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glory

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Everything posted by glory

  1. glory
    My guess is they will end up taking whoever bites on a one year deal. Odorizzi probably wants multi years. Paxton will likely take one year, but would he take a pillow contract in the AL East pitching home games in Dunedin? Walker might be the most realistic in that case.
  2. glory
    After Hazel, none of them are ever going to try to break a story. Being cryptic will get views/engagement too, so probably safer for them to go that route.
  3. glory
    Archer back with the Rays. One year, $6.5m. Poor Pirates.
  4. glory
    If the roster stays as is, then how they use the DH spot will depend on how much they like Tellez because right now that's his only spot with Vlad at 1B. Against a LHP we will probably see Hernandez at DH and Grichuk in RF to get the better defensive lineup in there, but against righties I would imagine Tellez will get the bulk there unless they are not sold on his 2020 and will use him more situationally. Either way, I expect a lot of different lineups to be used in 2021.
  5. glory
    The MLBPA was going to reject any offer MLB gave them, but that doesn't mean they don't believe what they are spewing. Expanded playoffs disproportionately helps owners over players. If they feel owners would lose motivation to spend if it became a lot easier to contend for a playoff spot, then they may not be wrong. Just to clarify, I personally don't care about either side. Both are unlikable and bad for the sport.
  6. glory
    I don't necessarily disagree with that, it's part of the reason I was in favor of expanded playoffs, but it really comes down to how teams value those extra post season spots. If owners realize that they could be around .500 and contend for one of those spots, and it drives down their motivation to spend (because they don't have to), then it may not have the impact on fan engagement that it should have in theory. Maybe fans will be engaged to watch a 78-82 win team contend for a WC spot the first time, but if it happens consistently, then eventually it's going to be old hat and diminishing returns. I guess we will need to see a few years of sample size to determine whether expanded playoffs 1) increases regular season attendance due to more teams in contention, 2) increases regular season TV numbers, 3) gives more owners an incentive to try to improve their teams.
  7. glory
    Yes, it means the normal rules apply (10 team playoffs, DH in the NL). Not sure about the extra inning rule, they might end up doing that anyway (they should). The players had incentive to agree to expanded playoffs in 2020 since it was a 60 game season and their salaries were prorated, so the expanded playoffs made sense financially for everyone involved, but Manfred can't unilaterally postpone the season like last year, so the players have the leverage. I've said before that I like the expanded playoffs, but I think I am changing my mind on that, especially after this winter when damn near 98% of owners sat on their asses and did nothing. Players are absolutely right; if you put more teams in, owners (who have historically found every way possible to depress player salaries) will have less incentive to spend money. It should help the sport if more high profile players are getting national spotlight during the playoffs, so that's one benefit of expanded play, but that's really it. With that said, keep the extra inning rule and put the DH in the NL.
  8. glory
    Yeah that’s what so exciting about the current Jays. Spending in free agency on potentially high impact talent but not touching the prospect base. Much better chance to build a sustainable winner that way.
  9. glory
    Arenado is getting an extra guaranteed year at $15m according to Heyman, in addition to the extra opt out after 2022. So he'll have about 7/214 left on his deal now with the extra year added, and the Rockies covering $50m. Cards basically get him for 7/164 if he doesn't opt out, from ages 30-36.
  10. glory
    I'm indifferent to Walker, I can see why some want him back and some don't, but it's possible he's looking for more than a year at the moment or a higher AAV than they want to give him. Him and Matz project very similarly next season, and that's with Matz being tire fire last year and being in an org run by Brodie at the time (probably not as optimal for pitchers as the Jays org). They might circle back to Walker at some point either way. Still, as much as money helps the Jays, for one year pillow contracts to pitchers, that's not their strong point. For hitters it's different, hence why Semien might have found it attractive.
  11. glory
    I can't imagine FA pitchers, especially those looking for a pillow contract, would view Toronto as a top destination for them. Unfortunately this SP market aside from less than a handful of guys is basically all guys looking at 1 year deals, which puts the Jays in a tough spot. If Ray didn't spend a month here he likely would have signed elsewhere as well. In hindsight, the 3/40 for Gausman, assuming every other major signing would have worked out the same (Springer, Semien, Yates) would have been great.
  12. glory
    I can understand people being upset at getting Matz (he hasn't been good since 2016 and $5m isn't cheap for what he is) but I don't think we have to sweat any of the prospects sent to the Mets. Maybe one turns into a good RP or something, but it's a very minor package.
  13. glory
    I think the Jays will probably start the season with a “traditional” rotation but gradually morph into what we saw last year as the season progresses. Hard to know how pitchers are going to react coming off throwing 40-60 innings rather than 150+. Stockpiling more depth is probably a good idea.
  14. glory
    Yeah if the Jays add another SP it will either be a trade or re-signing Walker. I don't think they are getting Paxton or Odorizzi, but who knows.
  15. glory
    SRF and Diaz were bubble 40 man roster players, and Winck isn't much of a prospect. The issue is Matz hasn't been good lately. Maybe they see something in him, or maybe they don't have that much left to spend, and found this to be cheaper/better than some of the FA options.
  16. glory
    Sean Reid-Foley, Yennsy Diaz and Josh Winckowski. 40 man roster clean up from the looks of it.
  17. glory
    Josh Winckowski is one of them.
  18. glory
    The Youtube versions of the Tim and Sid interviews: Atkins: Springer:
  19. glory
    For anyone who hasn't seen this yet, here is an ESPN feature on Springer from 2017.
  20. glory
    The finish to the season isn't meant to ignore the first 14 games, those games happened so they count, but it's meant to show that looking at 2020 as a continuation of his pre-2019 performance can be misleading. It was literally a terrible 14 game stretch followed by 46 games at a level closer to his 2019. Maybe he would have been streaky all season if the season were 162 games and finished around where he did, we don't know, but I think there's cause for optimism for his 2021 performance.
  21. glory
    Yeah this front office just added Springer, Semien, and Yates. That's shopping in the elite aisle. I don't think there's much left for an expensive SP (Bauer), but I would assume one of Paxton/Odorizzi and/or a trade is what they are looking at.
  22. glory
    https://www.usabaseball.com/news/topic/general/mlb-and-usa-baseball-schedule-evaluation-and-showcase-events-for-2021-2022-mlb-d Draft combine sounds interesting.
  23. glory
    I liked Didi as a fit, but between him and Semien on a one year deal, I'd definitely choose Semien. There is an article on FG that says in his first 14 games of 2020 he had a 24 wRC+ and -0.2 WAR, but then in his next 46 (regular and post season) he had a 133 wRC+ and 2.0 WAR. So basically in 86% of his total 2020 plate appearances, he was the 2019 version of Semien. This signing has very real upside. I hope he has a great year and cashes out next winter.
  24. glory
    Yeah I would have been fine giving him double that on a one year deal, but as mentioned he probably looked at it as NY or Japan, and he's certainly made enough money in his career to choose location over money.
  25. glory
    Bonds, Clemens, and Schilling should all be in. If you want to put an asterisks on all of their plaques so the world knows that they cheated and/or are scumbags in real life, then so be it, but they didn't commit heinous crimes or anything. It shouldn't be this complicated.
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