Brock Beauchamp
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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp
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No need to make it personal. But on topic, isn't Shapiro in his last year under contract anyway? The Jays aren't going to do anything right now and if the team flounders in 2025, it feels like this problem will take care of itself. -
Literally? Where do people even find tar nowadays? It's 2025, for crying out loud. Link plz
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Well, I guess 1 out of 100 guys have to be, but... yikes.
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GDT: Spring Training Games, Week of 2/23 - 3/1
Brock Beauchamp replied to Pendleton's topic in Game Thread Archive
I thought about it and figured that about a week of ST games is right for a thread. As we progress into March, people tend to lose interest in the daily action as they await games that actually matter. -
Possibly? But with back problems, they just seem so random. You never know what guy is going to suffer from them and once back issues appear, it seems to be really hard to get rid of them entirely. 2025 will be interesting for Yelich. He claims he feels good, we'll see if the back surgery paid off. He was having a REALLY good year in 2024 before the injury, on pace for 6-ish wins.
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Yelich is an interesting case. He had a run where he hit 80 home runs over two seasons. But at the end of that second season, his knee exploded off a foul tip. He hasn't been the same player since and while the knee has healed, it seemed there were some lingering mental effects of the injury and then he started fighting back problems constantly, undergoing back surgery in 2024. So were those homers a blip in Yelich's production or was he derailed by other factors? Dunno, I can make a solid case for either argument. But you're right that guys who hit a lot of grounders tend to just keep hitting lots of grounders for eternity. But with the technology and knowledge we have now, even bumping those grounders down a few ticks can pay off big over a season.
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I find it more interesting why Vlad, after all these years, is still putting the ball on the ground so often. Does he refuse to listen to coaching? Is coaching just not addressing this? Or is there something inherent in his swing that prevents it? William Contreras of the Brewers has a very similar problem and tracking the progress (or lack thereof) of both these players is interesting.
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I just listened to this and thought it was a great conversation. Not because it was two people pushing a narrative but because they clearly disagree and… they’re both right. They run through a bunch of player comps, possible upside and downsides, and come to very different conclusions. Warning, it’s long, at least 30 minutes of discussion. https://www.sportsnet.ca/podcasts/at-the-letters/no-deal-for-vlad-jr/
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I don't know, guys are so intense with their offseason regimes nowadays that maybe he's just throwing that hard. Some guys come into camp with low velo, just as everybody did decades ago, but some guys train so hard in the offseason that they enter camp at 100%, or close to it. The other day a young Twins starter who sat 94 last season threw a 97mph pitch in his first appearance. Personally, I struggle to see how this is good for young arms but I don't know anything about biomechanics.
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Feel free to not read the articles. Seriously, just don't if this is your attitude about a bunch of inexperienced people trying their best to learn a craft.
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GDT: Spring Training Games, Week of 2/23 - 3/1
Brock Beauchamp replied to Pendleton's topic in Game Thread Archive
HEY LOOK EVERYBODY BASEBALL -
This was a really fun read, well done!
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Yeah, the three of them are killing it. Super-happy with the content they're producing.
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And if that's true, the Jays made the right decision. As I said several days ago, it's going to be in someone's best interest the leak the number. Whose interest that is depends on the numbers exchanged but I think we'll find out at some point.
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It's a spectator sport that involves fans and increasing competition for their eyeballs and their willingness to invest their personal emotion into the product. Ignoring the human element is a bad long-term plan and perhaps one of the biggest flaws of the early sabr movement. Though it's entirely reasonable to not believe Vladdy is worth an overpay. I happen to disagree.
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It's also a growing process. A lot of these writers are new and have a lot to learn. The only way to effectively learn the craft is repetition. Some of the early pieces aren't going to be great. It's part of the process, just bear with us. You've all been quite patient with me and our group. When we launched Brewer Fanatic, oh lord... man, did I catch hell from that community. It was relentless. "You don't know what you're doing", "you're not a Brewers fan" (I am), it was non-stop. By Brewer Fanatic's third season, it was widely regarded as the best and most sabr-heavy Brewers site on the internet. We're gonna have our bumps along the way. We're gonna stumble and not be perfect. But many of these writers, largely under Davy Andrews' tutelage, are going to grow and become really good analysts. We're just not there on day one. With that said, I want to give a shout out to @sackydude, @Condor13, and @LetTheBallFly. Their minor-league coverage has exceeded all of my expectations, they're killing it from day one.
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That's entirely fair, obviously criticism is welcome. Personally, while I may not have put it quite as hyperbolically as Megan, I agree that not getting a deal done with Vlad is a massive fail by the front office. Whether that deal happened two days or two years ago, I don't really care. At the end of the day, the job was not done and someone has to be the fall guy for it. And I'm fully aware and accept Vlad's flaws. I don't think he's going to be a player who ages gracefully. Still I believe he should retire in a Jays jersey, wearing only a Jays jersey for his career.
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Obviously, creating a second account because you cannot access your original account does not apply to anything I said above.
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To be blunt, we don't like alt accounts. I really don't like alternate accounts. I've seen many accounts created as burners and 99% of the time, they're intended solely to troll and cause trouble. In the past, I've straight-up banned all accounts related to a single user because of their alt accounts. While that may seem like an overreaction, it's very intentional on my part because the creation of an alt account solely to troll means that user is going to just cause trouble and troublemakers are more aggravation than any benefits they may bring to the community. From my perspective, t's best to tear off the band-aid and move on. I have several tools available to me to uncover alternate accounts. If I catch you using a burner, I'm not gonna be happy. So don't do it.
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Welcome! Though be warned, I’m also a crybaby. Maybe not about Vlad but in general.
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Article: The Blue Jays and the New Efficiency
Brock Beauchamp replied to Jim Scott's topic in Jays Centre Front Page News
When breaking down individual players, I don't think defense is much cheaper than offense. I think the interesting model to look at is teams like the Brewers. They're above-average at almost every position and in the most Brewers-y way, they keep overperforming expectations almost every year. Are they looking at defense as a whole? As an example, it's less about the CF's individual metrics and more about how the LF, CF, and RF metrics combine together. We've certainly (mostly) moved past getting an edge from pursuing elite up-the-middle players but what about looking at how the individual pieces work together as a whole? Is that the current inefficiency? I don't know. -
Are there really that many, though? We're averaging maybe 1.5 articles a day, which is half what most of our other sites publish and about 20% of what Twins Daily publishes. But ultimately, we will move the articles into their own forum. That's the goal in the long-term (maybe even mid-term) but we've found that if we move the articles to their own forum right away, no one comments on them. And if there are no comments, it's much harder to draw in new users.
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Welcome to Jays Centre!
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Remember that we don't take a single approach to coverage. While I personally lean hard toward analytics, we also post pieces that are more opinion and less stats. And Megan's pieces do really well with readers who aren't a bunch of basement-dwelling nerds like us. There's plenty of space for everybody and their own flavor of fandom.
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Welcome to Jays Centre! Don't know about "elite"... DRS is pretty meh on Vlad while OAA flat-out hates him at first base.
