Nox
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Everything posted by Nox
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That's exactly what it's saying actually. It's saying that given the information available to them, Steamer's best guess regarding these players' underlying true talent orders them like that. Obviously their upcoming observed results may not order them like that.
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No, you're wrong. All of these projection systems are designed to examine the relationships between players much more so than what their raw output is. To do the later requires a good deal of hand wavy work projecting where league wide offense is going which is really not of too much interest because the effect is almost always systemic. Projections are really only relevant in their own universe. I don't even really get the overall point you're trying to make. Because these things have significant error bars on them we're supposed to ignore order? That doesn't make sense.
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So when does the public burning at the stake occur? Is Bud planning on televising the event? Perhaps a nice launch event for MLB Network Canada.
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There's the rub. Also, baseball is a domain governed largely by mild, mild randomness. AKA it's pretty hard and it doesn't take genius level smart guys to give you good answers.
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I think these are them: http://bit.ly/JQ78eu
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It absolutely is intended to be used as a ranking system. In fact, the ranking is the most relevant part.
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The lack of confidence/credibility intervals is simply a marketing thing. Most people don't want to see them, nor would they know what to do with them. The proprietors have them buried away. Szymborski will quote them once in a while for ZIPs.
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There are maybe 5 MLB teams that have something as good as Steamer in house on a per inning basis. Projecting health is something where they have a leverage-able information advantage but what's available publicly is pretty good for healthy performance.
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When compared to what exactly? Just because the Rays are pretty smart doesn't mean they're going to be able to tame the large amount of inherent randomness in baseball.
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One day you'll join us in the upper tier.
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God dammit.
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Link to GOOSE projections?
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What a f***ing pussy.
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The Steamer projection for Snider is...optimistic. 22 K%, 108 wRC+
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Pretty easy to do!
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Successful double agent is successful.
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Optional? Get back to me when you're committed.
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Does this mean Sank is going to lose his Yahoo SS eligibility? Lol
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Lol this is true. Ang, set up an intervention.
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You even went with the commemorative pink background! Poor connorp. He was a different man in those days. But then he became a string theorist and it changed everything! I kid though, connorp seems like a pretty reasonable human. Don't like hearing he's having a s***** time of it.
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He knows he's a pitcher right? Maybe he should ask Matt Garza how waiting until Free Agency works out.
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Channeling your inner Greenwood I see, Norman.
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Don't you live in San Diego? Life can't be thaaat bad.
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I'm guessing juiced has been looking into additional sources of revenue for the board anyways. Human trafficking seems like a natural extension.
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This thread is jokes. Someone plz link to the connorp selfie from a couple years back.