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wk680

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Everything posted by wk680

  1. Yeah he went too far in saying it was dead wrong. Flawed? yes.
  2. So we are only a few days away from Sept. 1st. I wonder who will get called up. I am thinking Alford, J. Davis, Zeuch, and Kay will be called up. Thoughts ??
  3. Last week, MLB Network's resident sabermetric/WAR fan-boy Brian Kenney described on his show how, so far this season, Bryce Harper is way down the list in WAR (I believe 80+ in MLB) but is like 5th in his cumulative wPA (win probability added). They discussed the fact that maybe 'clutch' really exists and Harper personifies it (at least in 2019). The problem with WAR is that (like overall run differential and its use in the Pythagorean win - loss prediction) some of those stats can be accumulated in 'garbage time' and skew the apparent value of the player. Again, I don't discount WAR, but I prefer also to look beyond that one headline number.
  4. yeah I agree with Bill James that WAR is not as comprehensively valuable of a measure as most would like to think. It is certainly very useful but should not be taken as the absolute verdict on a player's contributions.
  5. It seems that of the current crop of starting pitchers on the roster (Waguespack, Thornton, Pannone, Reid-Foley), only Waguespack is trending upward. I guess we'll see if the others show any signs of life in the remaining 5 weeks of this season. It will be interesting to see what acquisitions the Jays make via the FA and trade market heading into 2020 and how that accentuates the competition between the internal candidates for remaining spots in the 2020 rotation. Interesting times ahead:eek:
  6. Well that may be a slight overstatement. Gaviglio and Mayza are decent relievers. But I am not sure if Thornton is any good - seemed to be better earlier in the season, so maybe he is starting to run out of gas as the looong MLB season drags on. But yeah, this is an embarrassingly bad pitching staff right now. Pretty hard to watch this team - I feel bad for the people who made the effort and financial outlay to go down to Seattle and watch this crap.
  7. I realized tonight that Tellez looks noticeably less 'fat' than Guerrero Jr. So if that is the criteria; just let them both play and see what happens.
  8. yeah he only has 6.0 % BB rate this season. He needs to triple that and then he will be a weapon. On the plus side: his UZR/150 is -14.3 in 134 innings in 2018 but is +5.1 in 309 innings in 2019. So maybe not a defensive liability at 1B ?
  9. Yeah that's why you need to continue to try to develop this guy at least for a couple more years. Massive power and could be a big 1B/DH bat
  10. nice recovery !
  11. What's the Frequency Kenneth:
  12. It was clearly a strike BUT was also a relatively unhittable pitch (97 mph right on the inside edge). I agree, he should not shake his head to suggest it was inside. Just suck it up and move on.
  13. Yeah that would obviously be a shame. it reminds me of auto racing : to finish 1st you first need to finish. Durability is everything!
  14. I think he said he has a MS in something or other but is related to a field that he has leveraged into his work in the construction industry - but he obviously knows JACK s*** about biochemistry in which I am the one with a PhD.
  15. This is complete and utter ********! Yes, people of African descent have a somewhat greater propensity towards obesity in N. America (and likely rest of developed world). But there are also multiple confounding factors, such as these black people are disproportionately poor and we know poor people tend to eat high calorie / unhealthy diets. Take a look at Appalachia in the US (which is overwhelmingly white) where obesity rates are sky high. Jimbo - seriously stick to construction or whatever your specialty is. You are making a total f***ing fool of yourself on this one.
  16. I think the point was that Smith was just a supposedly easily replaceable relief pitcher and about to be a free agent again. Stroman was a whole different situation, so those players obtained better pan out for Atkins sake.
  17. BTW, I noticed they carried over the Friday (game 1) thread since nobody started a thread for Game 2. MODs - maybe change the subject line to indicate this thread is for all 3 games of the Aug 16-18 series ?
  18. Wat'chu talkin' 'bout Willis ??!! I assume it is the 1st post in this thread. The photo is cut off on my end but I see just the edge of a screen with maybe the letter HU (Hustler?). He's totally punking us again. I must say, there are some serious pathetic excuses for a sense of humor in this group (BOxy of course being #1 on that list).
  19. You would think that is the case, so there is still time for Alonso to s*** the bed and come up short (needs to be exactly 4.0 or more fWAR after game 162 to be legit, IMO).
  20. this along with the woes of Edwin Diaz sure supports the idea that relief pitchers are super erratic. So if you are the Jays, what is Giles worth in a contract offer ? I say 2 years, $20M with a 3rd year option at 1M buyout. Yeah that is pretty aggressive but probably need to pay top dollar to keep him in TO. Of course this is assuming he finishes the year well with a clean bill of health from Dr MRI.
  21. The Rangers (like Mariners) had a surprisingly good start to the season with a record of 45-36 at the mid-way point. Seems they disproportionately benefited from surprisingly good output from the likes of Gallo, Pence, Santana and Choo on offense along with Lynn and Minor on the pitching side - but now they are coming back to earth as expected.
  22. Sure parameters like xFIP or ERA+ adjust for 'park factors' but I still maintain the great pitchers will find a way to get the job done, regardless. The rest will try use a bunch of stats to try to explain away their mediocrity.
  23. There is a difference between something being useless (or as you put it 'for know nothings'), and having serious flaws but still being roughly indicative of overall performance. Pitchers' job is to keep the opposition from scoring, so earned runs against are the ultimate score on that. Yes I think FIP and other parameters are very helpful. Poor defense can really hurt pitchers who tend to generate a lot of balls in play. But the bottom line is the greats always have and always will be the ones who have a knack of preventing the opposition from scoring (often from bearing down and being able to pitch out of jams). Yes clutch pitching is real just like clutch hitting. Flame away stat-tards
  24. ERA is not useless, it just only tells part of the story. You have been around long (and I emphasize the word long) enough to know that Jimbobby
  25. Yeah that HR/9 is pretty ugly
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