Stoeten posted a pretty good article addressing our LF situation. He thinks its f***ing nuts that we might have a Zeke/Upton platoon. Here is the bit on the LF situtaion.
http://bluejaysnation.com/2017/1/19/ross-atkins-speaks-ostensibly-on-bautista-but-most-interestingly-on-edward-rogers-and-left-field
It is hard to reconcile this with the idea that the Blue Jays want to be good, because that mix is bad.
Upton cannot play against right-handed pitching. He has a 77 wRC+ and a .281 on-base against right-handers over the last two seasons (547 plate appearances), and in the years before that he was awful against everyone, right-handed or left-handed.
Carrera, despite being a left-handed batter, cannot play against right-handers either. He also has a 77 wRC+ over that span (394 PA), and though his .312 OBP is better than Upton's mark, it still's still on the unplayable side of the spectrum. (And before anybody crows about Carrera's solid 2016, please note that his marks in the split were 71 and .307, and despite our playoff memories, his second half produced a terrible .194/.243/.272 slash line. He is bad.)
Pearce could be the solution, but for two problems: his lack of durability and playing outfield on the Rogers Centre turf seems a bad mix, and he should be playing primarily at first base regardless because the alternative is playing Justin Smoak there. Smoak's wRC+ against right-handers -- the stronger of his two splits -- is 102 for the last two seasons. It was 99 last season. And overall in the second half of 2016 he produced just a 75 mark. He is also bad. Pearce, meanwhile, despite being a right-handed hitter, has a 113 wRC+ in the split over the last two years, and his mark in 2016 was 118. He should be the club's primary first baseman.
For now, though, this doesn't seem like it will be the case. That leaves a big door open for Pompey, which is certainly not a bad thing. It just would be better, I think, if Pompey was the contingency plan for something a whole lot better than throwing way too many at-bats to Smoak and Carrera.
Perhaps there's something about the defence that those two players bring that the Blue Jays love a whole lot more than the publicly available data would suggest -- and I don't doubt that that's at least a part of their infatuation with Smoak (though I'd bet a bigger part, at this point, is that they signed him to that f***ing extension). Atkins did say during the presser that "we've got to figure out a way to just win more games. As I said at the start of the offseason, there's multiple ways to do that. And there's the picturesque ways to do it, and there's the ways with big names and household names, and sometimes it's more run prevention, and sometimes it's more run scoring. So, we'll consider all of them."
Are Carrera and Smoak simply less picturesque options with abilities to help a ballclub win games that it's impossible for us to see? Uh... I'm pretty sure that's a mighty stretch. The truth is, they're bad, and this is a bad plan, and while it won't exactly kill them, it shouldn't be too difficult to get better.
"That all said, Atkins wouldn't rule additional moves, and he may simply be not tipping his hand here. If the club is playing hardball with agents or other teams, they're better off acting like they think they've got a reasonable solution in left field, rather than a first baseman and a bunch of pieces that don't really work.