NFL Thread

[Spanky99]

Wasn't this Giants / Falcons game supposed to have, you know, scoring?

 

lol... a lot of it, too. Giants not kicking the extra point was idiotic.

[Abomination]

WTF would you go for a convert there? They just made a 2 possession game into a 1 possession game.

[GoldBull]

WTF would you go for a convert there? They just made a 2 possession game into a 1 possession game.

 

It actually increases your odds of winning the game (Doug Pederson did the same thing a few weeks ago). Assuming a 50% chance of converting a 2pt conversion and a 95% chance of converting the EP, your odds breakdown as follows:

 

- Win (2pt succeed + EP) = 47.5%

- Tie (2pt succeed + miss EP OR 2pt fail + 2pt succeed) = 27.5%

- Lose (2pt fail + 2pt fail) = 25%

 

Assuming that you have a 50-50 chance of winning in OT, that gives you a ~61% chance of winning the game by going with the 2pt approach. By kicking FGs, your odds are as follows:

 

- Tie (EP + EP OR EP Fail + 2pt succeed) = 92.5%

- Lose (EP + EP Fail OR EP Fail + 2pt Fail) = 7.5%

 

Assuming a 50-50 chance of winning in OT, your odds of winning the game are only ~46%.

[Abomination]

It actually increases your odds of winning the game (Doug Pederson did the same thing a few weeks ago). Assuming a 50% chance of converting a 2pt conversion and a 95% chance of converting the EP, your odds breakdown as follows:

 

- Win (2pt succeed + EP) = 47.5%

- Tie (2pt succeed + miss EP OR 2pt fail + 2pt succeed) = 27.5%

- Lose (2pt fail + 2pt fail) = 25%

 

Assuming that you have a 50-50 chance of winning in OT, that gives you a ~61% chance of winning the game by going with the 2pt approach. By kicking FGs, your odds are as follows:

 

- Tie (EP + EP OR EP Fail + 2pt succeed) = 92.5%

- Lose (EP + EP Fail OR EP Fail + 2pt Fail) = 7.5%

 

Assuming a 50-50 chance of winning in OT, your odds of winning the game are only ~46%.

 

Those are just the odds of succeeding on the 2 pt or EP part of the play, not the odds of successfully scoring twice (TD + FG instead of TD + 2 PT). With time almost up, the extra possession is unlikely.

[GoldBull]

Those are just the odds of succeeding on the 2 pt or EP part of the play, not the odds of successfully scoring twice (TD + FG instead of TD + 2 PT). With time almost up, the extra possession is unlikely.

 

Maybe we're talking about different things, but yeah these odds assume that you have successfully scored two TDs in the only 2 possessions that you have left and aren't your W/L odds prior to those TDs.

 

There's been a lot of discussion on it:

 

http://www.footballperspective.com/down-14-scoring-a-touchdown-and-then-going-for-2/

[Frag]

Who sportsed harder in Monday Night Football?

[Spanky99]

Who sportsed harder in Monday Night Football?

 

Huh?

[Frag]

Huh?

 

Atlanta won.

[Spanky99]

Atlanta won.

 

lol... yeah. What does this mean? "Who sportsed harder"

[jays4life19]

lol... yeah. What does this mean? "Who sportsed harder"

 

He wants to know who sportsed harder? Are you drunk spunky?

[Spanky99]

He wants to know who sportsed harder? Are you drunk spunky?

 

Pardon...

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Not yet!

[jays4life19]

Lol I'm just f***ing with you. I have no idea either.

 

 

Edit: I assume he meant to say "what sport is harder"

[Spanky99]

TIL... sportsed is a word...

 

[Frag]

Sportsing involves playing a sport at its full potential. For example, after a sack, the linebacker really sportsed hard.

 

Also

[Spanky99]

Sportsing involves playing a sport at its full potential. For example, after a sack, the linebacker really sportsed hard.

 

Also

 

Get lost nerd, lol. Atlanta sportsed harder cause the Giants suxxxxxxxxxx.

[Frag]

Get lost nerd, lol.

 

Fish.

[Spanky99]

Fish.

 

lol

[Abomination]

This is hilarious!

 

https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2802637-juju-smith-schuster-on-buying-mega-millions-tickets-tried-to-win-to-get-leveon?utm_source=cnn.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=editorial

[Abomination]

These refs are awful. Botched call after botched call.

[Spanky99]

Osweiler suxxxxxxxxx

 

There's another botched call, Abom.

[Abomination]

Some serious air on that tackle!

[Spanky99]

That's incomplete.

[Spanky99]

This crew are terrible, lol.

[Abomination]

Holy s***, what a catch!

[P2F]

Holy f***!

[Spanky99]

Holy s***, what a catch!

 

That was outstanding, even though it didn't count.

[Abomination]

LMFAO, what was that? This has been a really weird game.

[Spanky99]

LMFAO, what was that? This has been a really weird game.

 

Hahahaha... see his mouthpiece fly into the air when he got hit, lol.

 

Entertaining, aside from the zebras.

[Spanky99]

Just brutal, the refs are a joke, how do you miss that facemask?!

[Abomination]

Did they say the ref threw his hat because he was out of flags?