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Nox

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Everything posted by Nox

  1. Nox
    Not true.
  2. Nox
    That's not really a valid option.
  3. Nox
    Ackley = Zorilla lite
  4. Nox
    Bryce Trout
  5. Nox
    If my sources are correct: all the weight.
  6. Nox
    Still eagerly anticipating MOOGY projections.
  7. Nox
    29, well above average true talent catchers? Yah.... http://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=c&stats=bat&type=oliver&team=0&players=0
  8. Nox
  9. Nox
    As a Bogaerts dynasty owner the idea of that does make my pants tighten.
  10. Nox
    Really though, projections more than 2 years our are all but useless. Uncertainty grows to levels where you might as well just project everyone to be average. Pretty sure what Oliver is doing here is very wrong. I feel like he's feeding his 5th year projection his 2nd 3rd and 4th year projection and treating it like it's true past data. You can't do that.
  11. Nox
    Yah, that's definitely better. But I think even with Shields' a 3 yr weighted avg regressed properly would take him to around 200 innings. Maybe slightly under. Lol @ 230 IP.
  12. Nox
    RTTM, aging. Almost no pitcher should be projected for 200 innings.
  13. Nox
    Remaining agnostic on playing time is such a cop out.
  14. Nox
    So they've projected every position player at 600 PAs? That's stupid/lazy.
  15. Nox
    Oliver loves it some Giancarlo.
  16. Nox
    Walker + Paxton + Ackley + C prospect
  17. Nox
    Stick to numbers, genius.
  18. Nox
    Concern? More like an opportunity for a smart team to take advantage of those fooled by randomness.
  19. Nox
    Well that was cheap.
  20. Nox
    Ban
  21. Nox
    I have to admit, 2 days ago I probably would have felt the same way. But after the Fister trade happened and I really started to look at his numbers I came to realize I was definitely underrating him. He's really good. Gun to my head I still take Price (talent alone I'm speaking of) but it's really not a big gap at all.
  22. Nox
    Dan Szymborski ‏@DSzymborski18h ZiPS has Fister projected in WAS next 2 years at 7.9 WAR. ZiPS projects David Price in WAS next 2 years at 8.5 WAR. Dan Szymborski ‏@DSzymborski18h So essentially, at least according to ZiPS, Nats get a pitcher 3 runs a year worse than David Price for *much* less than Price would cost.
  23. Nox
    It's not just JFAs' stat that thinks they're near equivalents.
  24. Nox
    Basing any sort of argument off of a term without any real definition is far more ridiculous.
  25. Nox
    The obsequious lapdog is at it again I see. You were being completely ridiculous using some nebulous definition of an ace as the basis for your argument. The facts are that Fister has been a top 10 pitcher over the past 3 years and projects to be in the top 20 by both Steamer and ZIPs. Whether that means he's an "Ace" is highly subjective and pretty irrelevant.
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