GD

Norris + Stroman, anyone?

Yes, this is something that not many people know. I believe there is a starter vs reliever standard in the WAR framework.

No such thing as a dumb question. WAR is calculated based on FIP, not xFIP; xFIP is a projection of what will likely happen in the future. People tend to think that FIP is an ERA estimator. It is, in the sense that it's a better predictor of future ERA than past ERA is, but that is not FIP's main purpose. FIP's main purpose is evaluating what has already happened. Based on DIPS theory, or Defense Independent Pitching Statistics, there is a belief that pitchers can only control strikeouts, walks, and home runs. Once the ball is in play, the pitcher has little to do with the outcome. xFIP's purpose is not an improved ERA estimator, although once again it is also that, but rather a FIP estimator. It was found that pitchers generally tend to give up home runs on roughly 10% of the fly balls they allow. Some pitchers are slightly above and below this mark, so you may adjust accordingly, but the concept remains the same. This percentage stabilizes around 50 FBs. That concept of sample size is very important, and I'll throw it into the OP right away. So xFIP multiplies the amount of fly balls a pitcher gives up by 10%, to project what number of home runs we can reasonably expect out of the pitcher. This is then substituted back into FIP to form xFIP. However, since xFIP is predictive, it's not useful for WAR; WAR is a framework that shows what a player HAS done, not what a player WILL do. So, for this reason, FIP is used in WAR instead of xFIP. The reason that Mark B's FIP has constantly been better than his xFIP is because he manages to work the corners and induce weak contact. Some pitchers can indeed do this: Buehrle, Rivera, etc. However, it takes a very long time to be able to identify these pitchers, and it should be assumed that they are getting "lucky" and not just beating FIP until they reach the level of a guy like Buehrle. Hope I answered your question.

Lately I've had several people ask me where they could find an explanation of sabrmetrics in a basic, English form. So I thought it would be a good idea to start this thread. I'll begin by posting Breaking Blue's Introduction to Sabrmetrics, by our very own JFaS. As well, Fangraphs has a list of points at which important data becomes reliable: http://www.fangraphs.com/library/principles/sample-size/ Update 11/9: Note on projection systems from NJH Update 08/22: Here's an article on the new BIS data that's being heavily misused. http://www.hardballtimes.com/offensive-batted-ball-statistics-and-their-optimal-uses/ This thread is not for the flaming of those who enjoy sabrmetrics. This thread is for people who wish to learn about sabrmetrics and discuss them. Post any questions you may have and they'll certainly be answered

grossssssssss

You overestimate what a year and a half of platoon splits actually means. Use his whole career sample. http://www.breakingblue.ca/2014/01/16/blue-jays-true-talent-offensive-platoon-splits/

He's like Adam Lind, who can hit lefties at a useable rate, and play the outfield, so... he's nothing like Adam Lind?

stop being dumn and not taking my advice

used "ermahgerd" instead of "good golly gosh." 0/10

Has anyone brought up witch craft yet? The entire board should do that one night.

Shocker! Good thing we waited lol

Marner played for the London Knights is what I'm getting at here

lmfao

Well yes, I'm sure it's not hard to figure out who the guy who names his teams the London Slayers would take in this draft, but I'd rather give him a chance just in case he has other plans. If he runs out of time then yeah might as well take a guy for him

He's also one of the more active fantasy players here. Plus if I'm not mistaken his DDL team is better than BTS' team, which makes him important and stuff. I tried to trade for the 4th pick to give him more time but TCA was having none of it 3 Seriously though, I'd say give him another half a window.

I know exceptions are dumn but I kind of want to give SG the benefit of the doubt here. He's usually not one you'd expect to take his entire window, something's probably up. Plus we all know who he's taking, lol

What was that deal?

http://www.sportsnet.ca/basketball/nba/like-it-or-not-demar-derozan-is-a-max-player/ LOL c

Adam Lind is 30% worse against lefties than Josh Reddick.

Game 78 - Buchholz (RHP) - 17 games remaining in the 2nd half! Jose Reyes (3pts) - Condor13 Josh Donaldson (1pt) - Jonn Jose Bautista (1pt) -frenchsoup, Dylan Edwin Encarnacion (1pt) - Russell Martin (2pts) - vdub Devon Travis (3pts) - o2 Dionner Navarro (4pts) - Portobello Mushroom (3pts) - Danny Valencia (4pts) - Kevin Pillar (5pts) - GD Ryan Goins (7pts) - Justin Smoak (2pts) - jays4life19 Ezequiel Carrera (7pts) - Bench (8pts) -

He's more valuable, I just threw it out there cause it seems like a Beane kind of package. Osuna's probably the closest match in value as a center piece.

Problems: 1. Those shots from LMA would probably be long two's. 2. We don't have other shooters. 3. That proper 3 and D SF is going to cost a s*** ton (Middleton, Carroll). It's a good concept, though, I totally see the idea.

Derozan to Nets, Lopez to Celtics (S&T), Smart and stuff to the Raptors? He's superfluous as is in Boston. I'd rather have Millsap but we haven't heard anything on that. Better than Tristan f***ing Thompson.

I'm not sure on the validity of RPM (isn't it a kind of black box?) but I'm not questioning LMA. Just don't see the fit with the current lineup. If Ujiri has the balls to sign LMA, trade Demar, and fill out the rest of the roster, I'll be the happiest guy out there. Still curious on a Demar trade, though.

I was making a general point.