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Frag

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Everything posted by Frag

  1. If someone is obviously trolling, shouldn't he/she be banned for that?
  2. Frag

    NHL Thread

    The Soderberg trade was good, and Krug was a good pick-up. They got Peverley by trading Blake Wheeler, which is pretty much a wash (edge to Wheeler).
  3. Frag

    NHL Thread

    I'm thinking Carey Price wins the Hart (and Vezina, of course), and the analytics seem to back that up.
  4. Frag

    NHL Thread

    I'm probably going to get s*** for this, but I think Chiarelli has been pretty average aside from one good year, and that year was 2006 (2006 draft, signing Chara and Savard). His draft since 2006 consists of Seguin (idiot proof), Hamilton, and possibly Pastrnak, with some maybes in Colborne, Caron and Griffith. As for trades, his record is mixed: Good: Kessel trade Rask trade Boychuk for Hendricks Horton trade Bad: Seguin trade Boychuk trade Versteeg trade Kaberle trade (Leafs acted like idiots with their picks) Sobotka trade All that's left is his free agents, where I don't know his history as well beyond Chara and Savard. Overall, he seems like an okay GM who got really lucky with inheriting Bergeron and Thomas.
  5. Frag

    NHL Thread

    Yup.
  6. Frag

    NHL Thread

    My predictions: Eastern Montreal vs Ottawa - Montreal in 6 Tampa vs Detroit - Tampa in 5 New York Rangers vs Pittsburgh - Rangers in 7 Washington vs New York Islanders - Islanders in 6 Western St.Louis vs Minnesota - St. Louis in 7 Chicago vs Nashville - Chicago in 6 Winnipeg vs Anaheim - Anaheim in 5 Vancouver vs Calgary - Calgary in 6
  7. Frag

    NHL Thread

    That'll be a fun matchup
  8. Frag

    NHL Thread

    What a year this could be for Canadian NHL teams. Potentially 5 teams in the playoffs (Montreal, Vancouver, Calgary, Winnipeg, Ottawa) plus 2 teams with a good chance at McDavid (Edmonton, Toronto).
  9. Comp pick
  10. So, the final is: Vanland vs. Wilko's Former Team
  11. Frag

    NHL Thread

    Can you imagine going back in time last offseason and telling people then that we're having a Vezina debate between Carey Price and Devan Dubnyk?
  12. We all know who the favorite is.
  13. Frag

    NHL Thread

    The founder of CapGeek, Matthew Wuest, passed away today due to colon cancer. Terrible news!
  14. Frag

    NHL Thread

    Of course, you could instead look at the probability of McDavid's NHL production conditional on his draft year production (like what Chris Mitchell did when devising KATOH), but that's besides the point.
  15. Frag

    NHL Thread

    This is true. The worst case scenario I have found is Pavel Brendl, but his PPG production wasn't as good as McDavid's during his draft year.
  16. Frag

    NHL Thread

    That's not NJH's point. His point is to look at McDavid's production and potential in terms of a distribution (say, a 95% confidence interval). His average expected production could still be quite high, but ignoring variance is a dangerous game.
  17. Frag

    NHL Thread

    There is the possibility that McDavid turns into Pavel Brendl (look up his draft year numbers). It's hard to tell with prospects, even ones as good as McDavid.
  18. Frag

    NHL Thread

    In terms of draft year production, McDavid is in Crosby territory. The best way, of course, is to compare his production to past CHLers/NHLers that produced similar to McDavid during their draft years.
  19. Frag

    NHL Thread

    Woah there! I'd say Sidney Crosby for now.
  20. Frag

    NHL Thread

    I'd have to imagine Eichel would bring a ton of money for Buffalo, too.
  21. Frag

    NHL Thread

    Can you imagine the Leafs get McDavid and Sabres get Eichel, though? I would have to imagine the league would try to profit from that, especially since they're division rivals.
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