Filmstudy

As an Orioles fan, I definitely want the Jays to win 81 and not 50. A 2016 Yankee-style restocking at the trade deadline (not with 50 wins, of course) is a more likely nightmare scenario than a run back to 86-88 wins and WC contention. Either way, I think the Red Sox will right themselves and win the East going away. BTW, been going to the Caps and Leafs series (games 2, 5, 7 if nec) with a Leafs fan and learned a lot about hockey the last 10 days. I still can't get over the difference in ticket prices between the 2 cities. Center ice club seats for game 7 were still available from the team for $225 during game 5!

Not to throw more gas on this fire or anything, but there's a fair amount of discussion here: http://www.talk-sports.net/mlb/girlfriend.aspx/Jarrod_Saltalamacchia http://www.playerwives.com/mlb/miami-marlins/jarrod-saltalamacchias-wife-ashley-saltalamacchia/ Have to say, I'm a little disturbed these sites exist.

This logic has been applied before. Cal Ripken received just a single 10th place vote in 1984 in a 10-WAR season. The champion Tigers' best player was Trammel at 6.7, but the MVP went to Hernandez (4.8 WAR). Here is the voting from that season: http://www.baseball-reference.com/awards/awards_1984.shtml

Boston wants home field vs. Indians.

I see something different for the 3-way tiebreaker. Probably won't happen, but here are the rules I found: http://m.mlb.com/news/article/59527184/playoff-tiebreaker-rules/ It's extremely complicated, but in the case of 3-way ties (for 1 spot), the teams choose their A, B, C seeding based (first) on HTH among the teams. The team with the best record has the choice to either win 2 games at home or 1 on the road. If there is a 3-way tie for 2 spots, then the 2 better records play for a spot with the loser having a 2nd chance game at the 3rd team. Please see the link provided for details, because I know I can't explain it better. In terms of the HTH records, Bal is 14-12, as is Tor, but I think Tor would have choice of seed based on record in the 2nd half. Detroit has hind teat.

Tie breaking games are always played in the event of ties for a division or for the 2nd wildcard. Location is determined by a set of tiebreakers beginning with HTH. If there is a 2-way tie for the 1st wild card, no tiebreaker game is held and the location of the WC game is determined by tiebreaker. The Jays will almost certainly be at home for 163 division tiebreaker with Boston, because they have 4 games to make up and a good chunk of that will need to come in their remaining HTH series with the Sox.

That's what I'm thinking too. If this is the Jays biggest problem, it's a hell of a good problem to have. The Orioles are actually in a very similar situation with Bundy who has suddenly become unhittable as he's reaching a prudent innings limit. Problem for the O's is that they probably can't make the playoffs without him and they can't win in the playoffs without him. At least the Jays have other options that don't drop off to replacement level.

That had to be one of the worst performances calling balls and strikes I have seen in a very long time. Martin continually framed pitches up effectively. Two poor calls on Trumbo in the first inning cost the Orioles 2+ runs. Then came the Wieters ejection/called K, then called strike 3 on Reimold which was comically low and inside. Estrada was the ideal pitchers to take advantage of situation.

Orioles and Ravens fan here and it's fun to have some of this from board to board. I occasionally go to the Steelers boards to find something to write about from a different perspective and you know what I always see: --Overreaction to any event, positive or negative --Some expressed dislike within the board --Common dislike of any opposing team viewpoints --Extreme personalities using their internet anonymity as a shield --All sorts of ridiculous bickering about just how much football you have to have played to understand the game --Absurdly positive predictions about the home team --Some very funny conversation (comedy gold after a Steelers loss) when things go bad --Just a few people worth taking the time to tag as "ignored" --Fans who like their own team a lot Good fun and sometimes it's even worth participating in the conversation. I doubt Orioles Hangout is much different from your perspective.

Hi folks. New to the board and like the high level of Sabrmetric discussion. I got the following set of available futures wagers from Oddschecker: http://www.oddschecker.com/baseball/mlb/american-league-east/winner To Summarize the best available price for each team to win the AL East (4/13, slightly after midnight EST): Bos: 2.15 (Implied win probability = 1/3.15 = 31.7%) Tor: 2.35 (IWP = 29.9%) NY: 3.8 (IWP = 20.8%) Bal: 10 (IWP = 9.1%) TB: 12 (IWP = 7.7%) This aggregate line has an implied vig of -0.8%, which means there is actually arbitrage available now (and it won't last). It is extremely unusual to see this sort of low-vig aggregate line early in the season for any sport. Just yesterday, the sum of the IWPs was over 1.08. However, my question is this...which of these prices do you like best? You can see I'm from Baltimore, but I liked the O's a lot better yesterday at 10.5-1 now it's not as clear and I kinda like the price on the Jays at 2.35 to 1, up from 2-1 yesterday.