2013 World Series preview thread - St. Louis Cardinals vs Boston Red Sox

[G-Snarls]

And then he signs with the Yankees for good measure.

[Angrioter]

Red Sox, váyanse pal' cajaro.

 

Let's go cards

[Boxcar]

Tim McCarver back for a record 24th WS.

 

"Nobody's done it longer, nobody's done it better." - Joe Buck

 

Yeah, I'm sure that there's nobody else who could ramble on like a senile old fart about irrelevant things.

[GD]

Yeah, I'm sure that there's nobody else who could ramble on like a senile old fart about irrelevant things.

 

I nominate Olerud363.

[G-Snarls]

Ok! Who's got the GDT?

 

Fatcow is MIA I presume??

[RickyWalks]

Tim McCarver back for a record 24th WS.

 

"Nobody's done it longer, nobody's done it better." - Joe Buck

 

Yeah, I'm sure that there's nobody else who could ramble on like a senile old fart about irrelevant things.

 

Let me tell you how much pitch counts are stupid! Don't talk to me about pitch counts! So about pitch counts... - Tim McCarver

[G-Snarls]

I think we all expected it, but now official that Farrell will start Ortiz at 1B in St. Louis.

 

http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article/bos/david-ortiz-breaks-out-glove-for-game-3-but-sox-lose-mike-napoli?ymd=20131025&content_id=63355528&vkey=news_bos&partnerId=ed-7697161-616246303

[G-Snarls]

Last team to win Games 6 and 7 of the WS on the road after losing Game 5 at home: the 1952 Yankees, vs Brooklyn. Cards did it in '34 vs DET.

[G-Snarls]

#SlimOdds

[jays_fever]

Last team to win Games 6 and 7 of the WS on the road after losing Game 5 at home: the 1952 Yankees, vs Brooklyn. Cards did it in '34 vs DET.

 

And yet St louis only gives 4.5: 1 odds to come back. People with large bank accounts should bet heavy on Boston

[G-Snarls]

And yet St louis only gives 4.5: 1 odds to come back. People with large bank accounts should bet heavy on Boston

 

Yeah, I can't see STL winning this. No way.

[Olerud363]

Last team to win Games 6 and 7 of the WS on the road after losing Game 5 at home: the 1952 Yankees, vs Brooklyn. Cards did it in '34 vs DET.

 

The chances the cards will win are about 20%. Given roughly even chance of winning each game it would be 25%. So give Boston a bit of an advantage for homefield.

 

The chances a world series will be tied 2-2 are about 37% (6/16). half the time the home team will win game 5... or a bit more if there is home field advantage. So 19% or so of the time we have this situation.

 

Of that 18%, if 20% win the series, it's 4% of all World series would have such a scenario. You'd expect 2/50 years. So the fact that it hasn't occurred in 50 years isn't all that strange.

[Olerud363]

And yet St louis only gives 4.5: 1 odds to come back. People with large bank accounts should bet heavy on Boston

 

Yes. If you apply probability theory to it.. that's about what you get. Explanation above.

[G-Snarls]

Also, was there a time MLB didn't go 2-3-2 in the World Series? There may have been times that games 6 and 7 were in different cities.