the Flames this year. If not, well, at least I can watch him here in Kingston.
-
Lower than where he was picked
-
Exactly what I did.
-
I didn't adjust for age, instead opting for checking the age of each player. I underestimated how many goalies would be snatched in the first 5 rounds.
-
With Drouin and Ekblad as long-term options! His team will be truly unbeatable!
-
I also used Dangle Factory. I guess everyone using the same source results in no distinct advantage, but a huge disadvantage for those like Wilko.
-
Are we sure Wilko didn't purposely have such a draft so he could tank for McDavid?
-
Wilko's draft was the best.
-
I like my team: C - Giroux (C, RW) C - J. Carter (C, RW) LW - Pacioretty LW - MacArthur RW - Atkinson RW - Jurco F - Stepan F - Couturier F - Plekanec D - J. Carlson D - Maatta D - Lindholm D - A. Martinez D - Klefbom G - M. Smith G - Greiss B - Perreault © B - C. Wilson (C, LW) B - Etem (LW, RW) B - Dubnyk (G)
-
Better
-
It's a good thing not everybody is autodrafting, or else this draft would last over 7 hours. After the 3rd round, it's going to be really slow
-
1:30 per pick is going to take forever over 20 rounds. It should be, at most, 45 seconds per pick.