GD

There already was one. Failed miserably.

i lol'd

Also very important that I did not mention

Wasn't addressed at me but I just remarked to Boxy that if he was on 2/16 (which I might revise to something more reasonable like 2/20) I'd be totally fine with Estrada.

I'll provide a quick summary. -Weird obsession with percentiles -Worked for Jack Z - had major beef, got fired -Not a very good writer in terms of English nor content; has been made fun of by people we both know who are rather smart, might even be a "Fangraphs dot com guy"

It's also double counting. OBP and SLG are obviously already counted in ERA; the rate at which players reach base and how many bases they take when they do is clearly a part of ERA. The point of a model is to take non-direct variables that act as indicators, is it not? North taught me some word for that. Causality or something, no idea. Could be totally off, I know jack s***.

Exactly my point. You couldn't win a division with me in it, yet you're mouthing off to a fellow DDLer, calling him an idiot? Pretty gauche IMHO IIRC TBH FYI.

DIPS is essentially the notion that pitchers are in control of their strikeout rate, walk rate, fly ball rate, and not much else. So things like clusters of hits and a disproportionate amount of fly balls leaving the yard can be attributed to variance (which shows up in stats like BABIP, HR/FB). Not involved in DIPS but whiff% is also a good indicator of pitcher skill as it isn't affected by framing, umps, etc. In application, DIPS are stats like xFIP, FIP, SIERA, etc. Defense Independent Pitching Statistics. We've had some very good ones created, notably by an old poster named JFaS (xxFIP, TIPS), and by a current poster, Northof49 (FRIAS). They are usually better predictors of next-year ERA than current year ERA is. There are rare cases (rare enough that Mariano Rivera is one of them) that over a large sample, a pitcher can out-perform his DIPS in his ERA. Buehrle is another guy like that. However, guys with less-than-massive samples who are assumed to be "DIPS-beaters" usually aren't. Jeremy Hellickson, Ricky Romero, Matt Cain are some good examples of guys that aren't. That's the big argument against Sanchize. Estrada could be, very slightly, but 4/10th's of a run is a MASSIVE difference, and even then, Estrada doesn't look very good. As well, over the course of his career, he hasn't out-performed his DIPS that much, despite being a good candidate for it. In all, it's not really wise to bet big amounts of money on guys being "DIPS-beaters." Would love to answer any further questions.

Despite not finishing significantly better than him in a weaker division in LOD?

1. Tony Blengino is ehh. 2. It's absolutely a skill, but if you project his ERA at a rate that's, say, .4 runs better than his DIPS (which is a MASSIVE spread that no one can really be expected to attain) he's still probably a 4.1 ERA guy or whatever. He's just not really all that deserving of a big contract.

Problem is, Cueto's the shitbag they're looking for lol

Estrada is projected for a 4.48 ERA an 4.93 FIP.

No, you would be betting on Estrada to be betting on the idiots to give him an offer he can't refuse.

Scenario A: $17m guaranteed, opportunity for additional ~$30m following the season with no draft pick being tied to signing you Scenario B: $0 guaranteed, draft pick tied to signing you, likely $25m at most guaranteed over 3 years and that's probably it for you

Schwarber = Lind - platoon splits

Yes. Don't think he declines, though.

It's weird watching you go full troll for like 3 hours once a week

lol

Why would you DH either of them jfc

Because they don't have Santana already? lol @ Schwarber going anywhere

lool

All of those teams are smart though

In the best news for Raptors fans since Demarre Carroll, Tristan Thompson has re-signed with the Cavs for 5/82 (rotflmaool)

probably good, probably meh, mediocre how dat

Y'all talking about Tulo's NTC but Edwin has 10-5 rights