PECOTA: Jays 83 Winzz
Russell Martin: Projected to a 2.7 WAR, hitting .237/.335/.388 with 17 home runs in 595 plate appearances. A bit of a drop from his .290/.402/.430 line from last year. I'd put money down on Martin having a slugging average over .400. Thole only gets 32 PA.
Justin Smoak: Projected to a 0 WAR, hitting .236/.328/.401 with 16 home runs in 484 PA. I'd like to think that if he hits that badly it won't get 484 PA.
Ryan Goins: Projected to a 0.2 WAR, hitting .243/.277/.342 with 5 home runs in 452 PA, getting the lion's share of the time at second base. I don't see that happening either. Is it wrong that I look at the .243 BA and think, I'd be very happy with that. Of course, I'd be happier if he would get on base more, unfortunately, I don't expect him to. Devon Travis gets 60 PA and a .261/.314/.405 line.
Josh Donaldson: Projected to a 4.2 WAR, hitting .263/.342/.465 with 25 home runs in 604 PA. That's quite a drop from his 6.7 WAR of last year. It's worth noting that PECOTA also gives Brett Lawrie a 4.2 WAR. I'd bet that Donaldson finishes with a better WAR than Brett.
Jose Reyes: Projected to a 2.9 WAR, hitting .286/.333/.422, with 29 stolen bases, in 651 PA. Nice that they figure a pretty much injury free season.
Michael Saunders: Projected to a 2.0 WAR, hitting .236/.318/.396 with 15 home runs in 364 PA.
Dalton Pompey: Projected to a 0.4 WAR, hitting .234/.301/.349 with 8 home runs, in 515 PA.
Jose Bautista: Projected to a 5.0 WAR, hitting .263/.381/.522 with 37 home runs in 647 PA. A very nice season, I'll take that.
Edwin Encarnacion: Projected to a 3.0 WAR, hitting .263/.347/.492 with 31 home runs in 620 PA. They have him playing 65% of the time at DH and 20% at first base. I don't know where the other 15% will come from.
Dioner Navarro: Projected to a 0.3 WAR, hitting .258/.318/.393 in 138 PA. I'd have to think he'll get to bat more if he is on the team.
Kevin Pillar: Projected to a 0.9 WAR, hitting .268/.302/.405 in 329 PA.
R.A. Dickey: 1.4 WAR, 15-12, 3.99 ERA.
Mark Buehrle: 0.2 WAR, 12-13, 4.50 ERA. and he pitches 229 innings.
Drew Hutchison: 1.2 WAR, 10-9, 4.03. I'm taking the over on the WAR.
Marco Estrada: 0.9 WAR, 11-10, 4.19. PECOTA has him making 28 starts....I'll take the under, I very much doubt he gets 28 starts. .
Marcus Stroman: 2.1 WAR, 9-7. 3.48 in 24 starts, 137 innings.