LTR
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Everything posted by LTR
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That won't work because projections already consider home park. You'd be inflating the projections in the case of DBacks players.
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Are you using halved PF for home players though? Since projections are accounting for home park already (half of games). And away players I'm adjusting PF in consideration of their home park.
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Go with Hill if you have to (assuming you can't afford Zobrist). Also I'd go with a number of other guys before I'd go with Choo. These low quantity games are usually a crap-shoot anyway, not enough variables.
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Jake Smolinski is not playing, so that's a critical error that could cost you. Otherwise not bad... I'd prefer Angel Pagan and/or A.J. Pollock over Trumbo for OF (it's close) Marcus Semien or Brandon Crawford over Owings for SS Joe Panik over Hill for 2B Trumbo, Hill, Owings lose value because of opposing pitcher (Bumgarner).
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It makes us stronger if we can bounce ideas off each other and sanity test our systems. Gives us an edge over most other players. My line-ups will be better tomorrow, was still doing a little fine-tuning today.
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The funny thing is you could have a flawless optimizer and still lose 7 days in a row. That's baseball in small samples. But if you tough it out over the course of the season things should start to balance out ... a la 2002 Oakland A's.
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Yeah, though at the end of the day (I hate that expression) I didn't profit much in tourny's (thought I did better before I analysed it).
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My line-up for this evening: P Corey Kluber C Yan Gomes 1B Brandon Belt 2B Ben Zobrist 3B Brett Lawrie SS Brandon Crawford OF Angel Pagan OF Mark Trumbo OF Sam Fuld
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Any placement in a tourny is a profit, I placed in 40 out of 180 tournys. My biggest takeaways were $250, $100, and $90 x3. I only entered $5 and $10 tournys.
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Thank you for explaining this. Yeah I only deposited money about 3 times all year and total deposit was about $100-$200 each time; so it's all banked money. If you want to win at 50/50's that's how you play. $32K/162 games = <$200 dollars a day/night. As Abom said that's not how it works. Plus this is a hobby, I play for fun.. the profit is a bonus.
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My FD historical breakdown, by $/game type, from last season (the % success is based on profit not wins, win % would be higher on 50/50's since FD takes 10%): http://i.imgur.com/wGv9qfC.jpg
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Day off tomorrow... play to win pls -
Disagree, again based on what I've seen and based on the other options we have.
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Yup it's not refreshing past Travis' AB
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Not one game... ST too
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A-Rod scared of the inside Louper
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I know it's early but based on everything I've seen so far Travis is a keeper and an above average 2B
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Yeah, once they set their line-ups for the next game they can't modify them (would be unfair) and since opening day line-ups were set weeks ago there were quite a few omissions.
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Poor Buck. And it's only going to get worse as he ages.
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Midget? Compared to Izturis? If I see Izturis starting 2B this year I will cry.
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Travis... ROY!!
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Gonna happen vs. Yankees esp at home
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Stupid ballpark
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Yup... though he argued with the ump on that 2nd (?) AB strike call and it was clearly a strike.
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*Passes CFnumber25 a beer* Relax and enjoy the game. It's all good.
