IronLadle Verified Member Posted May 31, 2013 Posted May 31, 2013 You can't just cherrypick like that. "I think that Schrodinger's (too lazy to spell right) Cat is an interesting theory. I think that human trafficing is fine." Well, aside from the second point, what's wrong with what was said? (obvious exaggeration is obvious) - 3.58 FIP is not that good. True. True. I don't think anyone was going to give up so f***ing much. J.P.'s .202 ISO isn't 'a ton' of power. - Bite me lol. .202 is pretty good power and his .249 ISO this year is even better
GD Old-Timey Member Posted May 31, 2013 Posted May 31, 2013 .202 is pretty good power and his .249 ISO this year is even better He's aided by a 21.8% HR/FB, which should regress quite a bit.
IronLadle Verified Member Posted May 31, 2013 Posted May 31, 2013 He's aided by a 21.8% HR/FB, which should regress quite a bit. It's increased every year he's been in the league.
GD Old-Timey Member Posted May 31, 2013 Posted May 31, 2013 It's increased every year he's been in the league. It went up .4. And then it went up 1.8. And now you're expecting it to jump up 5.3%? Are you really sure that's sustainable?
GD Old-Timey Member Posted May 31, 2013 Posted May 31, 2013 It's not sustainable, but jumps like that can and do happen (Bautista, Encarnacion). The problem is, even with his good power, he still is s*****. Jumps like that happen to people who can actually play the game of baseball with a reasonable amount of skill.
IronLadle Verified Member Posted May 31, 2013 Posted May 31, 2013 It went up .4. And then it went up 1.8. And now you're expecting it to jump up 5.3%? Are you really sure that's sustainable? It's his third year so I wouldn't be surprised if a significant jump occured considering is line drive rate is way up - but I wouldn't count on it.
GD Old-Timey Member Posted May 31, 2013 Posted May 31, 2013 It's his third year so I wouldn't be surprised if a significant jump occured considering is line drive rate is way up - but I wouldn't count on it. I don't think Arencibia has the raw power to command a 20% HR/FB rate. http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=2&season=2013&month=0&season1=1871&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=9,d That's not a long list of guys.
IronLadle Verified Member Posted May 31, 2013 Posted May 31, 2013 I liked that graph you have some big names coupled with some scrubs in there but those numbers are career averages you posted. Josh Phelps managed it three years in a row and Manny topped 30% one year. A 20% rate over a career is pretty impressive.
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