I was counting on a mid-3 ERA season with a very good k/BB and OBPA, plus lots of wins because Cubs.
Being said, I actually love watching him pitch. His command is excellent and his changeup is truly filthy, one of the best in the game. His games don't look fluky because he hardly ever throws pitches that don't end up off the end of the bat or in on the hands and guys have to swing because he throws so many perfect strikes.
I'm becoming a believer that some guys can manage contact as a skill.