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sachmo55

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Everything posted by sachmo55

  1. sachmo55
    J Thole? Is this the dogg?
  2. sachmo55
    Losing teams get into more situations were they are losing, thus they lose more close games. Just an fyi though, Detroit is just as bad as the jays in 1 run games
  3. sachmo55
    The jays are league average with RISP in terms of average and wOBA, do you bother looking this stuff up first?
  4. sachmo55
    An elite hitter will fail 65% of the time, EE failed, its not unexpected ... if hitter we so easily able to adjust their approaches in clutch situations you'd see a lot of guys with clutch numbers way better than their baseline numbers
  5. sachmo55
    Edwin has a certain skill set and his swing and approach are built to maximize that skill set He can't use a miggy approach because he doesnt have miggy skills.
  6. sachmo55
    Its like people dont understand how hard it is to square up at 94 MPH fastball
  7. sachmo55
    Without getting too much into narratives From what im seeing, his 2011 & 2013 numbers on fastballs are very similar. 2012 was worse, but I think that's because he got off to a poor start and was on the upswing before getting hurt (so it doesnt constitute a full sample). 2010 was in it's own league, but that might have something to do with the league making adjustments to him
  8. sachmo55
    Gambler's fallacy at its finest lol
  9. sachmo55
    I don't really know the actual aging curve of the average power hitter, but nothing in jose's peripherals indicate much has changed: swinging at the same kind of pitches, same rate of contact, same walk and k-rates and very similar hr/fb%. Only real change is a slightincrease in gb & a big increase in line drives, but those lead to an increase in babip. He's currently on a babip cold spell, once it stabilizes, I think he sticks in the .370-.380 range.
  10. sachmo55
    Shut up! I'll continue my irrational and unconditional support of Rasmus regardless of any evidence that suggests otherwise
  11. sachmo55
    Its the same for most fans, when the team is winning, it feels like a big streak is imminent When they're losing it seems like the sky is falling
  12. sachmo55
    Another question is can Buehrle continue to be crafty and successful over the next 2 years? At some point that velocity is going to be too low to get by.
  13. sachmo55
    Against Sabermetrics Wants hitters to hit dat ball for produkshion rather than working the count I think we just found AA's ideal manager
  14. sachmo55
    I've read a few people say that, but in his 2 starts this season (I know, SSS), he's averaged 2-3 mph less on his pitches than in 2011. The arms speed might just not be there anymore, and he could be trying too hard to overcompensate (more effort in delivery, and thus losing control)
  15. sachmo55
    Top 5 in WAR since start of 2010 NOT A SUPERSTAR
  16. sachmo55
    Brandon Morrow just doesnt make sense anymore K rates keep dropping but have his velocity is unchanged I think Im going to having to resort to blaming JPA
  17. sachmo55
    Waiting for the impending Posey-esque Arencibia Extension
  18. sachmo55
    JPA could be part of that problem too
  19. sachmo55
    I have no idea if I did it right I took fangraph's wOBA values for walks and HR's: 0.691 & 2.058 2.058/0.691 = 2.978
  20. sachmo55
    2.978
  21. sachmo55
    Serious question would be, who would be the backup to hit lefties?
  22. sachmo55
    In 89 plate appearance, AL pitchers have walked twice (same as JPA in 163 ABs) NL pitchers are walking in 3% of their plate appearances and barely striking out more than JPA (36.3% vs 33.7%) How is this even possible?
  23. sachmo55
    I wonder if JPA and Janssen are having a competition to see who can post the highest k/bb ratio. So far JPA is winning. He's a winner at everything
  24. sachmo55
    You've used that Narrative a lot, but going into 2012 this was a team that a lot of us predicted would win somewhere between 80-85 games that collapsed. The jays of 2012 was not a 73-win team in talent. Had we kept the jays of last season, with a few tweaks, would probably be projected to be a 77 to 80 win. We were an average team, that added a lot of talent, but didn't compensate with nearly enough depth.
  25. sachmo55
    Really nice read Too bad it'll be ignored by the jays FO
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