This is the most likely scenario for sure, pending he produces at the same rate as 2019. That said, if he turns it up, and the peripherals all improve much more than expected, maybe he does make the leap in late 2020?
Even so, the chances are very slim, for service time reasons, but I do think an outcome exists where it could happen. With Manoah though, I think it's nearly 0%.
That's extremely interesting. It might be a change in revenue allocation. It never accurately attributed cable revenue in the past. Maybe it's now based on viewers?